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*****New Football Thread*****

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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4.8k Posts 103 Posters 67.6k Views
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  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #3041

    SHG in the Porto v Antwerp match. 1-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Allan
    wrote on last edited by
    #3042

    Quick question for pros/everyone/anyone – are the FHG 0.5G and O1.5G odds similar at kick off? I know we don’t have a FHG filter on the software but there’s a O1.5G I wondered if I could use that as a similar barometer ?

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3043

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    Just the one for tonight. Lay over 1.5:

    422d6798-7e03-4cd1-b8f3-6f435827f98d-image.png

    Anti climax tonight

    2-1 already

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Trevor H on last edited by
    #3044

    @Trevor-H ok so my rules are that first drip at start, second after fifteen mins, third at 35 if 3 shots on target, fourth at 45 if more shots on target..out after 60 mins if no goal.

    If there is a goal in the first fifteen mins I will take enough green to leave a free bet or limit exposure and depending on above criteria post goal will drip at 35 if no further goal and shots on target indicators achieved but then stick to exit at 60

    1 Reply Last reply
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    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #3045

    SHG in the Dortmund v Newcastle match. 1-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Allan
    replied to Alex Rule on last edited by
    #3046

    @Alex-Rule been paper trading it for last 6 months here are the results:

    6f352a70-c44a-4907-9542-57844a57c669-image.png Month Trades Placed Trades Won SR P&L £ per Pt
    May-23 21 13 62% -£48.20 £10.00
    Jun-23 6 4 66% -£4.30 £10.00
    Jul-23 7 3 43% -£53.60 £10.00
    Aug-23 5 2 40% -£31.80 £10.00
    Sep-23 30 18 60% -£43.80 £10.00
    Oct-23 32 23 72% -£11.90 £10.00

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • T Offline
    T Offline
    Trevor H
    replied to Mark Maguire on last edited by
    #3047

    @Mark-Maguire said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    I've one tonight 02.5 split stake Colchester vs Swindon

    Potential LTD in Magallanes vs Colo Cool but will do more research on it before committing (away favourite so am more cautious)

    How do you approach trading out on the O2.5, @Mark-Maguire? I'm thinking I should continue to drip in if there's a single FHG and the stats are right. If there's a FHG or a SHG and it's still 1-0 at 60 (turning the bet into an O1.5), I'm thinking wait an extra 10 before taking whatever is offered at 70. Does that sound OK?

    M 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    wrote on last edited by Mark Maguire
    #3048

    I've one tonight 02.5 split stake Colchester vs Swindon

    Potential LTD in Magallanes vs Colo Colo but will do more research on it before committing (away favourite so am more cautious)

    T 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #3049

    Just the one for tonight. Lay over 1.5:

    422d6798-7e03-4cd1-b8f3-6f435827f98d-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #3050

    @Scott-Higgins even on the weekend?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #3051

    @Martin Yes, on the set & forget email that you send each day. And the other members LTD filters don't seem to produce matches either?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #3052

    @Scott-Higgins is this @Ryan's Betgreen one you are referring to?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #3053

    SHG in the Frosinone v Empoli match. 0-0 at HT

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #3054

    @Martin LTD set and forget, does it ever produce any games?

    Any other preset LTD filters being used? Those on the presets don't ever seem to produce any selections unless I'm doing something wrong?

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #3055

    @Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

    5f2669d0-b5c2-4abc-9f7e-19b5bdc2e533-image.png

    Lay over 1.5 in Serbia and lay under 1.5 in Denmark up to price of 6.8
    If between 7.0-9.6 lay under 2.5

    I've had a great result in Serbia pushing the bank up another £24.00. Going to leave Brondby today. It's low odds and a quick scan of my data shows I can easily rule this one out if it goes the other way. Not risking todays profit.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to nick on last edited by
    #3056

    @nick thats why I built the super trader framework in the members start here section, and in ST2.0.

    It's step by step how to build a strategy so that you know what to put into the software.

    It's designed to takeaway the overwhelm.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to nick on last edited by
    #3057

    @nick Thats true but then in that case it would mean it would fit your trading criteria better.

    So for me for example it would only show trades in this filter that there is a high likelihood of it not being a draw.

    Its a lay the draw filter, finding games where I can lay the draw.

    Therefore it finds the games best to trade the lay the draw that day, I only focus on those games - I don't care about anything else as this has been tried and tested for me, I know its profitable and this filter in particular has been for over 16 season.

    So then I check manually. One thing I stay away from it the random facts / commentator mentions / hunches.

    I always stick with the filters and researched trades.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
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    1
  • nickN Offline
    nickN Offline
    nick
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #3058

    @Ryan Also the problem with this is that if United or a similar team wasnt coming up as a pick then you wouldnt get to the manual check phase.

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • nickN Offline
    nickN Offline
    nick
    replied to Ryan on last edited by
    #3059

    @Ryan I didnt even realise there was a streak tab.😧 The software is so vast with so many good things in it I can sometimes feel overwhelmed. Thanks for the info Ryan.

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to nick on last edited by
    #3060

    @nick One of the things I always checked in the stats was this, I didn't have it in the filters what I would do is get the shortlisted games for that day then use the 'streaks' section with the Home / Away setting.

    This then gave me a good look at what was happening. It was one of the manual checks I made.

    Screenshot 2023-11-06 at 10.14.06.png

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    nickN 2 Replies Last reply
    👍
    1

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