Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@nick-allan That is the plan yes. I am just tracking at the moment
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@terry-heller ah so you are backing O3.5G on saturdays using the U3.5G selections?
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@nick-allan Thats basically it but Backing the overs is easier to get the same liability
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@terry-heller so you are laying u3.5 goals instead of backing?
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan I’m gonna try the existing filter and just trade lay instead of back. See how it goes then tweak from there.
It works well on Saturdays doing that.
From the S&F spreadsheet and ones I have tracked since doing that is £265.62 in profit but it does have some very long losing runs -
@nick-allan ok mate will do. Will let you know at end of the month
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@dave-tancock keep me posted on the existing filter and ill keep you posted on the 85% filter im tracking
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@nick-allan I’m gonna try the existing filter and just trade lay instead of back. See how it goes then tweak from there.
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I know under 3.5 backs has struggled , has anyone tried changing to a lay strategy? A rough calculation, the last month I traded it would have been roughly 10 points better off.
yes started but dont have enough test selections to get a idea of success, needs more testing but ive upped my u3.5 backs to over 85% for both h vs A so i dont get as many selections as the previous filter
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I know under 3.5 backs has struggled , has anyone tried changing to a lay strategy? A rough calculation, the last month I traded it would have been roughly 10 points better off.
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@stuart-wallace-0 said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Thinking of starting the over 3.5 lay and wondering what the odds parameters are?
Arent they the same as Tomacs L U 1.5... ie 3.5.?
yep bang on stuart anything under 3.5
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Thinking of starting the over 3.5 lay and wondering what the odds parameters are?
Arent they the same as Tomacs L U 1.5... ie 3.5.?
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Thinking of starting the over 3.5 lay and wondering what the odds parameters are?
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@dan-mackinnon Really interesting stats,
-28.17 Spain Laliga
-26.31 Italy Serie A
-21.79 Denmark 1st Division
-21.24 England League One
-20 France Ligue 2
-19.64 England Premier League
-16.27 England ChampionshipRemoving these leagues seems logical based on this info, Odd how English league 2 performs well, yet the other English leagues are all negative.
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With the information dan posted on league profit below id be surprised if someone cant turn that filter into a profitable month next month now. Great information
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I find trading without tracking things and learning everything you can about a filter and strategy is a hard thing to figure out. Thats why so many people can get different results with a filter.
Dont be afraid to spot things in the 1.5 filter that are constantly letting it down and remove it. It can be 100% beaten in its current form.
Use it as an amazing head start into trading, its probably a few tweaks away from returning constant profitable months.
These tweaks may need to be adjusted monthly still.I still use this filter today combined with some others. My 1.5 trading is at 89% this month so theres something in the current filter letting it down.
I havnt looked at the results in a while but last time i checked i noted english lower leagues should 100% be removed
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@dave-tancock
I started Martins over 1.5 goals on the 12 February this year and I am in profit. I don't know about points because I bet 2% of what's ever in my bank for that day. I must admit, it has been a bit of a yo-yo but it's been well worth. I'd give you may profit but I did read that Ryan doesn't want people to post earing's in the forum. And I don't want to upset the boss...HahaI've developed my own easy to enter LibreOffice spread sheet, if you'd like a copy.
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@dave-tancock can comment mate i dont use the straegy, i just found it was quite labour intensive for the return. Id recommend tom u1.5g lay that been very profitbale for me over the last 3 months . Less trades means you stand less chance of missing selections. You just lay u1.5G market id recommend liability of double your stake, thats what i do. Ave odds are around 2.8.
Just focus on one strategy and learn all about it before moving on to another
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@dan-mackinnon ok great, will compare this against my stats since the start of the year
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@andy-donnelly I've taken this from the Football Trading P&L in the OP above. So from February 22 up to the 19th of this month.