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My mother in law got cancer, the doctor said she would have a last summer, but suddenly she was on the hospice and then it was over... so trading was the last thing I could thinking of...
But now its time to finnish "my last try" The only thing I have done since she got sick is to watch vids and worked with my self in many ways, not my english...
I know have to restart my journey, I have my new filters, my strategies and I hope have learnt from my misstake I did this winter. I will not write something here every day, I write when I have the time. I will tell about the strategies to get some feedback, but this time its only strategies that I feel comfortable with... one of the things I learned from last time.
Take care all
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@Mikael-Nordstrom if I was new to Betfair Trading in 2023 I would be looking at set and forget automation, basically doing the same thing I am now using strategies that have worked and tweaking them if neccessary.
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What should you do if you would start with BF-trading today? Yes it would be interesting to know what you should do, where you should start if you decided today that you would start trading.
My own trading goes rather ok, still struggling with some parts, but I think Im on the right track. My first half goalstrategy have small green numbers, would have been bigger if I only had taken the selections I got from my filter... but when I got so few selections I sometimes pick matches based on feeling and the feeling doesnt have right enough of the times. But Im sure that I both learn that lesson and that it will be better now when the current season (winterseason) have reached more matches so I getting picks even from them.
The other strategies I run is good and bad so far, I test them with minimum stakes... have so hard to only papertrading.
I really suck on writing here... is anyone interested in chat, to get input? I trading on the goalmarkets to 99%
Stay green everybody!
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@Mikael-Nordstrom Good Luck
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The Mine
This is my main strategy right now... yes as a part of this journey I will put silly names on my strategies, Im sure there are other names on them, but for me this is The Mine
Its a "two in one strategy" and its really simple, and thats what I like. My criteria is overall matches played >=8 and overall HT 0-0 %<=20... so very simple! I have also league restriction, but the reason for that is to get matches where the money is.
My two first bets are in the O2,5 goal market. The first is after 10 min and I use 20% of my stake, minimal odds 2,0. The second bet are 0,5 higher... so If my first bet is to odds 2,2 my second bet is at 2,7 on that bet I use 30% of my stake. The last bet is on the over 0,5 goal market first half at the odds 2,0
Then I wait for a goal or halftime.
If its still 0-0 I loose around 70-80% of my stake
If the goal come before 20 min, well around min 20 all my bets are matched... I can grren up for a tiny profit (40-50% of my first bet)
If the goal come after min 20 I win 65-75% of my stake...I have not enough data so I dont know if I do the best decission yet... I thinking of its better to let the bet run to halftime... if its only one goal rather much of the profit of bet 1 and 2 are gone... but is there a second goal the profit on bet one and two will be much higher.
I also thinking about my criteria... if there are a better way to find matches with a goal in the first half, I have a good strikerate with this selection, but not so many matches each day. I think I will create a filter with teams with high % of score/conceed... with the filter I use now I can get two teams that in most cases conceed goals and not score so much. Yes of course can you delete them rathet quick, but I want filter that you dont have to do so much afterwork with...
Please come with your opinion!
Today I got 4 matches that filled my criteria. In the first one it was a goal in min 31 and I cashed out... then it came 2 more goals before halftime, so if I had stayed I had won every bet...
In the second match of the day there was a goal after two min...
The two matches thats left for today is:
Atletico-Bahia, Serie A, Brazil
Häcken-Varbeg, Allsvenskan, SwedenTake care!
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@Chris-King thanks!
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@Mikael-Nordstrom. Also sorry for your loss. Welcome back.
