BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I know there's thunderstorms around in Galle on all five days of the Test match there, but that's not unusual for this part of the world and ground staff are amazingly efficient in covering the whole of the playing area. Play usually gets back underway very quickly indeed, as we saw yesterday.
So, to me, the current draw price of 3 in the first Test between Sri Lanka and Pakistan looks very layable indeed.
After all, the last 21 matches here have all ended in positive results, with wickets tumbling very quickly towards the ends of matches.
I suppose there is a decent chance the price could drop even further in the next day or so, but anything around 3 is a massive opportunity I reckon.
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PAK SRI
LAYING PAK till end of INNS 2.72
would remove liability 3.5's ishaborted small loss
misread
bigger swings next INNS -
USA T20 LEAGUE
MI NEW YORK 1.15 LAY
long way to go 1.4's be good for some insurance and monitorNOT TO BE
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Tired of aussie winning everything ha come on the Men’s
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@Stuart-Wallace unfortunately as predicted the signal was terrible at the Ageas. No chance of any trading or messaging I'm afraid.
However, we said at the time that the last over from Lauren Bell might cost us, and so it did. 26 off the last and lost by 3... gutted.
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Good game - Nat Sciver-Brunt almost did it.
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Go ENG W
Took some 2.6
Mucking around on phone in bed ha
Love how teams in a dominant position and in dominant in the market later stages of the INNS balls it up
Always like these entry’s
Even if trade goes against you you still have the power play of next INNS to helpthese pies dont help ha
this chick losing the ashes right here ffs (maybe)
BAILED trading
wtf is this -
@Tony-Hastie Tony, it might be that the market doesnt like the AUS S/R at the moment.
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Im watching the womans game and cant work out why Auz has had 2 established partnerships now yet drifted in price rather than shortened. Is this the English bias in the market Ive seem mentioned?
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SRI v PAK Test - Draw now 2.7.
Watch out for weather though. -
OK, interesting... with the ODI (ENG W v AUS W), both Stop Losses got invoked very quickly after the Toss (which ENG won), but then noticed that the swing happened some 2 minutes after , ENG went from 2.44 to 2.36 and AUS went from 1.7 to 1.8. In the end resulting in a 5 per cent loss .
So, what happened is what i was expecting , although it happened a couple of mins later than i expected - something to ponder on, maybe its to do with the TV lag in India or something?.
So, to recap, ENG won toss and gained 8 ticks, and AUS drifted 10 ticks- exactly what i am looking for , but I had my SL set for 2 ticks on both sides, and both drifted around to invoke both SLs before the Toss info had been digested.
So, am going to extend the SL from 2 ticks to 4, and the offset from 6 to 8. That way, the SL shouldnt get invoked so quickly, and then catch the swing when it does happen.Onwards and upwards, SL and Offset both adjusted ready for BAN v AFG (20 over) at 13.00.
EDIT: BAN won the Toss and BAN went from 1.84 to 1.79 when SL kicked in
AFG went from 2.2 to 2.36 when the offset kicked in
So, a Net gain of approx 2 per cent.Clearly needs refining, but a promising opening weekend for the strategy .
If enough liquidity then a 1000 pound Lay with average gains of, say, 4 per cent would garner a 40 pounds (approx) profit before the game has even started. -
IND W offering fill ups on low lays again
no entry today unfortunatelypainful
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@Stuart-Wallace well done mate. A labour of love. Glad to see it's coming together!
I need to get some software at some point to get involved. Love the concept
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@Stuart-Wallace that's excellent!
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I traded my pre toss lay Bot startegy yesterday for first time in anger (using tiny stakes) for both semis (BETFAIR decided not to make a market for the final til after the toss) - and made 4 per cent on Essex v Hampshire and 7 per cent on Somerset v Surrey - all before the games have even started.
Will be doing the same for BAN v AFG and ENG W v AUS W today.
Not sure how its going to pan out for ODI's , but 20 over games its perfect as there is so much swing based purely on the Toss. -
@Matt-Ayles Enjoy Matt,
I will be trading it. Maybe you could give us some info re pitch and impending weather etc
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@Nathan-Bennett a very brief look and tomo.looks like a bit more potential for rain
Pretty fast start with 4 gone already. Plus it's likely to turn more later. Sl with only 2 seamers says enough.
Expecting a result. But the weather is is annoying me!
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Weather appears decent in Southampton today which is a vast improvement on the forecast at the start of the week. Won't be taking my brolly!
From memory the signal at the Ageas is patchy so will say Come on England! now and catch up with you all later.
Good trading all!
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PAK SRI TEST UNDERWAY
need to suss more weather outlook
3.00 draw starting price intrigue -
Dont believe it - Betfair didnt have a market for the final before the Toss!!
Thats appalling
