*****New Football Thread*****
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@Ben-Dobie said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin thanks mate sounds like an exciting league to trade
Re Lay Away I should have a look at that , I’m currently testing a filter that is starting to look good for laying the home team not that it was set up for that. Need more data but will share if and when it looks like a goer 
I have something similar that reverse engineers the Lay Away Team for a Lay Home Team, got some data on odds ranges for it may or may not work the same for yours of course.
Best odds to lay home - 3.3-5.2
Back home 1.5-3.25 & 5.3-5.6 -
@Ben-Dobie I trade most. Just stay away from Venezuela, Guatamala & Nicaragua!
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@Martin thanks mate sounds like an exciting league to trade
Re Lay Away I should have a look at that , I’m currently testing a filter that is starting to look good for laying the home team not that it was set up for that. Need more data but will share if and when it looks like a goer -
@Simon-Bates said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Ben-Dobie in the last 3 months of my data collection, 2 South American leagues have shone for me, the Peruvian Liga 1 has been my best profitable league for me, games 40/36 winning trades, also Mexico Liga MX games 60/53 winning trades.
Peru is great, especially watching some of the games, there appears little tactics just everyone chase the ball!
Well done on your great day, lay away was very good too all versions!
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Best trading day ever yesterday since I started trading from scratch 6 months ago, O1.5 goals, trades 78/69 winning trades giving me a 53% ROI, had a disastrous Saturday so yesterday made up for it.
I got some advice from here about filtering out non performing leagues from my strategy, probably one of the best bits of advice I've got from here, I have other strategies I'm testing and they're in profit without even filtering odds or leagues, so looking forward to seeing what these can offer me when I get round to checking them.
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Over 1.5 Goals (BTC):
18:00 - Elfsborg vs Kalmar
SHG:
18:00 - Elfsborg vs Kalmar
19:45 – Derry City v St Pats
20:00 – Middlesbrough v Leeds -
@Simon-Bates brilliant thanks for coming back mate I’ll have a look at those two
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@Ben-Dobie in the last 3 months of my data collection, 2 South American leagues have shone for me, the Peruvian Liga 1 has been my best profitable league for me, games 40/36 winning trades, also Mexico Liga MX games 60/53 winning trades.
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@Arran-Shackell no I haven't have you noted it to Adam on the support thread?
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You have promoted me to ask a question actually, so thank you.
@Martin have you ever noticed some of the Argentinian games don’t display a league table?
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Morning all .... just off the back of probably my best day I've ever had yesterday 10/10 so very happy this morning
I have a question for overs / goals traders can anybody give me any info on good leagues to trade in Latin America , never really touched them for no particular reason but would like to get involved if there are leagues worth having a look at.
Thanks in advance
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@Chris-King that's great to hear! Value is king in this game sounds like you are making good progress!
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@Simon-Bates Glad it came in for you - hell of a game. How crap are Utd lol?
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@Alex-Rule I took your advice, gambled on a 21p loss, won my back bet on Bet365 (1.44) and got an early payout, £4.40, when United went 2 nil up, then got a full turn around on the exchange at full time and won my lay bet (1.47) too, £9.80.
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As of the time of this message, my O1.5 goals strategy today, 57 out of 65 wins, in them wins I had a 29 trade win streak, still got 15 to go before the end of the day.
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@Martin I have found on a one of my set and forgets tests (FHG) that i just wait for odds 2.0 or i don’t trade it even though the stats had shown it was profitable entering from KO. SR is about 62-64% and staying in profit.
So it’s now turned in to a strategy i trade you could say. Just not many selections so may need to look at de-restricting the filter as it were to try to get more and see how it goes.
I have also thought of a lay over 4.5 goals strategy for matches with early goals on matches with short priced goals since tracking the BTC SHG filter which could be very good.
You had a recent pod about value and the timing of that with my current trading situation seems to have hit home. Although i always knew value was imperative i’m focusing far more on it than before.
