BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Martin i was having this discussion with a friend this morning. Could choosing Bairstow over Foakes cost us the Ashes?
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Good morning session for England. They need to press home that advantage now and hopefully they'll be batting just after tea.
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@Richard-Futter could cost us the series, 2nd test now and getting stumped in a silly way last test (as much as I hate that)
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Two more drops from Bairstow; just not a Test quality keeper I'm afraid.
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And he can bowl!
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@stuart-wallace-0 It's because he can bat
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@Matt-Ayles
Also not a fan of Dobber Woakes - just dont get it. Tongue was pick of bowlers at Lords, including getting rid of Smith in both innings yet we get Donkey Woakes. And dont tell me its because he can bat ! -
@Matt-Ayles Good plan. Netherlands can make big scores in ODIs but they're equally capable of folding for not very many. Have to say I'm not an expert on Scottish bowling, but they've done supremely well to see off some much more highly rated sides and they deserve a place in the World Cup Finals. Come on the Jocks!
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Confirmation: NED must chase this down in 44 overs to qualify for the WC. Target is 278.
NED have hit 362 v Oman, 374 v WI and 315 v Zim but all 3 of those were at Harare.
Most runs conceded by Scot at this ground is 286 v Ireland. (Sri Lanka only got 245.) Thats probably why the price is as it is.
Price currently 1.4 on Scotland. If it gets to 1.8 I'll start drip backing.
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So good to have a genuine fast bowler back in the team. Wood must be the quickest in the world just now.
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Looks a really good batting pitch. England will need to bowl very well, otherwise it could be a long hard day in the field. Must get 3/4 wickets in the first session IMO.
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If Scotland score more than 250, which now seems an absolutely certainty, Ned would need to chase it in 44 overs to qualify for the WC on NRR... the higher Scotland go here, the less overs Ned have in order to overtake Scotland on NRR which will mean they have to take risks with the bat.
No entry yet, but another thing to factor into any trading decisions.
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Nice to see a catch held
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Changing the subject, Scotland posting a score in the World Cup Qualifier. A Scotland win will book them a spot in the world cup.
They're 1.3 to back, which is too short for me, however the highest total the Netherlands have managed at this ground in this tournament, including warmups, is 214. They chased Irelands 193 in just 37 overs but did lose 8 wickets in the process.
If Ned get off to a strong powerplay and come in to any kind of price I'll be looking to lay.
Caveat: if Scotland collapse for less than 250 i may change my mind.
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As always don't really expect fast moving markets till 2nd INNS onwards
With AUS batting gees would love couple quick poles to then back to lay the draw -
Australia put into bat. Pitch is quite green but the overhead conditions are better for batting than expected. If the Aussies can get through the first few overs there could be runs to be had on a rock hard pitch, and they could have the England batting dodging the showers on Saturday. First hour today could be crucial.
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Good morning traders! How are we all?
Disappointing team announcements as I've never been a fan of Woakes, Wood will fall over more times than he'll take wickets, and why aren't we giving Rehan Ahmed the ball?
Anyway, weather could be a factor in this one and England can't afford a draw... the Aussies will probably bat slowly to bring the draw into play and secure retention.
Let's see!
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Looks like an overcast day at Headingley, so my best guess is that bowling first will be the order of the day, and if England are inserted it could be the ideal time to lay the draw because the top of the order does have a fragile and devil-may-care look to it and anything around 4.5 would look good value.
It would only be a short term thing for me though, as with the England tail bolstered by call ups for Woakes and Wood, I expect this line-up to be more resilient in the late order, and punters may also have an eye for the weather forecast for Saturday, which looks pretty dismal to say the least.
Headingley isn't quite the seamers' paradise it was in days of yore, but nothing other than a victory will do for Stokes and the boys. Not since the days when Don Bradman was carving up the English bowling has an Ashes team come back from 2-0 down to win the series. How fitting it would be if England could make the Aussies pay for their unsporting behaviour at Lord's. Has to be a massive longshot though.
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@Joe-Beeston Where's Dom Sibley when you need him? lol.
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Whatever happens toss
Believe Eng best chances are to chase
Farrr
Hope they win keep mass fire in the series alive
