BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Wow centurion weather bringing draw market right in
Mate in Melb said currently not great perhaps when wake in morning covers maybe on .., 5mil expected in and around the G tmr
rest test could be sweet -
Anyone in the know with the weather for MCG and Centurion over the coming days. The online forcast is suggesting rain for both tests at points, could make trading a little more of a challenge.
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@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS W
Day 4 thoughts anyoneFeels like another missed opportunity. How many times does this happen in tests, flurry of wickets towards the end and we get a result. Expected a bit more from AUS initially but as soon as the 1st couple went, only every going 1 way.
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IND AUS W
Day 4 thoughts anyone -
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
BIG BASH
SUB 1.10 layers filling againTried this today on SA vs Bang, SA hit 1.09 inside 12 overs. Price didnt move for another 25 overs plus (Just sitting waiting on the wicket that had to come......and didn't, great time to find a 200+ opening stand FFS).
Let it run in the hope Bang at least made an attempt at chasing, 2 down inside 2 overs. Oh well
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I greened up early today and glad that i did. Hard to know what way this will go, so happy I cashed out.
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this a really tricky decision re IND v AUS.
do i green up for a small green or let it run and risk losing for a smaller red.greened up
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well tests are still the best
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IND AUS W
Balls on the line here
LAY IND
Like AUS Batting at mo
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Wow draw almost hit evens before wicket
sick
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Luck on side this time just got lay in in time
DRAW LAY now -
BIG BASH
SUB 1.10 layers filling again -
I got a couple of LTD matched this morning below 4.0, taken it all out at end of innings.
Will see how AUS start, if draw goes below 3 will likely go back in, will need to bat until the end, or close to it now unless they score really quickly. Seems unlikely.
And every wicket that falls should give a chance of an exit if they are looking untroubled with the pitch.
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AUS IND W
IND LAY is on 1.65
Would like 2.2's for the trade before spin ha
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done with that lay Spin is on -
AUS IND W
Probably lay draw everything i've got as impending declaration happens bound to drift and take a profit there
and then with 25% green will lay IND for a period
Have to believe AUS will be better than the 2/7 ish start first INNS
Pitch is fucked yes
Will aim to green if happens prior to spin probably -
@Stuart-Wallace im a little on guard. Expected more wickets today. But wouldnt be the 1st time in tests that this happens then there's a flurry on the next morning.
Not willing to LTD again yet, reckon it will drop below 5 quite early tomorrow if there's no flurry of wickets. For me, need to see when AUS bat again and what time is left/ runs needed. Thats when the draw will move if AUS start well. I only have a small green right now so not going to do anything rash.
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whats the thoughts on IND V AUS?
I greened up at 3 down as pitch was looking easy to bat on.
but IND likely to get 250+ lead by lunch - can AUS bat 5 sessions to save match?
Lets say they get 100 ahead by 4 sessions .
Then IND have 100 to chase in final sesh.
Also be aware that should there be a declaration (unlikely with 7 wickets down) but if they get 300 lead by begin 2nd sesh then declare could be in order, which will affect prices. -
WI were 1.01 now 1.3’s hello
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IND AUS W
There seems no way back for AUS Johannason (can’t spell) only threat I can see IND runs lines could be obliterated -
@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
IND AUS W
Backed Draw lastnight 2.9’s
Gamble on it steaming in and monitor and flip the lot some point
Take loss at 4.0 and go again some stage
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wow 17 ticks away from evens
AUS BAT first
HMM i'd planned to flip and lay 2.0 the whole green on draw side
may do half and rest 1.8 and wait 4 days till pay day
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Nice runout muppets ha
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Aborted the back to lay draw . holding now bummer looked great one pointYeh i had my lays all staggered, just needed a clean start for a big big green. Cheers for messing that up girls. Still green but a big missed opportunity.
Cant see anything other than wickets falling tomorrow, but hopefully the draw price will get down around 5 to stick another couple of Lays in.
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@Nathan-Bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@Fraser-cord feel thing and a money target
Generally like to take stake out quick as possible say 1.2 or 1.3 and sometimes that’s two boundaries and let rest ride
Being the 1st INNS lastnight that’s what basically did
Perth at home so dangerous when it got to 1.78 I fully flipped it and was on them
Actually got as high as 2.2 after being 1 down
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Strategy identified years back
Pays off with little thoughtCheers. It sounds like we think along similar lines, but your just executing it way better right now. Been stung a couple of times of late doing things very similar and then abandon for a red vs being brave. If you lay at 1.1, only way has to be up. That was my theory with Perth but the wickets just kept falling. Layed at 1.11, held on for 15 mins and rose to 1.15, was just about to remove stake and another fell. Took my red, 30 mins later and its up above 1.5. Just my luck.
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i dont get why the womens tests were so short priced for LTD, OK 4 DAYS INSTEAD OF 5, BUT 100 OVERS INSTEAD OF 90. And IND always likely to be a big threat on spinning wickets.
Anyways, thanks !!
