*****New Football Thread*****

Martin

@Alex-Rule said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Is anyone currently trading/tracking Tomaz under 1.5 lays?

Keen to hear how people are finding it if they are!

my results are here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qisAtUpuQ0VqddUJ5VypUKHj4J02wHJI4ENtPR1gPNA/edit#gid=361187611

Mark Maguire

Some today..

LTD

Ajax vs Heerenveen (cautious at start with Ajax form)
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
Sporting vs Estrela

01.5 split stake out after 70 mins

Luton vs Liverpool
Kecsemeti vs Ferencváros
Ajax vs Heerenveen

02.5 Split stake out after 60 mins

Zilina vs Podbrezova
Jonkopinbg vs GAIS

Mark Maguire

@Alex-Rule Hope you're well.. I have been testing (paper trading) a variation of it.. where I added an ELO condition (namely that the teams were closely matched ELO wise).

It started off like a train but has fallen off a cliff this week. Will keep an eye but increasingly I'm convinced there is an opportunity with unders based on first goal time.. again its one I'm working on.

Alex Rule

Is anyone currently trading/tracking Tomaz under 1.5 lays?

Keen to hear how people are finding it if they are!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For today:

Blue are all lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple I'm going back to laying over 1.5

Was only meant as a secondary money maker anyway to use more of my data but no question the potential is far greater with laying over 1.5 as opposed to laying over 2.5 which I took as the sensible option.

Liabilities a bit higher and, reward less and difference in s/r not sufficient to bridge the gap.

I've had such an amazing start today with only Hoffenheim left to come in on the over 2.5 (0-2 HT) that I'm going to leave Chaves. One small area of concern, odds are high to have these concerns and Benfica have fucked me before at high odds haha!

And that's Hoffenheim in now.

Decent day with only Barca and low odds lay in Mexico not coming good.

£20 profit

Mark Maguire

A good day albeit long..

LTD
Glentoran vs C Rangers (not the expected winner)
Lech Poznan vs Ruch
Braga vs Portiminese
Wattens vs Salzburg

01.5

Split stake, out after 70 mins if no goal - I green up and/or take free bet

Saelrnitana vs Napoli
Glentoran vs C Rangers
Heracles vs PSV
Wattens vs Salzburg
Waalwjik vs Feyenoord

02.5

Split stake, out after 60 mins if no goal - I green up and/or take free bet

Plymouth vs Boro
Tigres vs AT San luis
Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For today:

Blue are all lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple I'm going back to laying over 1.5

Was only meant as a secondary money maker anyway to use more of my data but no question the potential is far greater with laying over 1.5 as opposed to laying over 2.5 which I took as the sensible option.

Liabilities a bit higher and, reward less and difference in s/r not sufficient to bridge the gap.

I've had such an amazing start today with only Hoffenheim left to come in on the over 2.5 (0-2 HT) that I'm going to leave Chaves. One small area of concern, odds are high to have these concerns and Benfica have fucked me before at high odds haha!

And that's Hoffenheim in now.

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

For today:

Blue are all lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple I'm going back to laying over 1.5

Was only meant as a secondary money maker anyway to use more of my data but no question the potential is far greater with laying over 1.5 as opposed to laying over 2.5 which I took as the sensible option.

Liabilities a bit higher and, reward less and difference in s/r not sufficient to bridge the gap.

I've had such an amazing start today with only Hoffenheim left to come in on the over 2.5 (0-2 HT) that I'm going to leave Chaves. One small area of concern, odds are high to have these concerns and Benfica have fucked me before at high odds haha!

Richard Latimer

Going out for dinner soon so just trying to get the early Sunday games posted:

Blue lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 and lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple lay over 1.5
Remainder lay under 1.5 only up to 6.2

Mark Maguire

@Akiva-Anderson I take it you didn't back a late goal

Akiva Anderson

Lucky Man United bastards. Must be the luckiest team in the world

Richard Latimer

For today:

Blue are all lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 if price between 7.0-9.6
Purple I'm going back to laying over 1.5

Was only meant as a secondary money maker anyway to use more of my data but no question the potential is far greater with laying over 1.5 as opposed to laying over 2.5 which I took as the sensible option.

Liabilities a bit higher and, reward less and difference in s/r not sufficient to bridge the gap.

Mark Maguire

A lot today - so its about narrowing them down.

Amongst them will be

LTD
Glentoran vs C Rangers
Lech Poznan vs Ruch
Braga vs Portiminese
Wattens vs Salzburg

01.5

Split stake, out after 70 mins if no goal

Saelrnitana vs Napoli
Glentoran vs C Rangers
Heracles vs PSV
Wattens vs Salzburg
Waalwjik vs Feyenoord

02.5

Split stake, out after 60 mins if no goal

Plymouth vs Boro
Tigres vs AT San luis
Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen

Mark Maguire

@Arran-Shackell its sort of set and forget because I do monitor in play and exit with a few minutes to go if underdog winning one nil or its end to end. But its a filter that I monitored for over a year and recorded set and forget versus greening up//exiting at 70 and the stats took me to S&F

Mr. Emmet Moorehouse

@Akiva-Anderson Still, calling themselves Fancy Glentoran is just rubbing it in.

Akiva Anderson

Fancy Glentoran to beat Carrick Rangers today at 1.33.

Full-Time team v Part-Time team

Akiva Anderson

FHG in the Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United match. Just kicked-off

Arran Shackell

@Mark-Maguire

A S&F LTD - not seen that one mentioned on here before or have I just not been lurking for long enough?

Mark Maguire

o2.5 Split stake

Venlo vs Jong AZ

Will also monitor in play Utsikten vs Gefle for an 02.5 trade if it starts with decent stats had a dabble but out quickly

LTD

These seem obvious and will need odds to become value

Paris SG vs Montpellier
Porto vs Estoril albeit shock winner in Estoril
Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

01.5

PSG will also be an 01.5

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in *****New Football Thread*****:

Just this tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5 up to price of 6.8 or lay under 2.5 between 7.0-9.6

Under 1.5 was 9.4 to lay so took under 2.5 @ 3.5 (matched first few mins)

Currently 3-0