John’s Horse Trading Resources
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1/1 Dob 1/1 Trob. So made back the three points lost yesterday.
Horse drifted out from below 3 to over 4 and still won. Just shows what the market knows sometimes.
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@Adam said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Yes. When it's raining I find racing to be different. These are definitely affected. Look at it like this, when you were younger you hated running cross country in the rain. Why would it be different for horses?
That's true, even the promise of a full nose-bag at the end of the race didn't work on me...
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@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Yes. When it's raining I find racing to be different. These are definitely affected. Look at it like this, when you were younger you hated running cross country in the rain. Why would it be different for horses?
That's true, even the promise of a full nose-bag at the end of the race didn't work on me...
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@Adam said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
3 points lost today. Bloody rain
I know we've talked about this before... are you seeing any correlation between the weather vs the going? In other words, the actual weather being a deciding factor independent of the going?
Yes. When it's raining I find racing to be different. These are definitely affected. Look at it like this, when you were younger you hated running cross country in the rain. Why would it be different for horses?
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@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
3 points lost today. Bloody rain
I know we've talked about this before... are you seeing any correlation between the weather vs the going? In other words, the actual weather being a deciding factor independent of the going?
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3 points lost today. Bloody rain
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Yeah, doing really well in the races I can get on. The school run and after school clubs put a bit of a damper on things though!
Story of my life that was. I’m very lucky now. They are old enough to not be as much aggro
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@John-Folan Yeah, doing really well in the races I can get on. The school run and after school clubs put a bit of a damper on things though!
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Going back to the L2B for a moment...
Dreammaker suggests he will only enter the market if there is plenty of lay money below the current lay price. How much would you regard as plenty? Ive been looking at about £50 at each of the next 3 prices. Its a starting point I guess. Interested to see your take...
BTW I found the guy who created this strategy in a discord group I lurk in...
He posted it in may 2023. Its much the same as the one in your original post. 2 new rules though...- needs to be 6 runners minimum
- must have had at least 4 previous runs
I’m usually looking for about the same. Preferably more. A good sign a horse is expected to fail and people are looking for value and may have already drifted.
Makes sense I usually leave lower runner numbers alone as a matter of course. 4 previous runs is a nice form history to start with as well.
Doing ok with these? Shame they can’t be automated but I just find the stop loss is taken too quickly
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@John-Folan Going back to the L2B for a moment...
Dreammaker suggests he will only enter the market if there is plenty of lay money below the current lay price. How much would you regard as plenty? Ive been looking at about £50 at each of the next 3 prices. Its a starting point I guess. Interested to see your take...
BTW I found the guy who created this strategy in a discord group I lurk in...
He posted it in may 2023. Its much the same as the one in your original post. 2 new rules though...- needs to be 6 runners minimum
- must have had at least 4 previous runs
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Scratch today. 1/1 dobs 0/1 trobs
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@John-Folan unbelievable effort!! Great work
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@John-Folan 19pts on Trobs is insane! Well done
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A nice dob and trob on the only one that hit the odds today. 3 points to finish the month nicely.
So 5 points dobbing and to be honest an unbelievable 19 points on the trobs. This is purely because the dobs pick from a wider odds range and you get two points back for a trob and only one for a dob. Dobs are still running a bit short on strike rate so hopefully some lovely positive variance is coming my way. Trobs are literally where they should be. Both methods I am happy to say have hit new bank highs.
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@Martin said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan very consistent stuff
Took a long time to start performing again after Covid.
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@John-Folan very consistent stuff
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Nice three points today after a very quiet weekend. 1/1 Trob and 1/1 Dob
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No selections yesterday. Should have one hit today.
In other news my pace lays have massively recovered and are looking good after a disastrous March in which all my strategies failed. Will post at the end of the month so I have a full three months forward testing. Also have a strategy dobbing certain favorites that’s tested ok over three months will do the same there.
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Sounds better than it is! I cover my arse a bit
It’s a not a true QOB. I have a bot set up to put a point on each, HDOB, DOB, TOB and QOB. If the horse HDOBs I lose 2.5 points, DOBs I lose .5 of a point. TOBs I gain 2.5 points and QOBs I gain 6.5 points
Not a bad move. I do dob/trob. So risking 2 points to win 3. I will be adding the win in on the trob range soon as they are pretty decent too. May as well rinse a horse for as much as possible for minimal risk. I am now going to be looking at your breakdown to see if that works for me on my picks.