GF Retirement Fund
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Like a lot on here , would like to think one day I could quit my job and make a living off trading full time.
I have a few different strategies , although most are just other peoples ideas haha. Anyway I will post my daily trades where I can and hopefully make a few quid along the way.
My trades normally consist of over 1.5 goals, first half lays and second half LTD / LCS.
Feel free to follow and or comment.
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Sheet Updated :
10/07/2019 South Korea K League Jeju United Seoul Over 1.5 Goals
10/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Chongqing Dangdai Lifan Over 1.5 Goals
10/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Chongqing Dangdai Lifan Home Team
10/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Chongqing Dangdai Lifan SH 1.5 Goals
10/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Chongqing Dangdai Lifan Lay Weak Away Team -
Great day yesterday 100% until the last trade , although i didnt do it myself as was too late last night i have included what the loss would have been in the results.
Sheet has been updated and selections are below:
07/07/2019 China Super League Tianjin Teda Jiangsu Suning Over 1.5 Goals
07/07/2019 Japan J2 League Tokushima Vortis JEF United Lay Weak Away Team
07/07/2019 Singapore S League Tampines Rovers Balestier Khalsa Lay Weak Away Team
07/07/2019 Japan J League Kawasaki Frontale Sagan Tosu Lay Weak Away Team
07/07/2019 Japan J2 League Fagiano Okayama Kagoshima United Lay Weak Away Team
07/07/2019 Japan J2 League Renofa Yamaguchi Machida Zelvia Over 1.5 Goals
07/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Renhe Shandong Luneng Over 1.5 Goals
07/07/2019 Sweden Allsvenskan Hammarby Falkenberg Over 1.5 Goals
07/07/2019 Sweden Allsvenskan Hammarby Falkenberg Home Team
07/07/2009 Sweden Allsvenskan Hammarby Falkenberg Lay Weak Away Team
07/07/2019 Finland Veikkausliiga Ilves SJK Lay Weak Away Team -
Not the best days yesterday , either goals were too early or they did come at all.
Hopefully a better day today :
06/07/2019 Japan J League Shimizu S-Pulse Vissel Kobe SH 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Japan J League Yokohama F. Marinos Oita Trinita Home Team
06/07/2019 Japan J League Kashima Antlers Júbilo Iwata Home Team
06/07/2019 Japan J2 League Ryūkyū Tochigi Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Japan J2 League Tokyo Verdy Yokohama Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Japan J League Yokohama F. Marinos Oita Trinita Lay Weak Away Team
06/07/2019 Japan J League Kashima Antlers Júbilo Iwata Lay Weak Away Team
06/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Wuhan Zall Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 China Super League Guangzhou R&F Chongqing Dangdai Lifan Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 China Super League Shanghai SIPG Shanghai Shenhua SH 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 China Super League Beijing Guoan Wuhan Zall SH 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 China Super League Guangzhou R&F Chongqing Dangdai Lifan SH 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Sweden Allsvenskan Kalmar AIK Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Iceland Urvalsdeild ÍA Fylkir Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Iceland Urvalsdeild ÍBV KR Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Sweden Allsvenskan Malmö FF Örebro Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Sweden Allsvenskan Malmö FF Örebro SH 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Ecuador Division 1 Olmedo LDU Quito Over 1.5 Goals
06/07/2019 Ecuador Division 1 Olmedo LDU Quito Lay Weak Away Team -
After a quiet few days we have some potential trades today:
05/07/2019 Singapore S league Geyland International Hougang United SH 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Norway Eliteserien Tromso Sarpsborg Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Norway Eliteserien Valerenga Bodo / Glimt Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Ireland Premier Division Derry City Dundalk Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Ireland First Division Athlone Town Wexford Youths Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Norway Eliteserien Viking Haugesund Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Ireland Premier Division Cork City Bohemians Over 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Ireland First Division Athlone Town Wexford Youths SH 1.5 Goals
05/07/2019 Norway Eliteserien Viking Haugesund SH 1.5 Goals -
Great day yesterday on the football, 100% on the trades that qualified. Will be adding horse racing and tennis into my portfolio in the next few weeks.
Date Country League Home Team Away Team Strategy Liability Total Win/Lose Profit/Loss Total P&L ROI Total ROI
01/07/2019 China Super League Shanghai Shenhua Guangzhou Evergrande Over 1.5 Goals £25.00 £25.00 Win £1.53 £1.53 6.1% 6.1%
01/07/2019 Ireland Premier Division Dundalk Waterford United Home Team £12.50 £37.50 Win £1.71 £3.24 13.7% 8.6%
01/07/2019 Ireland Premier Division Sligo UCD Lay Weak Away Team £47.50 £85.00 Win £14.08 £15.61 29.6% 18.4%
01/07/2019 Iceland Pepsideild KR Reykjavik Breidablik SH 1.5 Goals £25.00 £110.00 Win £13.01 £28.62 52.0% 26.0% -
Sweden been a bad eague for goals recently may have to look at excluding that league for the time being. Onto todays and a couple to trade :
Drip Back Over 1.5 Goals
China - Super League 49%
12:35 Shanghai Shenhua (12) vs Guangzhou Evergrande (3)
Rep. of Ireland - Premier Division 60%
19:45 Sligo Rovers (6) vs UCD (10)Back Home Side
Rep. of Ireland - Premier Division 60%
19:45 Dundalk (1) vs Waterford United (8)Lay Away Team Inplay
Rep. of Ireland - Premier Division 60% 2 matches Click to expand
19:45 Sligo Rovers (6) vs UCD (10) Click to expand
19:45 Dundalk (1) vs Waterford United (8) -
Will create a new spreadsheet and keep an eye on these new systems, but for now here is sundays :
Over 1.5 Goals
Japan - J2 League 47%
10:00 Gifu (22) vs Tokyo Verdy (14)
Norway - Eliteserien 39%
17:00 Haugesund (9) vs Vålerenga (5)
17:00 Bodø / Glimt (3) vs Odd (2)
19:00 Molde (1) vs Brann (4)
Norway - 1. Division 40%
17:00 Ullensaker / Kisa (7) vs KFUM (4)
Sweden - Allsvenskan 42%
16:30 Norrköping (6) vs Sirius (12)Over 1.5 SH Goals
10:30 Singapore - SL 51% Albirex Niigata S (2) vs. Warriors (7)
11:30 Japan - J1 47% Sagan Tosu (18) vs. Shimizu S-Pulse (13)Weak Away Teams
Norway - 1. Division 40%
14:00 Kongsvinger (5) vs Sogndal (8)
Singapore - S League 51%
10:30 Albirex Niigata S (2) vs Warriors (7)Instructions
Over 1.5 goals - drip back the overs from 10 minutes , green up or take out red after a goal or take the loss after 70 minutes if no goal
Over 1.5 goals SH - lay the unders at max price of 1.80 , wait no longer than 55 minues to get in. As above take out red / green up after goal .
Lay Weak Away Teams - lay the away team if they take the lead with 0.5 points, lay again with 0.5 points if their price halfs i.e. 2.0 down to 1.50. Green up after an equaliser or take the red if away team goes 0-2
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O1.5 Drip Back
Rep. of Ireland - Premier Division 57%
20:00 Finn Harps (10) vs Sligo Rovers (6)
Sweden - Allsvenskan 40%
17:00 Örebro (9) vs Helsingborg (14)Lay Away Team Inplay If Take Lead
Singapore - S League 49%
13:15 DPMM FC (1) vs Balestier Khalsa (8) -
@gary-finnigan Good to see you back!
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@gary-finnigan said in GF Retirement Fund:
Had a few months off, time to get this back up and running. All trades 1pt liability
1.5 Goals (Drip Back and cash out after a goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Backed at 1.3, 1.55, 1.80 and 2.16 , goal was too late coming so cashed out at 2.42 for a 0.3 pt loss
Back Two SH Goals at HT (green up make scratch after 1st 2H goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Layed under 1.5 goals at 1.72 , took a 0.1pt loss at the goal
South Korea - K League 48%
11:30 Jeju United (11) vs Seongnam (9)Layed under 1.5 goals at 1.66 and took scratch or 0.5 pts after 1st goal , second goal came along to get 0.5 pts profit
Back Home Team (Green up after a goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Backed pre-match at 1.50 then again inplay at 2.00 for total liability of 1pt, unfortunatley away team went ahead after 71 mins so cashed out for 0.87 pts loss
Lay Away Team
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Away team odds were too high at 7.8 so no bet
South Korea - K League 48%
11:30 Jeju United (11) vs Seongnam (9)Layed away team pre-match at 3.55 with 0.5 pts then again at 1.4 with 0.5 pts at 0-1, cashed dout at 1-1 with away team odds at 5.0 for 0.5 pts profit
Lay Away Team if Take the Lead
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Layed away team at 1.70, which unfortunatley score stayed at 0-1 so a 0.7 pts loss
Overall a loss for the day of 0.97 pts
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Had a few months off, time to get this back up and running. All trades 1pt liability
1.5 Goals (Drip Back and cash out after a goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Back Two SH Goals at HT (green up make scratch after 1st 2H goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)
South Korea - K League 48%
11:30 Jeju United (11) vs Seongnam (9)Back Home Team (Green up after a goal)
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)Lay Away Team
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15)
South Korea - K League 48%
11:30 Jeju United (11) vs Seongnam (9)Lay Away Team if Take the Lead
China - Super League 43%
12:35 Jiangsu Suning (5) vs Shanghai Shenhua (15) -
Hi Gary, is this something you are still running?
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Tuesday Trades
Over 0.5 FHG @ 1.44
Sunderland v Barnsley - 7.45pm England L1Lay HT 0-0 DRIP
Newport v Northampton - 7.45pm England L2LTD AT HT
Leeds v Reading- 7.45 England CH
Brentford v Sheff Utd - 7.45 England CH
Oxford v Rochdale - 7.45pm England L1
Accrington v Wycombe - 7.45pm England L1
Burton v Charlton - 7.45pm England L1
Bury v Cheltenham - 7.45pm England L2
Gateshead v Solihull - 7.45pm England NLSH Over 1.5 Goals
Oxford v Rochdale - 7.45pm England L1 (only if not a draw at ht) -
@gary-finnigan said in GF Retirement Fund:
Monday Trades (1pt Liability per Trade)
Dutch 0-1 / 1-0 HT Market
AGF v Horsens - Denmark Superliga 6pm - early goal , no trade
Inplay 1.5
AZ II v Twente - Netherlands Eerste 7pm - early goal no trade
Crotone v Cosenza - Italy Serie B 8pm - red card , cashed out for 0.1 redSH 1.5
Crotone v Cosenza - Italy Serie B 8pm - 2 red cards first half no trade
SH LTD
Arka Gdynia v Wisla Krakow - Poland Ekstraklasa 5pm - 2-1 HT no trade
Dutch 0-3, 3-0, 1-2 & 2-1
Zamalek v El Gounah - Egypt Division 1 6pm - finished 3-0 1.6 pts
AZ II v Twente - Netherlands Eerste 7pm- finished 1-2 2.5 ptsDaily Profit 4pts
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Monday Trades (1pt Liability per Trade)
Dutch 0-1 / 1-0 HT Market
AGF v Horsens - Denmark Superliga 6pm
Inplay 1.5
AZ II v Twente - Netherlands Eerste 7pm
Crotone v Cosenza - Italy Serie B 8pmSH 1.5
Crotone v Cosenza - Italy Serie B 8pm
SH LTD
Arka Gdynia v Wisla Krakow - Poland Ekstraklasa 5pm
Dutch 0-3, 3-0, 1-2 & 2-1
Zamalek v El Gounah - Egypt Division 1 6pm
AZ II v Twente - Netherlands Eerste 7pm -
@gary-finnigan WOW thats some interesting data!
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@gary-finnigan said in GF Retirement Fund:
Quick end of month summary (only technically 3 weeks worth of results )
Ltd 1.3 pts
Fh 1.9 pts
O1.5 1.8 pts
Shg -0.4 ptsGrand Total of 4.6 pts profit
Not what I hoped for , but hopefully with the major euro leagues starting soon I will still be able to retire lol
Been doing some analysis, and things may be on the up, by removing certain leagues and or only laying if 0-0 or laying if not 0-0 my profit would have been much better. Obviously manipulating the stats may not work in guaranteeing future profits unless this trend continues.
So my rules / filters are as follows:
FH: Avoid Vietnam, Ireland - Division 1, Iceland - All leagues
O1.5 : Avoid Japan - J League, Finland - All leagues
SHG (Only trade if not 0-0 at HT): Avoid China - All leagues, Iceland - Pepsidelid, Norway - Division 1, Singapore - S-League
SHG - Only trade if 0-0 at HT: Finland - Veikkausliga, Ireland - Division 1, Sweden - All leagues
Which improves a 4.6 pt profit to 20 pts for the 3 week period since I started recording results.
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@lee-watson said in GF Retirement Fund:
@gary-finnigan I've just had a look at your spreadsheet and I'm interested in your SHG tab. What filter are you using for every result to be 0-0 at HT? I'm very interested in games that are very low scoring at HT. I am also testing a SHG strategy. Last week it did very well however I still want to keep testing it.
I use my own filter:
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@gary-finnigan I've just had a look at your spreadsheet and I'm interested in your SHG tab. What filter are you using for every result to be 0-0 at HT? I'm very interested in games that are very low scoring at HT. I am also testing a SHG strategy. Last week it did very well however I still want to keep testing it.
