BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Nathan-Bennett was looking good for a while, but that last session certainly tipped it for SRI.
Will see what kind of lead they get but thinking a Kiwi lay tomorrow below 3.0 will be good value, pitch starting to misbehave already (plus the threat of rain later in the test too)
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SRI NZ
SRI LAY 1.92
Aiming for 25% ROI -
I see SRI vs NZ starts tomorrow. Rain forecast on all 5 days. ESPN mentioned a rest day on day 4 and sofascore has this scheduled for 6 days. Do we know if that's actually a thing?
Rain forecast looking worse on days 4-6, will see how the 1st couple of sessions go but laying the team batting 2nd could be an option with the safety of a potential washout. Galle a very spin friendly place so batting last will be tough.
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ENG SRI
Got to have a lay of SRI here @1.15
See what happens -
Still can't get ENG sometimes. That was a brilliant cameo from Smith, but just as it looks like you are in control and almost have enough, don't get out on the final ball of the session, play smart.
That's maybe another 50 runs down the drain.
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ENG SRI
ENG BIG LAY 1.26
Stake out 1.5’s and monitor
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Stake out 1.57 let’s go SRI
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This is awesome by SRI
Laughable by ENG far to arrogant only 60 odd infront after first INNS everyone acting like they $1.01 pops
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SRI maybe too short now 1.67
Taking the fill up
GREEEEEEEEEEEN DAY BANG -
@Fraser-cord The forecast is unpredictable and changing all the time. An eventual draw could be a bigger threat than usual, therefore I've been backing and laying mostly between 5 and 6 to slowly build up green.
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So my expectation was England score fast, get over 400 and SRI face 40 overs today, clearly not now.
They said the bad weather was due Monday, forecast now looks like tomorrow could be that, maybe lose most of the day. But ENG have lots of time today to pick up wickets now
Il LTD if it gets around 5.0, potentially greening up at end of day if possible, then re-lay if significant time is lost tomorrow.
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@Stephen-Hancox wasn't sure how much further it might fall if no more play today so held off
Agree with your take and so far proving correct. I was thinking waiting until SRI bat, then have an idea of a target and time left (providing ENG dont get rolled today).
Might get below 4 again, only the weather stops a result for sure. -
and as if by magic, the sun has put his hat on and the draw price is above 5 without play starting yet
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It's always a gamble interpreting weather apps but I'm thinking 3-4 days play, and being England that's often enough to force a result. I'm laying the draw now at just over 4
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England match delayed by bad light at 1.30 in the afternoon. Or are they playing it in NZ or something?
Draw down to 4s already...Edit-OK, rain as well!
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ENG SRI
DRAW back to lay
Backed @9.6
Would green @7.0 or close to 25% green ROI
Or
Take a 25% loss
What ever happens first
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Greened @7.6
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PAK BANG
PAK at it again
Too easy -
@Tony-Hastie Nice one. I didn't hang on as didn't want to rely on the weather again.
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@Stephen-Hancox I missed the sunday morning window, thankfully theres a similar thing happening on a monday morning! PAK 81/6, draw close to 5. Its taken 4 days but finally seeing green
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Had average LTD odds of 2 for Bang v Pak in the test. Woke up this morning and Bang had collapsed to 50-6 and so I greened up with back odds of 2.8. If I'd woken up half an hour earlier I would have been able to back at 4. I'll let myself off for a Sunday morning
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ENG SRI
ENG LAY 1.07 ... 1.2's be nice one of the days -
PAK BANG
Yeah wow draw price surely two days washed out if its this price
When LAY 1.12 last test should of added in an extra mind thought of
AFTERALL IT IS PAKISTAN
got to have some thought rorts in back of mind and that these teams need to earn in more ways than one -
@Stephen-Hancox yeh I'm a bit puzzled it's so low. Yes the 1st test seemed certain for a draw and 5 day forecast almost identical at the same venue. So a wet start day 1 may bring handy bowling conditions early on.
May be worth waiting to lay as the price could come in further with a delayed start. BANG will be happy with a draw so hopefully PAK are aggressive
Will be keeping an eye on ENG vs SRI today too.
