*****New Football Thread*****
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@Akiva-Anderson well done mate, also add to that the keepers are pretty rubbish from what I have seen, that first Inter Miami goal
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@Shannon-Townsend said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson as someone who doesnt really follow the MLS and wasnt trading at this time last year what trends do you tend to see? lots of goals?
I tend to go for FHG, O1.5 & SHG.
I noticed they all came in overnight in the first MLS game of the season between Inter Miami v Real Salt Lake. I was only on the FHG market and it was around 1.27
The best market on the MLS last season was the double chance market - Home Win or Draw. It had a strike rate of 77% or about 65 points for the season
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@andrew-page said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
MLS starts back in the early hours of the morning.
Time to make bank again
land of the rising bank at the weekend also
Can't wait. Love early morning football
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Karavan Araz v Saatli
Skenderbeu v Dinamo TiranaOdds not reached elsewhere
And for tomorrow:
01:00 San Carlos v CS Cartagines
02:00 CS Herediano v Santos DE Guapiles
08:00 Bhayangkara FC v PSS Sleman
12:00 Persija Persepam v Madura Utd
19:00 Mouloudia Oujda v Youssoufia Berrechid -
@Akiva-Anderson as someone who doesnt really follow the MLS and wasnt trading at this time last year what trends do you tend to see? lots of goals?
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@Akiva-Anderson said in *****New Football Thread*****:
MLS starts back in the early hours of the morning.
Time to make bank again
land of the rising bank at the weekend also
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MLS starts back in the early hours of the morning.
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
For the Saturday 3pms I just look through Bet 365 at what’s at 0-0. I’ll then spend the 15 minutes at HT and pick the top few I like the look of. Not actually as bad as you think.
I also sometimes follow up on the tips in here.
Yes, and I'm glad that's working for you, but I was talking about what I'm trying to achieve, not what Martin does on his video.
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@Rudra Have gone pretty basic to start - Overall Half Time 0-0's under 10% and Overall goals scored in 1st half average at least 1... so far in 245 selections it is just over 2pts up but thats without taking commission in to account so would be slightly down but still early days and not been filtering the odds or leagues at all so once i have 1000 selections i will dig a bit deeper... currently have 6 stratagys i'm paper trading and BTTS, LTD 1st half and Lay U1.5 goals seem to have made a better start.
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This post is deleted!
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For the Saturday 3pms I just look through Bet 365 at what’s at 0-0. I’ll then spend the 15 minutes at HT and pick the top few I like the look of. Not actually as bad as you think.
I also sometimes follow up on the tips in here.
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@Shannon-Townsend what filters are you using for your O0.5 1st half? I've got a strategy for that which I've been testing since the beginning of last month which has an ROI of about 6%. My filter are pretty open while I test. I also look to take the best odds from laying under 0.5, backing over 0.5 and laying 0-0.
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Yeah i know what you mean - I guess the only way is to test both methods. If it’s working well just S&F in time we should all switch over.
That would be a nightmare with this strat at weekends. I think there were about 80 possibles last Saturday! But I want to do some number crunching and see if it can be refined a bit.
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@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Martin said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Trevor-H said in *****New Football Thread*****:
13:30 Fleetwood U21 v Sheff Utd U21
15:00 Mafra U23 v Farense U23
18:00 CC Riadi Salmi v MAS Maghrib A Fes
19:30 Manchester City v Brentford
19:45 AFC Wimbledon v Crawley Town
19:45 Bromley v Dagenham & Red.
19:45 Cardiff v Blackburn
19:45 Cliftonville v Linfield
19:45 Farnborough v Torquay
19:45 Plymouth v West Brom
Odds not reached elsewhereAwful! Might have to go back to the drawing board with this one. Still up a bit overall, so I'll give it another day or two.
One overnighter: 01:00 Puebla v Pachuca
How have the youth games gone overall? May be ones to sack off
I find the Youth games have no real value on goals - they are expected so you often struggle to get over 1.2 at half time.
Well, exactly. I wasn't really expecting any to be matched. And I certainly wasn't expecting any 0-0s! They're usually cricket scores.
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@Arran-Shackell said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Do you check your in play stats before entering? I understand the appeal for S&F but I only tend to go in with at least 8 shots and 3 to 4 on target. I think the Cardiff game was just short of that at HT.
No, I'm trying for a set-and-forget system (see above). I know what you mean about in-play stats, but the number of times I've seen a game look dead and then they score with their only shot ...
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Possibly just variance Richard?
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@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:
Laying Under 1.5 in Aldershot this evening
That really must be it for now as I don't want to undo all the good work from last year.
Is it possible a system can have too many filters and combinations of filters in the end?
Maybe my system is inherently flawed because of it. I still have a huge amount of data to work from but if my overcomplicate strive for perfection is not to be. So be it.
On top of that the away lays are still going strong and I have been careful not to overcomplicated or over filter.
I'm desperate to throw the baby out with the bath water here. In the cold light of day how foolish would it be to give up on something I've put almost 2 yrs into now because of a few rogue results well overdue. I'm simply not going to post them until I can be sure the finished product looks as good as I hoped it would be and I'm not going to put anything on them myself either. Data collection only.
