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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.9k Posts 104 Posters 68.6k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Greg Mitchell on last edited by
    #1661

    @Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

    It's annoying because I wanted to lay them. Then the price shot up so I waited....but it just kept going up until they fell behind.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg MitchellG Offline
    Greg Mitchell
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1662

    @Richard-Latimer Think there goalkeeper and star striker can only play until halftime, then they have a plumbing job to do..

    Richard LatimerR MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1663

    Anyone trade non league? See the odds on Chippenham flew up just before kick off and they're only going higher despite Chippenham being on the attack.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Greg MitchellG 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #1664

    @andrew-page my O1.5 nearly mirrors yours, yesterday was a good day for me, I was trading my selections from after filtering out the worst performing leagues for my strategy, hoping today follows suit, I'm on 6 out of 6 this morning.
    Screenshot_20240420_094958_Sheets.jpg

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1665

    @Alex-Rule back testing... droooool please... Soon...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1666

    @Martin Yes, and I also find it hard to go all in on with a strat that often gets less than 30 selections a month. Back testing will answer the question once and for all if it's worth sticking with.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to andrew page on last edited by
    #1667

    @andrew-page now that's a list and half!!
    Are those your final bets or your starting point?

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    andrew page
    wrote on last edited by
    #1668

    FREE TIPS.PNG

    Lets see if come out today unscathed

    Cruch end of a the winter leagues

    M Simon BatesS 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1669

    @mick-mcmahon https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3286/set-forget-football-strategies/2 it's in the OP here

    1 Reply Last reply
    👍
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1670

    @Martin Thanks, but when I click the link I get the not found message and not the json data. Does it work if you click it?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by Martin
    #1671

    @mick-mcmahon said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    @Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link

    How to Download & Upload a Strategy:

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1672

    @Martin Getting a not found when clicking on that link 73a4370a-6f4f-4bfb-9364-3b79e3794cac-image.png

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #1673

    @Alex-Rule my concern with that strategy is the covid effect, it started really well in covid and dropped off after covid

    Alex RuleA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex RuleA Offline
    Alex Rule
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1674

    @mick-mcmahon Tomaz Lay 1.5 strat has been doing well in the long term. Over a years worth of data now as well.

    Hang on in there - once the footy update happens it's going to be like opening Pandora's box. The world will never be the same again. You'll be able to back test and then forward test just leaving the strats live in the software (as I understand it). Meaning you can run several strats and collect data at once and not touch them. 🤯

    Then you will be able to link those to BFBM and and in just a few clicks in the morning your set and forget as well as inplay strats will do done for you!!!!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1675

    @mick-mcmahon 3.0 is here: 1712600619872-filter-settings-3.txt

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1676

    Thanks @Martin. Do you have the filters for them and I'll track them too

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to mick mcmahon on last edited by
    #1677

    @mick-mcmahon lay away 2.0 and 3.0 have been doing well, I did miss the past weekend but apparently they also did very well over the weekend too.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    mick mcmahon
    wrote on last edited by
    #1678

    It just takes soooo long to sort a strat. I had a over 1.5 that I paper tested for about 3 months and had an almost 85% strike rate. Then when I went to start using it I realised the odds for a good chunk of my results where really low 🙄

    I changed it to record the odds over 0.5, 1.5 & 2.5 but think I accidentally modified as the strike rate dropped 🙄🙄

    So got a few variations of it now but not quite hitting the 85% again. I also record a few other strats too. Martins lay over 3.5 and lay away among them. But nothing is really setting the world alight.

    I created a little web app to import the all results csv from the software and I enter the scores to keep so I can easily follow lots of strats (the goal times ares stores against the match I'd not the start) but still!! Nothing to right home about. 🙄🙄🙄

    So... Does any have some more-or-less strats that work they be willing to share. I feel I want to see what things people are using to build there's for ideas to modify mine.
    Starting again means waiting 3 or so months to realise if you have something or nothing.

    MartinM Alex RuleA 2 Replies Last reply
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  • B Offline
    B Offline
    Ben Dobie
    replied to Simon Bates on last edited by
    #1679

    @Simon-Bates this is a good idea mate, I used to do something similar using Smarkets but wasn’t disciplined at all with it, maybe incorporating BTC software to find some value bets will help me leave my Betfair balance alone. Cheers for the response 👍🏻

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon BatesS Offline
    Simon Bates
    replied to Ben Dobie on last edited by
    #1680

    @Ben-Dobie I was doing what you was doing, trades outside my plan, It was the excitement of winning and thinking i could do this to every trade I did outside my plan, i quickly realised this was no good for my bank and if I carried on then when it was time to put my normal plan trades on then there wouldn't be enough to cover them all, I thought there's no rush to keep putting trades on cos my plan would give me more filter results the next day so just be patient, what i do when I get itchy trading fingers is forget about Betfair and go through the days footy games and use the BTC software stats to try and work out which teams are likely to win and put a few quid on an acca on one of my bookies accounts, it still gives me the excitement of trying to win by using the software and also learning to use it at the same time and trying different tweaks to win, but without the worry of losing some of my bank, we all do different things to discipline ourselves but this is how I stopped stupid trading outside my plan.

    B 1 Reply Last reply
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