Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Alarm bells are ringing on this one. Yes it probably wins but....
What I missed initially is how high the HS2+ and AC2+ numbers are.
Game heavily favours NEC and if they don't show up. Basically if I narrow these 2 numbers down or close to them (call it wiggle room) this is a scenario thrown up only twice before in 2 years.
Both were successful but once a year isn't a lot when you're talking about 1,000 selections a year on the raw data.
In case it's not clear I think I'm going to leave this one.
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Alarm bells are ringing on this one. Yes it probably wins but....
What I missed initially is how high the HS2+ and AC2+ numbers are.
Game heavily favours NEC and if they don't show up. Basically if I narrow these 2 numbers down or close to them (call it wiggle room) this is a scenario thrown up only twice before in 2 years.
Both were successful but once a year isn't a lot when you're talking about 1,000 selections a year on the raw data.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
Lay Under 1.5
Also, if odds between 6.4-7.4 I will lay under 1.5 in Newcastle Jets game tomorrow morning.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5 (update to inc. weekend game):
I'm actually less than 100 games away from a fine tuned 1,000 selections. I'm thinking that when that happens it will be 2 years data and I may just trade all that still qualifies when that time comes around. Sure, a few may fall by the way side but if not after 1,000 and 2yrs data when? Because in order to be truly comfortable I'll probably need 10 yrs.
And who's got time to wait for that!?
I do have almost 2,000 selections from the raw data as well so 1,000 examples of what not to do.
Den Haag didn't qualify,
Udinese did and lost then I looked and found a reason I shouldn't have made the trade
Cliftonville no market and won,
Then I got peed off and took Betis after 15 mins even though technically it wasn't within my ultra cautious playbook
After that the next 3 qualified and won so small gains but should have been small loss.... -
Lay Under 1.5 (update to inc. weekend game):
I'm actually less than 100 games away from a fine tuned 1,000 selections. I'm thinking that when that happens it will be 2 years data and I may just trade all that still qualifies when that time comes around. Sure, a few may fall by the way side but if not after 1,000 and 2yrs data when? Because in order to be truly comfortable I'll probably need 10 yrs.
And who's got time to wait for that!?
I do have almost 2,000 selections from the raw data as well so 1,000 examples of what not to do.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
Awful start to Jan so far but we'll continue in ultra cautious fashion and things will be sweet.
Lay Under 1.5:
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
What a weekend. 2 Selections. ! really shouldn't have taken and one I'd definitely take again which on the face of it was ruined by a FH red.
0/2
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Only one more I'm confident on so this weekend has been a dud. Some very high and very low stats. Lay Under 1.5:
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@Alessandro-Imbrescia Netherlands match is postponed like you said.
I think Wales I've just removed due to lack of liquidity.
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@Richard-Latimer
Hi Richard
One question: what led you to exclude these two matches?
Did you not take them into consideration because they were postponed due to bad weather or for another reason?
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 09/01/2026 20:00:00 Willem II Den Haag
Wales Cymru Premier 09/01/2026 20:45:00 Caernarfon Connahs Q.
Thanks in advance -
Lay Under 1.5:
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Another small update. There are so many games in UK leagues at the moment these are changing every couple of days.
Lay Under 1.5:
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@Alessandro-Imbrescia No, the highlighting is there only to help me when I'm looking for what will and won't be a selection based on the odds.
If any of these 5 fall between the odds on the right I will lay the under 1.5.
Currently I would say Lille and Sociedad are unlikely.
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Hello Richard,
So, according to your criteria, this weekend you will only be playing
Portadown Cliftonville
Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid
and not
Espanyol Barcelona
Lille Rennes
Inter Bologna
Is that correct? -
Updated Lay Under 1.5 for the next couple of days:
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2 profitable trades to finish what has been a small losing year. But the system I have developed looks to be gold.
It only falters around the edges.
The trick must be to operate within those edges and try to stay away from the very edge of what works until those edges become more pronounced.
The more selections around those edges the more confident I can be of what works and what simply doesn't.
The other 3 systems I'm working on I will just continue to do so in the background.
Happy new year everyone. And a big f**k you to 2025.
2025 can suck a f**k!!!
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@Alex-Rendell that's curious but it sure aligns with contrary thinking and what they would call sharps in the states.
Well today's looks to have possibly shortened slightly.
