BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@richard-futter I was thinking that I would green up when the draw went under 4’s and lay the draw around then?
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@richard-futter I backed England at 2.00 at drinks. The Aussies are 3.60 to lay do you think I would be better off closing the Eng back and laying Oz at the odds they are now?
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@james-woodroffe Yes. My reasoning is that both England and the draw are shortening, so likely to get more bang for my buck laying the Aussies
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might jump in here , something that I like to do is hold until my profit shows around 25% of my risk . so $100 risk start reducing risk when showing $25 green .., then $50 green reduce some more … no science just a aim of what want to get out of the market
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@richard-futter as opposed to backing England?
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Have had a lay of Australia at 2.82
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@richard-futter you and me both mate, Australia very rarely don’t bat first when winning the toss. Odd call.
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@james-woodroffe Moving quite a bit now; England now favourites. Very strange decision by Paine - and it certainly caught me out!
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Sound advice .. Like it
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Still find the toss effect interesting never really thought about it before.
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No one knows more about this pitch than Alec Stewart and he says it will be difficult for the first hour but after that it should be superb for batting for the next day or two. If England have lost no more than one wicket by 12, I'll be backing them. Could easily be 1.5 later in the day.
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England have already come in slightly whilst Oz have drifted all be it slightly also.
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If England bat properly, they win this game IMO. Mind you, that's a pretty big 'if'.
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Well... got that wrong; felt sure they'd bat. Big mistake I reckon.
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@richard-futter or not
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Looks like The Oval will be a good batting track and, with the weather set fair, I'm sure whoever wins the toss will bat first and their price will shorten quite a bit.
During the match, I will once again be looking to lay the draw at anything approaching value. Anything below 4 should be money in the bank. A draw is useless to England and it's not in the Aussies' make-up to play for a draw.
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@james-woodroffe I always wait to see two batsmen settled in at the crease before employing this strategy. One wicket often brings two in Test match cricket.
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Quick question does the strategy of backing the batting team when they lose a wicket work for test cricket as well as T20 cricket? Looking at other strategies for this Oval test match other than laying the draw. Cheers and happy Greening.
