The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@karl-pick
I downloaded the individual resaults for all the strategies i trade. Grouped by day to see how drawdown etc would work with a portfolio approach. What is obvious is you can get a period of several days where your balance goes down, then up to a month as it basically flatlines before that drawdown period is done. In that context 10 days is nothing. -
@jonathan-jones I make you right on the flat pace backs. The AW is profitable, but looking at turf only, these seem golden on the turf March through September. I am running a different version looking at the rating for that particular race and it looks good for March through October. Flat season runs March to November but that really is the arse end.
These look a good addition for those months.
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After a dodgy 10 days, where I began to doubt everything the last 3 days have turned a massive corner, hopefully it continues!!!
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Very good day yesterday. I am running:
Back C&D winner (slightly modified so its possible to trade)
Back Fave v3
Lay beaten Fave
Low Odds Lays
Pace Lays
Pace Backs (Nothing on this till next month earliest i dont think)Only on sim till the end of the month so i can check the automation but plus 14.78 points yesterday. Looks like a good mix of backs and lays. STill got to go through them to check with the backtest etc but makes a nice change. Feb has been a bit crap so far.
EDIT#
So, just gone throughthe backtest for yesterday and its a pretty close match. Backtest says i should of got 14.6 points so thats close enough for me. If anyone is interested the breakdown was (according to backtest but no reason to doubt it):Back C&D winner: 8.81
Back Fave v3: -0.06
Lay beaten Fave: 0.98
Low Odds Lays: 1.97
Pace Lays: 2.94 -
@lee-colvin I had;
Jered Maddox at 17:30 Dundalk @ 5.8
Ghumama at 19:30 Dundalk @ 6.4
Local Bay at 19:35 Southwell @ 2.2
Bot had a few misses too though so ended up +3.5ish points. No short odds lays for me, although I may have missed them as loaded the tips manually after some of the races had already finished.
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@lee-colvin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
What was your two today matey? Just the one that fired for me, 14:35 at Kelso which was a lovely little winner
Had one at Dundalk as well. I wouldn’t worry about them not firing there all the time. It’s one of the less profitable courses.
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1/1 for me on short odds
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@paul-foster The above at Kelso was a SOL mate, it’s crazy how we all get slightly different results eh? Makes it even more interesting
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@lee-colvin bot didn't fire any short odd lays today, but the C&D winners was more than enough to make up for it.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
What was your two today matey? Just the one that fired for me, 14:35 at Kelso which was a lovely little winner
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I had a few good wins on some of the backing strategies today, haven't got back to the bot to check which strategy they came from!
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
Just need back the fav to start producing now, been poor for a good few weeks.
Have made up everything i lost from those 2 terrible days at the end of January on the short odds lays, long may this continue and hope the profit rolls on now. -
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
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@jonathan-jones said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
0_1676290841246_Pace Backs New.json
A new version of the pace backs taking into account what another user suggested. The thing i really like about the equity curve on this is there is a clear pattern. The equity curve is similar in both years, for example shows good growth over the summer but in both years October and November are flat.
Really interested in these. Let’s hope they start like a rocket in March as is suggested
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6.5 points in two days, flying this month John
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It’s nice to get the positive variance. I like these because of the low liability. Just have to suck up the losing cycles.
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@john-folan a couple of good days in a row for me, long may it continue
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Cracking day
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0_1676290841246_Pace Backs New.json
A new version of the pace backs taking into account what another user suggested. The thing i really like about the equity curve on this is there is a clear pattern. The equity curve is similar in both years, for example shows good growth over the summer but in both years October and November are flat.
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@chris-osborne
Its working for me now. Just had about 10 mins where fairbot wasnt connecting and the website wouldnt load at all.
