Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

An interesting one today is that Midtjylland are and ELO favourite yet distinct underdog and have a comeback rating of 82. If Brondby take the lead it will be a cheap lay.

Well midtjylland took the lead. In fact just the one qualifier today which was back at ht in Romania.

[Richard Latimer]

An interesting one today is that Midtjylland are and ELO favourite yet distinct underdog and have a comeback rating of 82. If Brondby take the lead it will be a cheap lay.

[Richard Latimer]

3 went behind today and 2 came back, trouble is I was indisposed thanks to a family incident and Torino ended up getting battered! Juve made things look a little nicer.

After missing out on so many recently I started thinking about how I could I find an angle to trade when it was still goalless.

By combining ELO and ratings for first to score I came up with a list (some were duplicates of the potential lays) to back at HT if still 0-0 provided the odds had risen from kick off. Other than Stjarnan it worked very well.

Milan won easily enough, Malmo won and Beer Sheva scored late on too. Only blot was once again Stjarnan in Iceland who defied the inplay stats massively!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

9 potentials tomorrow starting in Beijing @ 12:35. Sheet fully updated.

That's down to 5 now as quite a few betfair doesn't have.

Not one fell behind. First today is 1-0 to favourite as well although for some reason it's not gone inplay anyway.

Sheet updated. Next game looking at is Dynamo Kiev.

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

9 potentials tomorrow starting in Beijing @ 12:35. Sheet fully updated.

That's down to 5 now as quite a few betfair doesn't have.

Not one fell behind. First today is 1-0 to favourite as well although for some reason it's not gone inplay anyway.

Sheet updated. Next game looking at is Dynamo Kiev.

Finally had a couple that went behind today. Marseille were behind for 3 minutes and I wasn't quick enough to get my lay in dicking around trying to get a better price. That's something I have to work on but ultimately it would have been a decent winner.

Domzale equalized through a penalty in the 85th and so managed to trade for almost full profit there too.

This is going well. Just hope I start to get more qualifiers again soon.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

9 potentials tomorrow starting in Beijing @ 12:35. Sheet fully updated.

That's down to 5 now as quite a few betfair doesn't have.

Not one fell behind. First today is 1-0 to favourite as well although for some reason it's not gone inplay anyway.

Sheet updated. Next game looking at is Dynamo Kiev.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

9 potentials tomorrow starting in Beijing @ 12:35. Sheet fully updated.

That's down to 5 now as quite a few betfair doesn't have.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

16/05/2019 17:00 Norway Obos-ligaen Normal Aalesund v Tromsdalen 1 16 -15 1603 1435 168 1.028 -0.289 0.621 -1.17 -0.142 0.332 3.12 30 38 8 76 39 18 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/05/2019 18:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal Orebro v Norrkoping 13 11 2 1494 1688 -194 0.408 -0.81 1.04 -0.307 0.101 0.23 2.58 -14 18 42 45 73 -23 12 17 7 55 -8 -5
16/05/2019 19:00 Switzerland Super League Normal Young Boys v Grasshoppers 1 10 -9 1798 1421 377 1.726 -0.427 0.046 -0.968 0.758 -0.381 3.46 43 57 6 91 22 25 44 -27 1 55 34 -10
16/05/2019 21:00 Egypt Premier League Normal Al Ahly v Enppi 1 9 -8 1838 1552 286 0.988 -0.051 0.551 -0.626 0.362 0.5 2.27 31 57 18 79 45 43 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/05/2019 22:30 Algeria Ligue 1 Normal ES Setif v Bordj Bou Arreridj 6 10 -4 1573 1467 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.46 53 64 36 79 23 49 0 0 0 0 0 0

Only if ELO favourite falls behind do I lay the opposition. Trade out when you feel comfortable. Double down on a second opposing goal and again trade out when comfortable.

And once again not a single qualifier. Nothing since 13/05 now. Must be a matter of time before one of them falls behind again.

9 potentials tomorrow starting in Beijing @ 12:35. Sheet fully updated.

[Richard Latimer]

16/05/2019 17:00 Norway Obos-ligaen Normal Aalesund v Tromsdalen 1 16 -15 1603 1435 168 1.028 -0.289 0.621 -1.17 -0.142 0.332 3.12 30 38 8 76 39 18 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/05/2019 18:00 Sweden Allsvenskan Normal Orebro v Norrkoping 13 11 2 1494 1688 -194 0.408 -0.81 1.04 -0.307 0.101 0.23 2.58 -14 18 42 45 73 -23 12 17 7 55 -8 -5
16/05/2019 19:00 Switzerland Super League Normal Young Boys v Grasshoppers 1 10 -9 1798 1421 377 1.726 -0.427 0.046 -0.968 0.758 -0.381 3.46 43 57 6 91 22 25 44 -27 1 55 34 -10
16/05/2019 21:00 Egypt Premier League Normal Al Ahly v Enppi 1 9 -8 1838 1552 286 0.988 -0.051 0.551 -0.626 0.362 0.5 2.27 31 57 18 79 45 43 0 0 0 0 0 0
16/05/2019 22:30 Algeria Ligue 1 Normal ES Setif v Bordj Bou Arreridj 6 10 -4 1573 1467 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.46 53 64 36 79 23 49 0 0 0 0 0 0

Only if ELO favourite falls behind do I lay the opposition. Trade out when you feel comfortable. Double down on a second opposing goal and again trade out when comfortable.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

3 potentials today:

If the following go behind I'll be laying the opposition. If they fall further behind I'll be doubling down on that lay. Looking to trade out after the ELO favourite bounces back into a winning position or if the match still stalemate on 80 minutes.

Esperance Tunis (liquidity dependent) - Tunisia
Hacken - Sweden
Stjarnan - Iceland

Nothing qualified inplay once more.

[Richard Latimer]

3 potentials today:

If the following go behind I'll be laying the opposition. If they fall further behind I'll be doubling down on that lay. Looking to trade out after the ELO favourite bounces back into a winning position or if the match still stalemate on 80 minutes.

Esperance Tunis (liquidity dependent) - Tunisia
Hacken - Sweden
Stjarnan - Iceland

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Just Rudes v Hadjuk to keep and eye on tomorrow. Think I may leave bet in for a bit if I get the chance.

Hadjuk went ahead early so nothing doing

[Richard Latimer]

Just Rudes v Hadjuk to keep and eye on tomorrow. Think I may leave bet in for a bit if I get the chance.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Eyes on Norrkoping and Besiktas in case either go behind. Happened already with Norrkoping. Laying Goteborg.

That's a win

Cashed at 1-1. Wondering if can be left for a bit to maximise earnings on this. Gothenburg winner didn't comen until 83rd minute.

So far I think I have to hang on a little before cashing to make the best of each winnning position. In terms of turning a winnning position into a losing position it has only happened towards the end of each game so far. 83rd minute today being the last.

Overall profit goes up by around 25% by doing this.
Leaving each trade to the very end is almost a break even position so little value evident there so far.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Eyes on Norrkoping and Besiktas in case either go behind. Happened already with Norrkoping. Laying Goteborg.

That's a win

Cashed at 1-1. Wondering if can be left for a bit to maximise earnings on this. Gothenburg winner didn't comen until 83rd minute.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

Eyes on Norrkoping and Besiktas in case either go behind. Happened already with Norrkoping. Laying Goteborg.

That's a win

[Richard Latimer]

Eyes on Norrkoping and Besiktas in case either go behind. Happened already with Norrkoping. Laying Goteborg.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

F*****g Man U....useless cunts!!

Good old Bolivia though to soften the blow. 2 from 3. Loss on Man U outweighs the wins unfortunately.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

F*****g Man U....useless cunts!!

Ooh what happened to the censoring haha!!??

[Richard Latimer]

F*****g Man U....useless cunts!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in All Goals Are Equal But Some Goals Are More Equal Than Others:

I'm on a stag do tomorrrow so won't have time to do any inplay trades. I'll leave the selections up in case anyone wants to have a go should any of them fall behind.

Not recording these for future as I wasn't here but ones I missed would have been 4-6 winners and a break even depending on what time I went to bed.

Resumed today. Just had Heracles at 0-1 go to 1-1 to start.