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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1701

    @stuart-wallace-0 Been raining pretty heavily in Birmingham for the past three hours and looking at the radar, there could be light drizzle until midday. Gonna take some clearing up I would think. But we'll know more when they go to air at around 10.15. There's a slight chance of further showery rain throughout the rest of the day, so I wouldn't jump with any big money at the current price of around 11.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1702

    Am i missing something ?
    170 runs to get, so , 2 sessions? Any rain is only forecast at 17.00.
    Draw hovering at 10, yet to me there is zero chance of a draw.? Doesnt make sense.
    Any thoughts?

    Richard FutterR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Fraser cord on last edited by
    #1703

    @Fraser-cord I'd agree

    I'm at work so hard to keep track and if the weather did change I likely won't see it coming.

    Worth looking at the forecast Tomo.

    In tests there are often points where it's an obvious outcome as not a draw and there is chance to lay it.

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  • F Offline
    F Offline
    Fraser cord
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1704

    @Gavin-Rumsey said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @Dan-MacKinnon I happily lay at that price at times

    I'd still say it's good for Tomo but with the unknown of the rain I've held off getting involved as it could change so for me I'll just wait for another opportunity.

    Very useful to know. As a rookie i didnt go in this morning and couldnt believe how fast it climbed, il know for next time i suppose.
    They are saying 1% chance of a draw, so laying at 12 is surely still value. But yes the weather being the big unknown.

    Draw was above 20 at points today, a couple of wickets and it will surely climb fast again.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #1705

    @Dan-MacKinnon I happily lay at that price at times

    I'd still say it's good for Tomo but with the unknown of the rain I've held off getting involved as it could change so for me I'll just wait for another opportunity.

    F 1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #1706

    @Nathan-Bennett @Richard-Futter thanks for the responses. I was thinking more about upper limits to LTD. I ask because with the horse racing it’s not uncommon to lay at odds of 15.

    Looking at the draw price around 9.6 it seems quite low considering the possibility of there being a draw from this position. Or is the risk vs reward not worth it?

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1707

    Boom boom - lovely jubbly!

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1708

    Boom.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1709

    The Aussies look short at 1.58 to me. Worth a small lay surely.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #1710

    @Dan-MacKinnon Only when it's about to rain heavily I would say. Otherwise I would hardly ever back the draw in a Test match, except in the women's Tests which often seem to end in a draw. The one this week might not, however, as it's over five days as opposed to the usual four.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #1711

    @Dan-MacKinnon yes ! plenty opportunities to back to lay draws
    A lot of feel to it
    Partnerships in certain game situations are a key this

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1712

    My LTD is showing a nice green right now.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1713

    Intriguing game.
    Thought Bairstow was plum LBW on second Boland ball that AUS didnt review!

    Need another 150 runs to get ENG to declare. Weather in morning looks like it might help bowlers.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #1714

    Is there a point that you would say the draw price is too high? More as a general question rather than specific to this match

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    Nathan BennettN Richard FutterR 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1715

    Stokes 1 off 13... does he understand Bazball? 😂

    Think if England press on this afternoon they'll declare with and hour or so to go before close.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1716

    98 overs today AND tomorrow.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1717

    what do we think ENG need
    320 ish

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #1718

    England planning a tea time declaration?

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #1719

    Classic start Root

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #1720

    A clear day's cricket today - and they can make up some lost time from yesterday, so things could move quickly I reckon. Happy to lay the draw all day long at anything under 5; always bearing in mind we could be in for a wet start tomorrow.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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