BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Seeing little i like in this one. Had a PAK lay in at 2.1 late yesterday for 20 mins and price did not move, so came out. 10 mins later with no change in rate, was 2.7. Everytime since the prices have moved as expected but liability too high.
Think il hold off until the draw gets silly short then maybe have a punt. ENG could bat until this time tomorrow then put PAK in. Guess it depends if Root, Brook and Smith can score really big though. But batting 5 sessions on this track to save still looks very realistic, even for PAK.
Would be far happier if ENG were chasing 350 in 50 overs for the win on day 5 though.
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PAK ENG
DRAW LAY 1.71 to go with initial LAY 2.34 -
Nar PAK going to blow hard closer ENG get
My minds on draw lay all day
Eyeing thoughts at worst case if ENG chase 350 with 50-60 overs left (hopefully a pak sporting declaration ha)
What price would the draw be then .., suspect not much diff to now if its lower LAUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUNNNNNNNNNNCH -
Guessing PAK price will only come in if they take early wickets? Pity, would really like to lay them from here.
Holding off anything at the moment.
Everything is telling me ENG bat long too. Seen little from the pitch, its not IND/ SL where you know it will crumble. Wickets have been errors/fatigue from the batters. Can PAK bowlers get more from it is the real question.
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PAK ENG
DRAW LAY @2.34 hooking in !!!! -
@Stephen-Hancox totally agree, long way. But for me, a small red now, can re-enter later, the price will still be there. Looking like the draw could get very low.
We see clusters of wickets all the time in tests so definitely a chance.
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@Nathan-Bennett yeh, I've watched the draw tumble in fast, taken a red on that for now. Small red for now much better than a huge one later. This looks similar to the 1st test vs BANG, nothing for the bowlers.
I do agree, given what has happened and the lack of penetration in the ENG attack too, a big PAK lay could be the play once they get a big score. I fancy ENG to get some runs, the concern was always their bowling.
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Got some Eng draw lays in at 5.8 and 4, will do same again if gets to 3. Waiting game, long way to go.
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@Fraser-cord Cant say i was to convinced in PAK bowling V Eng last time they toured there
Could easily be a PAK launch lay 1.70 areas -
@Nathan-Bennett not the most lively pitch. Expecting PAK to bat quite long but ENG already missed a couple of chances.
I'm in LTD at 4.2. Probably best to walk away for a few hours and just let things develop.
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PAK ENG
No vision yet me
How's the pitch looking
Draw could get real low especially if PAK wern't to take quick wickets first INNS -
Been a bit perplexed by the prices in PAK vs ENG, especially the draw. Got on below 5.0 before the start and scalped a little green. Waiting for it to go back below 5.0 (hopefully) then in again.
If PAK bat long and score big, ENG will go after it fast, either get close inside 100 overs or be all out miles away in less time. Hard to see the price not going well above at some point.
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Il be keeping an eye on SL W vs AUS W today. Was hoping AUS batted 1st, but if SL put up a decent total, could be a chance to Lay AUS as very low odds.
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Looking very unlikely, was expecting big things from SL but they are miles off so won't be touching this one now
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@Stephen-Hancox early forecast has patchy rain on days 1 and 2. Hopefully bring the price in nicely as England don't do draws!
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Quite a low draw price on the Pak v Eng test next week at 5.8. Worth keeping an eye on any early weather forecasts for early swings.
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IND BANG
Been great
Last stab small small lay IND 1.06
Greened up so much so good -
@Nathan-Bennett great shout. Gutted I've been out all morning, just got home and turned it on. Struggling to believe what I'm seeing.
Huge test for BAN to try and survive today.
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LATE
IND BANG
But had a wee DRAW LAY 1.12
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Going as hoped wickets and fast runs lets go
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Dipped as low as 1.08
Taken a stack of green @2.16
Ride the rest for quite a while probably till IND declare -
Pretty slow 1st day in SL vs NZ.
Got my 1st Draw lay at 5.0 what seems like forever ago, little market moves since. Could do with a couple of wickets to push this game along.
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There we go, 1 already!!!
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@Nathan-Bennett prices were flying all over the place. Agree, never saw Williamson getting out like that.
A small NZ back in the morning could be very profitable if Rachin gets 1 away, price will fly in. Surely can't play in singles to win this.Looking back, that draw price started below 3 and have Probably lost 20 overs max in 4 days, could of made a mint with a semi accurate weather forecast, oh well.
