BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Showers some point
Draw in nicelyCould back to lay for ticks on wickets
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@Richard-Futter I agree we should have stuck with Tongue. For years I've felt we need as much pace as possible to compete, especially in Australia. But I suppose Broad and Anderson have done so well in recent years that it's been difficult to do that. I was totally against bringing Woakes back, but glad we did (for this series).
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I'm with the Aus layers, but we do need to see someone produce the sort of spell Cummins did yesterday. Think we missed a trick by not including Tongue in the team. Much as I love Jimmy A, he hasn't been any kind of threat in this series so far.
Hopefully he'll bag a five-for today and prove me completely wrong!
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@Nathan-Bennett Yeah I'm laying Aus as they're batting, below evens and still 220 behind. Any early wickets will hopefully give a nice swing.
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AUS ENG
I've now flipped all my ENG lay into an AUS lay
not to scared if goes lower be happy to re lay AUS 1.7 and 1.5 for swings
think early stages maybe slow run rate draw could trim if if dips into the low 6's high 5's i'll likely lay all the green on that side at that price for my next move
obviously wickets brings more green on the England side -
@Richard-Futter there's one
One more please
I am dreaming of seeing us turn them over Tomo morning and then sinking pints as we go at them with bat still. Dare to dream!
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Bowling very disappointing. Not much penetration so far.
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@Richard-Futter that was my thinking. Being greedy and waiting a a little to see if it drops.
Ltd is also calling me. Think it's value with another day with cloud cover tomo
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Got to lay Aus here at around 2.... wickets surely have to be a good bet in these conditions
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@David-Milligan Hi David. I never set targets at all because I think sometimes it will result in getting out of a position too soon, and at other times it will mean hanging on for too long and allowing the market to turn against you.
Take the Sri Lanka match which finished yesterday for instance. For me, the draw price around 3.5 was ridiculously low and sure enough after a couple of wickets the price was out to 6 or 7. But it was obvious SL were now throwing in the towel, so it made sense just to allow it to run and take maximum profits.
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@Richard-Futter @Nathan-Bennett @Stuart-Wallace what return on your stake do you aim for? Is 25% back on the liability a reasonable point to exit or do you just judge based on how the match is going?
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Not watching sadly but am going to the Oval Tomo! Can't wait
If the pitch is bowler friendly the odds are suggesting 250 plus would be par/decent I'd say. If Eng can get a couple of partnerships...
Can't be sure till both teams have batted on it eh!
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ENG LAY for me is on
Was tempted when saw odds on but hardly moved in 3 wickets
2.36 involved will again if odds onthis trade i have in mind whats happening right now and conditions tmr if aus are batting
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@Nathan-Bennett yep just laid Eng at 2.34
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@Richard-Futter starting to think ENG price is verrrrrrrrrrrrrrry rock bottom
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@Nathan-Bennett Yeah. Odds quite strange with England around 2.4 despite being three wickets down and could have been much worse but for 2 and a half dropped catches.
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draw only 6 three down
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@David-Milligan Yeah, i have, rude not to with Bazball and odds under 5. To me its a given.
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Anyone pulled the trigger on the draw lay yet? Tempted to wait it out the next hour, as @Richard-Futter says if the English batsmen can weather the next wee while the draw odds should come in a bit.
Another slice of luck for Crawley - could be two down!
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Lucky there. Warner doesn't miss those too often. With the effects of the heavy roller and the laquer on the ball both wearing off, the next hour is the real danger time.
