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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1021

    @emily-knowles said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    I swing/scalp every pre-race racing market. I find it really fun and easy and so much less stressful than relying on a horse to win or lose!

    @emily-knowles Oh wow, this sounds really interesting!! Do you have any guides or websites that you'd recommend to a beginner, pls?

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1022
    This post is deleted!
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  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Allan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1023

    @emily-knowles said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @nick-allan Nice idea to set and forget on another exchange, but that leads to the next problem, I can't automate that, only on Betfair.

    I swing/scalp every pre-race racing market. I find it really fun and easy and so much less stressful than relying on a horse to win or lose!

    are you automating scapling?

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Paul Foster on last edited by
    #1024

    @paul-foster Oh wow that sounds easy!

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  • P Offline
    P Offline
    Paul Foster
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1025

    @emily-knowles I would guess so. I use BFBM for automated and using the "sync with BFBM" I don't even need to upload the selections. Also, each of my strategies have their own bank set within the bot which none of the other bots offer.

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Paul Foster on last edited by
    #1026

    @paul-foster That could work, I think!

    I could automate on Bet Angel and scalp on Fairbot?

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  • P Offline
    P Offline
    Paul Foster
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1027

    @emily-knowles what about different bots for automated trades and scalping?? I'm sure a few have mentioned before that thats what they do, maybe BFBM or Fairbot for automated and Bet Angel for scalping.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nick Allan on last edited by
    #1028

    @nick-allan Nice idea to set and forget on another exchange, but that leads to the next problem, I can't automate that, only on Betfair.

    I swing/scalp every pre-race racing market. I find it really fun and easy and so much less stressful than relying on a horse to win or lose!

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  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Allan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1029

    @emily-knowles said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    I'm wondering how it works when you have a set and forget strategy (which I have now automated on Bet Angel) and you also want to manually scalp or swing trade on the same market

    Does one not wipe out the other or can you do them both simultaneously?

    dont think you can do both sim as scapling and swing trading utilsise back and lays in a hope of profit. Do yoiu scalp/swing in play or pre market?

    the other thing you can do is place your set and forget on another exchange like smarkets and use BF for scalp and swing as they have more liquidity meaning faster markets and better scapling conditions

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1030

    I'm wondering how it works when you have a set and forget strategy (which I have now automated on Bet Angel) and you also want to manually scalp or swing trade on the same market

    Does one not wipe out the other or can you do them both simultaneously?

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1031

    Gosh, thanks for all your replies and advice about my "target profit" question. Lots of great advice and insight from everyone, I really appreciate it
    tysm!!!

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  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Allan
    replied to Richard Coxon on last edited by
    #1032

    @richard-coxon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @stephen-beale hi Stephen, yes it is a question with no answer. Personally I feel setting targets is a bad idea. It leads to madness such as over trading, over staking, chasing etc. and rather than making the target, you end up missing it totally.

    My goal is to go steady, and focus on compounding the bank and staking at 1 point on backs and a liability of 3 points on a lay. That way the bank stays intact, the stake size grows gradually and I don’t stress when I hit a loosing streak.

    i agree with richard here Stephen and it might not be what you want to hear but setting targets doesnt help your trading , it hinders it. Im at the moment about to possibly hit my 2nd month of constant profit, its not big profit but its a start and that is my main goal, dont care about the amount of profit and targets that comes with time. Take it slow buddy, trading is a long term profession and i plan to be in it for many years to come. YOu can only do this by protecting your bank. Be patient and the profits will come, dont chase it with targets that could have you staking more and making bad decisiosn that hit your bottom line. Been trading about 5 years and when i realised this it was a bit of a eurkea moment

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #1033

    Big shout out to @Richard-Coxon who has made us a Bet Angel user guide for BTC Automated strategies.

    The example used is Lay The Beaten Favourite.

    Enjoy!

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1034

    @stephen-beale testing them first is a very good idea.

    So looking at past three months they are 25pts up total, so to make £500 you would need £20 stakes per bet.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1035

    @stephen-beale

    Tough question. I started a test with a portfolio of all the strats at the start of the month (big lays with maria staking). They are not exactly the presets but they are all variations on the presets. Analysis of the long term historical data suggests it should return an average of 3 points per day. You could do an analysis like that to get an idea. BUT...remember thats an average and you will get down days and up days. And , down weeks and up weeks, And (even more frustratingly if you wanted to make an income) down months and up months.

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  • Richard CoxonR Offline
    Richard CoxonR Offline
    Richard Coxon
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1036

    @stephen-beale hi Stephen, yes it is a question with no answer. Personally I feel setting targets is a bad idea. It leads to madness such as over trading, over staking, chasing etc. and rather than making the target, you end up missing it totally.

    My goal is to go steady, and focus on compounding the bank and staking at 1 point on backs and a liability of 3 points on a lay. That way the bank stays intact, the stake size grows gradually and I don’t stress when I hit a loosing streak.

    Always smile first thing in the morning to get it over with :)

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1037

    Hi, I have a question and I feel like it might be one of those "impossible to answer" questions;

    I'm looking to make on average between £450-£600 per month from BTC, using the 5/6 presets

    How much do you think I'd need to stake in backs and lays to get that?
    (Laying to liability)

    I had a rough start to my BTC career (I'm down around £140), so I've been running in simulation mode on fairbot for the past couple of weeks on min stakes, and I'm having trouble working out my staking with that rough target in mind

    I'm just looking for a very rough, ballpark figure ofc, just so I can have a vague idea of what I might be aiming for.

    Thanks!!!

    Richard CoxonR ? MartinM 3 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1038

    @martin I did not! will take a look, cheers

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  • ? Offline
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    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #1039

    @john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @gary-tunnicliffe said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @greenie having watched it live and again since as sceptical as this sounds, looked like he jumped off to me and what you didnt mention was that there were a fair few lumps £££ on the subsequent winner at 1000 in running too

    Ruby Walsh did that once. Odds on favourite on a Mullins horse. “Fell off” so the longer prices Mullins horse could storm through and win. 🤔

    Yes I was there both times...Annie Power, Chuckle then Benie larger chuckle!!

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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Nick Allan on last edited by
    #1040

    @nick-allan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @matthew-sheehan Chelt races in particular or all racing this week?

    It wouldn’t sweat it too much. You can spend too long looking for reasons why stuff has a bad week. Used to drive me up the wall. Then I read a book called “Fooled by the Randomness”. Made me look at it all in a new light.

    is it this book john? im looking for a new read

    0_1679744228295_d35f4cb4-c1e6-4edd-8525-c6ab0c4125db-image.png

    Yes mate. Different cover to mine but it’s the same book.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

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