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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #201

    @Nathan-Bennett was looking good for a while, but that last session certainly tipped it for SRI.

    Will see what kind of lead they get but thinking a Kiwi lay tomorrow below 3.0 will be good value, pitch starting to misbehave already (plus the threat of rain later in the test too)

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #202

    SRI NZ
    SRI LAY 1.92
    Aiming for 25% ROI

    F 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    wrote on last edited by
    #203

    I see SRI vs NZ starts tomorrow. Rain forecast on all 5 days. ESPN mentioned a rest day on day 4 and sofascore has this scheduled for 6 days. Do we know if that's actually a thing?

    Rain forecast looking worse on days 4-6, will see how the 1st couple of sessions go but laying the team batting 2nd could be an option with the safety of a potential washout. Galle a very spin friendly place so batting last will be tough.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #204

    ENG SRI
    Got to have a lay of SRI here @1.15
    See what happens

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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    wrote on last edited by
    #205

    Still can't get ENG sometimes. That was a brilliant cameo from Smith, but just as it looks like you are in control and almost have enough, don't get out on the final ball of the session, play smart.

    That's maybe another 50 runs down the drain.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #206

    ENG SRI
    ENG BIG LAY 1.26
    Stake out 1.5’s and monitor
    …
    Stake out 1.57 let’s go SRI
    …
    This is awesome by SRI
    Laughable by ENG far to arrogant only 60 odd infront after first INNS everyone acting like they $1.01 pops
    …
    SRI maybe too short now 1.67
    Taking the fill up
    GREEEEEEEEEEEN DAY BANG

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  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Fraser cord on last edited by
    #207

    @Fraser-cord The forecast is unpredictable and changing all the time. An eventual draw could be a bigger threat than usual, therefore I've been backing and laying mostly between 5 and 6 to slowly build up green.

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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    wrote on last edited by
    #208

    So my expectation was England score fast, get over 400 and SRI face 40 overs today, clearly not now.

    They said the bad weather was due Monday, forecast now looks like tomorrow could be that, maybe lose most of the day. But ENG have lots of time today to pick up wickets now

    Il LTD if it gets around 5.0, potentially greening up at end of day if possible, then re-lay if significant time is lost tomorrow.

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    replied to Stephen Hancox on last edited by
    #209

    @Stephen-Hancox wasn't sure how much further it might fall if no more play today so held off

    Agree with your take and so far proving correct. I was thinking waiting until SRI bat, then have an idea of a target and time left (providing ENG dont get rolled today).
    Might get below 4 again, only the weather stops a result for sure.

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  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    wrote on last edited by Stephen Hancox
    #210

    and as if by magic, the sun has put his hat on and the draw price is above 5 without play starting yet 😁

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  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    wrote on last edited by
    #211

    It's always a gamble interpreting weather apps but I'm thinking 3-4 days play, and being England that's often enough to force a result. I'm laying the draw now at just over 4

    F 1 Reply Last reply
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  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Tony Hastie
    wrote on last edited by Tony Hastie
    #212

    England match delayed by bad light at 1.30 in the afternoon. Or are they playing it in NZ or something?😁 Draw down to 4s already...

    Edit-OK, rain as well!

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #213

    ENG SRI
    DRAW back to lay
    Backed @9.6
    Would green @7.0 or close to 25% green ROI
    Or
    Take a 25% loss
    What ever happens first
    …
    Greened @7.6 ✅

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #214

    PAK BANG
    PAK at it again
    Too easy

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    replied to Tony Hastie on last edited by
    #215

    @Tony-Hastie Nice one. I didn't hang on as didn't want to rely on the weather again.

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  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Tony Hastie
    replied to Stephen Hancox on last edited by
    #216

    @Stephen-Hancox I missed the sunday morning window, thankfully theres a similar thing happening on a monday morning! PAK 81/6, draw close to 5. Its taken 4 days but finally seeing green🥳

    Stephen HancoxS 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen HancoxS Offline
    Stephen Hancox
    wrote on last edited by
    #217

    Had average LTD odds of 2 for Bang v Pak in the test. Woke up this morning and Bang had collapsed to 50-6 and so I greened up with back odds of 2.8. If I'd woken up half an hour earlier I would have been able to back at 4. I'll let myself off for a Sunday morning 😆

    T 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #218

    ENG SRI
    ENG LAY 1.07 ... 1.2's be nice one of the days

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #219

    PAK BANG
    Yeah wow draw price surely two days washed out if its this price
    When LAY 1.12 last test should of added in an extra mind thought of
    AFTERALL IT IS PAKISTAN
    got to have some thought rorts in back of mind and that these teams need to earn in more ways than one

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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    replied to Stephen Hancox on last edited by
    #220

    @Stephen-Hancox yeh I'm a bit puzzled it's so low. Yes the 1st test seemed certain for a draw and 5 day forecast almost identical at the same venue. So a wet start day 1 may bring handy bowling conditions early on.

    May be worth waiting to lay as the price could come in further with a delayed start. BANG will be happy with a draw so hopefully PAK are aggressive

    Will be keeping an eye on ENG vs SRI today too.

    1 Reply Last reply
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