Horse Racing Strategies Megathread
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When I am going to try and analyse individual results for a strategy between specific dates the individual results tab is blank. Any ideas? Thanks
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Just a bit of clarification required...
Im keen to start trying out Lay the fav and lay the 3rd fav. Am I right to assume that if the odds fall outside the odds listed in the software(6.5-10 lay the fav. 2-7 lay the 3rd fav) that I wouldnt trade them?What about the nominated horses? Is it like back the fav 3.0, and its the race not the horse that is selected or do you stick to the nominated horse and if it isnt fav, or 3rd fav dont trade?
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@Daniel-Sawkins second page bud
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@Martin Are you no longer forward testing the Pace Lays strategy as I can't see it on your results sheet? Thanks, Dan.
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Ok so I've now updated the sheet with the forward testing results. Find it here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bZltAAa9SvEcnlR_pUbJu-JY_o1DJ3LQ0uvLwSwnwQ4/edit#gid=430896138
Obviously some of these need forward testing some more but the results will give you an idea of how the strategy is doing!
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Just added a bunch of the shared strategies that I have been forward testing for at least a couple of months, check the downloads section in the opening post. I will get a results sheet made up purely of forward testing (as you can see the backtesting when you run the strategy). Strategy rules and betting rules are visible on the strategies too once uploaded into your own. Here is how to do that:
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I would dump the SL completely for a few reasons.
Firstly they dont work well in running. They are subject to the inplay delay for placement (which means a trigger at and set at being LTP is almost never going to match). Because of the way price moves any execution issue will ALWAYS go against you and never to your benefit (trades which touch/pass your SL triggering it then reverse to go for you will ALWAYS match stopping you out. Trades that go hard against you blowing through your SL will NEVER match leaving you with the full loss).
Secondly the software cant model a stop loss very well. It assumes LTP 100% execution only. Pointless for anything inplay and not the way most trading software works which allow for the issues i mentioned above and offers a trigger at/ place at way of doing stops. -
@Edward-Coburn hi Edward, thanks for that , I’m using bet angel , have been trying to set up a file for it , will see how it gets on
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@Nigel oh yeah I also had a tinker with the strategy itself. It produces less results but the strike rate and ROI go up pretty nicely. B2Lv2.json
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@Nigel Hi, not sure if you use automation or not but I've been playing around loads with Fairbot recently and decided to make a bot for your strategy. I haven't fully tested it yet but in simulation mode it works pretty well. Only issue I've been having is getting the stop loss matched, but as I've been running in simulation mode on relatively low volume markets I'm guessing this is why. The offset at 1.1x stake seems to work well though and on the software without the stoploss it's still profitable so theoretically still should be fine. It does go through a lot of the time too. I'm gonna try it on some live trades over the next few days and see what happens. B2Loffset.fs Here's the file if you or anyone else wants to take a look
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hi all, i was trying to set up a B2L strat, this is what ive come up with so far, would anyone be able to check it over to see if its ok and any advice on how to approve would be great , thanks nigel
rules_export.json -
Assume these £1 lay stakes are to win £1, not liability of £1 please?
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@ryan-clark for V4 its whichever hourse is the fav at the entry time, as long as that horse meets the other criteria set.
If the criteria isn't met then it should not be listed in the back testing.
You can check this be looking at the individual trades and checking that "favourite" =1 and "Won At Course" =1 for each selection.
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For the 4.0 version it is more likely to be a certain horse as it has the c/d filter included,
So does this mean if not the fav at the entry time it wouldn’t be included in the back testing results ?
Thanks
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@ryan-clark its whichever horse is the fav at the entry time, not a specific horse.
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Hi guys,
Got a quick question regarding entry time on bets,
For example if i was doing the back the favourite strategy and for this the entry time is 10 seconds before the race up until the race start, does this mean if at any point during this period the selected horse becomes favourite and is in price range the bet would in theory be placed or does it just try at 10 seconds before the race once ?
Just trying to clear this up so I can match up previous results as I can see entry times are all different.
Cheers
