*****New Football Thread*****

Martin

Welcome to the new football trading main thread!

Keep all of your football trading discussion in here!

Not sure where to start with football trading? Take a look at our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

We have written a guide on what to consider before following any trades, this is a must read before following any trades below: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/football-trading-betfair-essentials

FHG = First Half Goal
SHG = Second Half Goal
LTD = Lay The Draw
LCS = Lay Current Score

My testing sheet for 2025: Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

Akiva Anderson

Loved that Newcastle v Bournemouth match. Didn’t see that result coming. I expected a draw

Akiva Anderson

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson you had any luck getting the AI to analyse the data on your sheets?

Haven’t even looked at it yet.

Martin

@Mark-Maguire couple of questions on these, are there any odds you avoid? I know you don't mind short odds, just wondering how short. Also, how do you further refine the games from the list you get from your filters?

Thanks

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson you had any luck getting the AI to analyse the data on your sheets?

Mark Maguire

Long list to work through today but amongst them:

02.5 split stake

Bayern vs Wolfsburg
Bolton vs Cambridge
Zwolle vs PSV
Brugge vs Beerschot
Mechelen vs Genk

Akiva Anderson

Sydney FC v Brisbane Roar. I got Sydney at 1.53. They are now 1.42.

Akiva Anderson

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson what odds were utd at KO? would have been great value late on!

Not sure. I got them at 1.35. When Southampton scored United were 3.0

Akiva Anderson

@mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Gotta fancy United at home to Southampton tonight?

Ha ha, I dunno... They're so random at the moment

Never in doubt!!

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson what odds were utd at KO? would have been great value late on!

mick mcmahon

@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Gotta fancy United at home to Southampton tonight?

Ha ha, I dunno... They're so random at the moment

GREGORIOS KARASHIALIS

@Akiva-Anderson

Hello my friend can you send me that video

Akiva Anderson

Gotta fancy United at home to Southampton tonight?

Akiva Anderson

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson I did a video on the YT channel yesterday using AI to give suggestions of stats to use for an over 2.5 goals strategy, I was impressed with the answer!

AI is turning me into a very lazy person!!

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson I did a video on the YT channel yesterday using AI to give suggestions of stats to use for an over 2.5 goals strategy, I was impressed with the answer!

Akiva Anderson

@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Akiva-Anderson very good stuff there! Full house, how long have you been using that to make your trades?

Only a week or so, but I check it aligns with the stuff I'm already doing anyway. I find it's good when you are out and about. It's good for a quick check. It has the potential to get better though

Martin

@Akiva-Anderson very good stuff there! Full house, how long have you been using that to make your trades?

Shannon Townsend

@Akiva-Anderson nice one have O2 rewards so will take a look at this app

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Plymouth v Oxford match. 0-1 at HT

Based on the statistics provided, there is a high likelihood of a second half goal in the Plymouth v Oxford match:
• Plymouth has scored in the second half in 91% of their home games this season.
• Oxford has conceded in the second half in 83% of their away games.
• Plymouth averages 1.55 goals scored in the second half at home.
• Oxford concedes an average of 1.17 goals in the second half away.
• 72% of Plymouth’s home games have seen over 0.5 goals in the second half.

Akiva Anderson

SHG in the Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg match. 1-1 at HT

1.	Eintracht Frankfurt has scored in the second half in 86% of their home matches this season.
2.	Freiburg has conceded an average of 1.38 goals in the second half of their away matches.
3.	In recent head-to-head meetings, both teams have shown a tendency to score in the second half. For example, in their last encounter, there were 3 goals scored after halftime.
4.	The overall goal-scoring statistics indicate that both teams are prolific in the second half, with Frankfurt averaging 1.29 goals and Freiburg 0.75 goals in the second 45 minutes.