Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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This post is deleted!
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March started in the negative but still way better than what came at the end of Feb.
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A truly disgusting Feb in the end! Earlier in the month I feel I could have done with taking the shackles off. As soon as I did it was a disaster. Australia could have been avoided, as could Notts County. But then how many wins did I leave on the table early Feb. And just when could I say well this is it.
We are almost at that point worryingly enough. In any case....
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I'm taking the shackles off a bit this week. Dangerously close to 2yrs in the bag and over 950 selections. At this stage, even on a bad week I'm probably shelling out more on being overly cautious than I am riding the waves. At least I hope that's true. Lay Under 1.5:
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
@james-everard the theoretical data remains spot on. Its just that there are a) anomalies where a few data points combined amount to a very rare event and b) anomalies for odds ranges across a league. One minute it qualifies, next it kind of doesn't. When those selections fail and you can see the logic then it has to go moving forward.
Data remains good but actual has suffered a frustrating loss.
Keep it going then mate if you feel you have something that will turn good, good luck hope it works for you
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more@james-everard I've scrapped all those leagues anyway. Lower tier less reliable I think
Think i will delete some of the leagues that don't feature off my filters makes sense
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@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
@james-everard the theoretical data remains spot on. Its just that there are a) anomalies where a few data points combined amount to a very rare event and b) anomalies for odds ranges across a league. One minute it qualifies, next it kind of doesn't. When those selections fail and you can see the logic then it has to go moving forward.
Data remains good but actual has suffered a frustrating loss.
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@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more@james-everard I've scrapped all those leagues anyway. Lower tier less reliable I think
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@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more -
It's a familiar story at the moment....
I definitely could have lessened the impact though which is all the more frustrating.
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2-0 in Scotland. Full update coming.
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@Richard-Latimer they’ve not had that league for weeks! So frustrating
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And when that's done I'll try and post up weekends results including tonight.
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I've tried to be so cautious these last few weeks but I'm still getting bitten in the arse by things I look after and go.....oooooohhh missed that.
Tonight I'm looking at stats that won't tell me I missed that but a league with only 4 selections in almost 2 years.
Lay Under 1.5 Elgin
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What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
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Great start to the month and now it's hobbling along with a broken leg. Cautious, missing some damaging losses but picking up way too many on the way as well.
Looking at Plzen it was a banana skin. The others were unavoidable but actually doing worse by not including leagues with less data as they are picking up now.
Now 955 selections. I maintain that when that hits 1,000 as it should do in March I will wait for the start of a new month and, to use the well worn cliche, take the handbrake off.
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Lay Under 1.5:
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Betfair going through it's familiar removal of certain leagues for no apparent reason. NI seems to be the latest.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0
