Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
@james-everard the theoretical data remains spot on. Its just that there are a) anomalies where a few data points combined amount to a very rare event and b) anomalies for odds ranges across a league. One minute it qualifies, next it kind of doesn't. When those selections fail and you can see the logic then it has to go moving forward.
Data remains good but actual has suffered a frustrating loss.
Keep it going then mate if you feel you have something that will turn good, good luck hope it works for you
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more@james-everard I've scrapped all those leagues anyway. Lower tier less reliable I think
Think i will delete some of the leagues that don't feature off my filters makes sense
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@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
@james-everard the theoretical data remains spot on. Its just that there are a) anomalies where a few data points combined amount to a very rare event and b) anomalies for odds ranges across a league. One minute it qualifies, next it kind of doesn't. When those selections fail and you can see the logic then it has to go moving forward.
Data remains good but actual has suffered a frustrating loss.
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@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more@james-everard I've scrapped all those leagues anyway. Lower tier less reliable I think
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@Richard-Latimer Its very difficult mate , trying to find that golden system gets very frustrating just when you think it is the system it then has a disastrous month!
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
Ive noticed a lot of leagues either don't have selections regularly enough or not listed at all!
Examples being this season missing entirely are the German Regional leagues , the spanish 3 tier very occasionally this season. Also much less than last season are leagues below the National North/South, and the Turkish 3rd tier.
And also Iranian and Russian leagues are no more -
It's a familiar story at the moment....
I definitely could have lessened the impact though which is all the more frustrating.
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2-0 in Scotland. Full update coming.
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@Richard-Latimer they’ve not had that league for weeks! So frustrating
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And when that's done I'll try and post up weekends results including tonight.
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I've tried to be so cautious these last few weeks but I'm still getting bitten in the arse by things I look after and go.....oooooohhh missed that.
Tonight I'm looking at stats that won't tell me I missed that but a league with only 4 selections in almost 2 years.
Lay Under 1.5 Elgin
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What have betfair got against NI at the moment. Another one with no market tonight.
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Great start to the month and now it's hobbling along with a broken leg. Cautious, missing some damaging losses but picking up way too many on the way as well.
Looking at Plzen it was a banana skin. The others were unavoidable but actually doing worse by not including leagues with less data as they are picking up now.
Now 955 selections. I maintain that when that hits 1,000 as it should do in March I will wait for the start of a new month and, to use the well worn cliche, take the handbrake off.
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Lay Under 1.5:
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Betfair going through it's familiar removal of certain leagues for no apparent reason. NI seems to be the latest.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
It's not even break even:
I'm not worried, just slightly frustrated but I do mean to cut loose soon and there were many winners I turned my nose up at this weekend. Feyenoord was frustrating in hindsight but just the sort of thing I'd like to get out of the way before I hit 1,000 selections. Scored and conceded was very very high for both teams. While that hadn't meant trouble previously. It also fell into the not even come up much camp. Could have been avoided right now. Should have been.
Israel today however. That was a sucker punch. Sofascore gave me 2 score corrections early in 2nd half too which may have helped.
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@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer Hi mate , i had to withdraw my bank at the beginning of the month so just been paper trading loads of systems. I am feeling like you i want more data hundreds if not thousands of results before i start wanting to put money down again, think it will take me until the end of the season as i want to be confident i have enough analysis to see if a strategy will be successful.
Well this weekend was already a moderate loss but 0-0 in Israel turned it into a much bigger loss. And ultimately Feb back to break even.
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@Richard-Latimer Hi mate , i had to withdraw my bank at the beginning of the month so just been paper trading loads of systems. I am feeling like you i want more data hundreds if not thousands of results before i start wanting to put money down again, think it will take me until the end of the season as i want to be confident i have enough analysis to see if a strategy will be successful.
