Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Tony-Hastie defo a few leagues that can go, I still want to look at the full data set for now though but am going to paper trade
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@Tony-Hastie said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin I got bored so spent quite a bit of time last night brutally filtering the leagues...but forgot to save it
Im off to paint the fence now...
You can't beat living life on the edge!
Is it not pissing down where you are? -
@Martin I got bored so spent quite a bit of time last night brutally filtering the leagues...but forgot to save it
Im off to paint the fence now...
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@dave-tancock it's not had any filtering so kind of expected to have runs like this, for instance we don't know which leagues we should be trading really. probably time to paper trade and see where we are at after 2000 results.
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@Mark-Shaw hopefully it’s a bad weekend. I think the winter leagues are coming to an end so maybe that has affected it?
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@Andrew-Dobinson ouch it did have a good run before last few days
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@dave-tancock Seems very similar to Dans LTD. Tanking big time but hopefully it will stop
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@dave-tancock
I only started this strategy on the 19th. £110 down using £10 liability stakes 
. That’s with a few more home teams currently giving away a early goal. -
Hoping the lay away strategy doesn’t do the same as dans LTD that ended up being 40 odd points down for the month. Fingers crossed normal service is resumed soon
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@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@ross-love still testing it but using very small stakes and laying everything in that range
Currently using £1 stakes to make the test real, I have not done them all as some just don't add up!! This week a 2nd vs 3rd with 6.2 away odds!!
Started July 3rd....138 bets..... bank -£7.57 -
@Jonathan-West such is the nature of set and forget it will have more variance that trading
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@dave-tancock I'd got used to waking up expecting a nice profit. Oh well, this is why the 1% of bankroll is important right?
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Jono in one day it’s gone from easily best football month to one of the worst. Really hoping this is an aberration
Yep, you and me both!
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@Jono in one day it’s gone from easily best football month to one of the worst. Really hoping this is an aberration
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Yep, an absolute freak day.
Looking at the numbers and using the selections on the spreadsheet (my version picked up another selection in the early hours...which also lost, but will ignore that) It looks to be that the overall P+L has dropped to where it was on the 11th of June, not even a month and a half ago.
No doubt it has a been a kick in the teeth, I'll be reducing my stakes as I havn't personally forward tested enough. It's a wake up call and reminder for me that the market can be a beast!
One thing I look forward to doing when the back testing comes in is looking back to see how frequently these downturns happen. Looking at the graph there have been 3 significant times of decline since testing started, dividing the timeline up into 10ths these would be the first tenth, the 4th tenth and the final tenth of the chart.
Let's see what next week brings! Onwards and upwards!
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@Andy-Donnelly it’s really weird getting days like this. Everytime my phone buzzed I just knew it was the away team scoring
-10% of my bank down. Gonna take a while to claw that back. -
@james-everard Yeh think this was a freak day. Pretty sure you couldn’t get that many away wins if you were searching for away wins
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@Rene-Ostenfeld Lost a fortune today mate on laying the away side at ko.
