Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Just working through todays selections and took a look at the over 1.5 odds for Bayern. Not sure I've ever seen such odds before even in Singapore.
22.0 to lay under 1.5!!!!
No thanks.
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There's a chance I will continue with the away lays. I'm actually being remarkably consistent in my application. It's just the noise that's coming out of my mouth or from the end of my fingers on the keys which is all over the place.
I'm not surprised. I've seen my bank go from over 5k to around £3400 in the space of weeks and that kind of thing will take it's toll on anyone I'm sure.
But the staking has been reset on away lays and therefore most of the odds won't see heavy liability.
The overs I have to believe my caution shown already is what was needed. After an awful Friday it's been steady as she goes with minimal selections and touch wood no losses since.
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Right, back to it. Lay Under 1.5:
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Serious work begins again. Lay Away:
Need price between 5.5-10.0
Another really high odds loser. I'm not shelving this but it would be remiss to continue as if nothing is happening.
Since the the early purple patch the bank on my away lays has plummeted. I rushed it and it's simply not ready.
Just the overs for now while I watch what is happening.
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Serious work begins again. Lay Away:
Need price between 5.5-10.0
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
I left the Jap game as odds too low. Left Korean game for same reason.
Seen enough in stats at very low odds to get in at ht. Also doing this because South Korea one of the better leagues and still falls within overall odds parameters.
And now it's 0-2
I laid at 1.71 though so not bothered. -
I left the Jap game as odds too low. Left Korean game for same reason.
Seen enough in stats at very low odds to get in at ht. Also doing this because South Korea one of the better leagues and still falls within overall odds parameters.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
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@Alex-Rendell said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer remember that nothing loses forever, just as nothing wins forever and if you constantly do all your losing at the top end of your staking and then try to win it back at the lower end, then you’re simply not going to make it. Eventually you’ve got to stand behind something (find one system that you really know well) and ride out the highs and lows - if you’ve said your bank was 3k and you stop when you get down to 2k then it was never a 3k bank in the first place. Your bank is simply how much you can handle losing.
Yeah you are right. But my strategy and staking is set on the basis that you lose 35% and you reset staking.
Losing 35% is not something that should happen on a regular basis.
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@Richard-Latimer remember that nothing loses forever, just as nothing wins forever and if you constantly do all your losing at the top end of your staking and then try to win it back at the lower end, then you’re simply not going to make it. Eventually you’ve got to stand behind something (find one system that you really know well) and ride out the highs and lows - if you’ve said your bank was 3k and you stop when you get down to 2k then it was never a 3k bank in the first place. Your bank is simply how much you can handle losing.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
After the last weekend I've made up my mind to fall back a little on away lays. Looks too early and while I was expecting blips this has rocketed then gone into free fall.
No point in diversifying if both are struggling.
So paper trading away lays and proceeding with caution on the overs.
My bank is now looking a bit scary so have to stop the blood loss before I can look at the profit again.
Feeling a bit differently now. The bank on away lays needs to be reset now anyway in terms of staking. Honestly I'm not sure what I'm going to do. I'll look at the next 2 selections which are in Japan and Korea tomorrow morning then decide based on the odds I think.
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After the last weekend I've made up my mind to fall back a little on away lays. Looks too early and while I was expecting blips this has rocketed then gone into free fall.
No point in diversifying if both are struggling.
So paper trading away lays and proceeding with caution on the overs.
My bank is now looking a bit scary so have to stop the blood loss before I can look at the profit again.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Away:
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Overs finished for the weekend and other than missing a couple of winners I'm happy with my decisions this weekend:
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I can't even be bothered to go into the away lays again today.
So far so good on a slow crawl back with the overs but I missed Iceland. Too busy looking at what I couldn't change in Fenerbahce. There is a lesson here to concentrate on the upcoming rather than stressing on where the ball is already rolling I guess.
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That's the overs
And that's the away lays.
I'll take that after Friday.
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Lay Away:
Again, price ranges to the right.
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I'm off out tomorrow so posting it all up tonight. Lay Under 1.5:
I've put required pricing to the right. Some of these seem like very small ranges but it's only when there's not too much either side. The more selections I have the greater the range generally speaking.
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Some times you do all the right things. As annoying as tonight is and it is annoying for sure.....it's nowhere near as annoying as knowing I made mistakes according to what I considered may have gone wrong.
First loss in my qualifiers on laying away in Romania. Price bang smack in the middle of what has worked up to now.
Price in Finland back smack in the middle of what has worked. And then Shitty, bang smack in the middle. Yes Wolves have nothing to play for but City do and you thought they would have come out with a bit of fire. In any case I follow the statistics.
Typically enough the ones I played safe on laying away all won haha!!
And I missed an over in Switzerland. Very small mistake.Heading to the point where I'll be re-setting the bank soon.
