*****New Football Thread*****
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A couple tonight:
01.5 split stake out after 70 if no goal
Jong PSV vs Gronigen
91% SR greening up or wait for 1.3 if set and forget
02.5 split stake out after 60 if no goal
Den Haag vs Dordrecht
Jong PSV vs Gronigen
Chelsea vs NewcastleGreen up on goal (if in first 15-20 mins green to free bet and then take profit after 2nd goal)
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@mick-mcmahon Amazing, that's great feedback!
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And todays picks
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Yesterdays results:
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@Ben-Dobie That's correct...
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@Greg-Mitchell oh so you have all the historical XG etc since July ?
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@Ben-Dobie I have spreadsheet that has all my filter selections, football ratings and match scores HT and FT since July.
Have it set up so I can change parameters e.g. XG, Goal Supremacy etc..
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@Greg-Mitchell How are you back testing mate ?
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@nick said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@andrew-page Have you looked at using the filter to lay over 1.5 half time goals, 18 of those picks would of come in?
if i have the time i mess around with halftime correct scores i had so much on yesterday with racing and football to be fair those results was for the set forget challenge doing, its basic a challenge starting with 100 1% bank per selection had hoped to double it within a season but getting odd horror day
But ye often try laying u2.5 FHG AT 1.05 just weekends theres a lot on had 40 selections on horses yesterday im a manual trader so cant really fully concentrate on both
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
An interesting Stat came to me this morning whilst I was updating the scores from yesterday, so I had a look back at my records.
I have the results recorded for 13,265 matches going back to July, of those 9,165 had at least 1 goal in the First Half
of those 9,165
7,281 had a SHG. Thats a strike rate of 80%. If you could back all of those at 1.31 or above, you'd be in the money..
I'm experimenting with something similar myself. The problem is, of course, that you often won't get to 1.31 until well into the second half, so you'll miss some earlier winners while all the losers will get matched. I think the FHG could well be a useful SHG indicator, but it needs to be combined with something else, such as SHGs or an overs stat (+ev) or unders stat (-ve).
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Happy with that for a Saturday:
You seem to be on a good run of late. Have you tightened up your filters?
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An interesting Stat came to me this morning whilst I was updating the scores from yesterday, so I had a look back at my records.
I have the results recorded for 13,265 matches going back to July, of those 9,165 had at least 1 goal in the First Half
of those 9,165
7,281 had a SHG. Thats a strike rate of 80%. If you could back all of those at 1.31 or above, you'd be in the money..
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@andrew-page Have you looked at using the filter to lay over 1.5 half time goals, 18 of those picks would of come in?
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@Alastair-Todd said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Yesterday was a shocker for my 1.5 filter. 7 out of 12 lost - luckily I wasn't on all of them.
Better than mine lol
Nigh on perfect storm everything unmatched hits virtually all matched loston a side note one of my favourite goal leagues has restarted Faroe Islands
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Yesterday was a shocker for my 1.5 filter. 7 out of 12 lost - luckily I wasn't on all of them.
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@Greg-Mitchell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Happy with that for a Saturday:
Well done had my worst set of results
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Another Busy Day...
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@Greg-Mitchell kudos with that sir. That's good going. My 2 strategies have collapsed over the past 2 weekends...
