1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid
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@jon-kinnear well done mate, sound discipline there!
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Progress update,
Its been a boring week, not much to do,
1 positive from this week is ive been coming on the forum each night, and looking at members posted selections and ignoring all of them because its not part of my plan. in the past i would have just blindly followed at times, its just not a good idea to follow other members selections, if you havent put in the work yourself.
For this strategy its early days, not enough data yet to really put money on selections.
The over 0.5 1st half backs currently looks profitable as a lay strategy, which makes sense as the odds are pushed down due to everyone expecting goals.been tracking the haltime/fulltime scores, from the selections.
Have identified another potential stategy for the 2nd half, need to get more results before i commit to paper trading those.Tommorows selections
RKC Waalwijk v Fortuna Sittard
Yellow-Red Mechelen v Genk
Early saturday
Macarthur FC v Newcastle Jets -
Todays results
Bradford v Tranmere 1.54 win
Al Ahli (UAE) v Al Dhafra 1.25 wintotal profit/loss -£35.49
ROI -10.14%
Strikerate 68.57%Nothing till friday now, so will take a break.
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@terry-heller Thanks i'm just focusing on the set and forget side of it for now, i,m tracking all of the goal times for the 1st half so will implement an in-play entry point based off the info when i have 300+ results.
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@jon-kinnear Hi Joe the 10 minute entry point for the Bradford game was 1.77
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Boavista v Casa Pia 1.61 lose
Total profit/loss -£43.23
ROI -13.40%
Strikerate 63.63%Todays selections
Bradford v Tranmere 1.54
Al Ahli (UAE) v Al Dhafra 1.25 -
Just 1 selection today, nice easy day.
Boavista v Casa Pia 1.61
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@jon-kinnear said in 1ST Strategy inspired by Super trader vid:
todays selections
Lausanne 1.35 win
Vitesse 1.40 lose
Lille 1.40 win
Twente 1.29 win
Man city 1.30 win
Grecia 1.41 win
Standard 1.36 lose
Waregem 1.34 winset and forget 32 selections
21 wins
11 losses
profit/loss to £10 stakes -£33.23
ROI -10.38%
Strikerate 67.74%Early signs seem to indicate that this is a back under0.5 1st half goals set and forget strategy.
2 out of 3 win but average odds are below the required 1.5 needed to break even with a 67% strikerate
not had much chance to do the 10 min entry point, so will just focus on the set and forget side of it. -
FC Juarez v Santos Laguna 1.41 win
todays selections
Lausanne 1.35
Vitesse 1.40
Lille 1.40
Twente 1.29
Man city 1.30
Grecia 1.41
Standard 1.36
Waregem 1.34 -
Sudtirol v Como 1.55 loss
Slask Wroclaw v Korona Kielce 1.47 loss
Werder Bremen v Dortmund 1.29 loss
Blackpool v Rotherham 1.48 loss
Sheff Utd v Swansea 1.42 win
Wycombe v Derby 1.45 win
Morecambe v Forest Green 1.47 loss
Burton Albion v Exeter 1.41 loss
Plymouth v Portsmouth 1.43 win
Wolfsberger AC v WSG Wattens 1.32 loss
Al Ain v Al Jazira 1.36 win
Charleroi v Seraing Utd 1.41 win23 bets
14 wins
9 losses -£37.71 for set and forget ROI-16.39% STRIKERATE 60.86%
Bad day on these for set and forget, but data collected is priceless.got a few sttrategies in mind if it does not work.
maybe its a lay over 0.5 goals 1st half system. gonna keep tracking the results10 mi bets 6
5 wins
1 loss- £17.42 ROI 29% strikerate 83.33
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A few aussie games this morning tracked odds at work as no liquidity in these games last night.
Western United vs Adelaide United 1.36-1.47after 10
WS Wanderers vs Sydney FC 1.43
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City 1.37-1.50after 10
all of these wonthe other selections for today set and forget only as i have to sleep all day.
Sudtirol v Como 1.55
Slask Wroclaw v Korona Kielce 1.47
Werder Bremen v Dortmund 1.29
Blackpool v Rotherham 1.48
Sheff Utd v Swansea 1.42
Wycombe v Derby 1.45
Morecambe v Forest Green 1.47
Burton Albion v Exeter 1.41
Plymouth v Portsmouth 1.43
Wolfsberger AC v WSG Wattens 1.32
Al Ain v Al Jazira 1.36
Charleroi v Seraing Utd 1.41
FC Juarez v Santos Laguna 1.41 -
Sandecja Nowy Sacz v Gornik Leczna 1.50 win
Aarau v Yverdon Sport 1.31 win
Schalke 04 v Wolfsburg 1.43 lose
Wisla Krakow v Resovia Rzeszow 1.37 win10 mins entry
Sandecja Nowy Sacz v Gornik Leczna 1.71 win
Aarau v Yverdon Sport 1.53 win
Schalke 04 v Wolfsburg 1.59 lose
Wisla Krakow v Resovia Rzeszow 1.59 winSet and forget profit/loss +£4.48 ROI +5.6% Strikerate 75%
10 min entry trades +£7.92 ROI +19.8 Strikerate 75%will put up tomorrows selections when i get back from work
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Todays over 0.5 1st half goals
Sandecja Nowy Sacz v Gornik Leczna 1.50
Aarau v Yverdon Sport 1.31
Schalke 04 v Wolfsburg 1.43
Wisla Krakow v Resovia Rzeszow 1.37 -
Estoril Praia v Boavista 1.55 win
Set and forget profit/loss+£2.93 ROI+7.32% Strikerate75%
10 min entry bets none so farTomorrows selections with the updated filters
Sandecja Nowy Sacz v Gornik Leczna
Aarau v Yverdon Sport
Schalke 04 v Wolfsburg
Wisla Krakow v Resovia Rzeszow
will add in the odds tomorrow when the markets have more liquidity -
Puntarenas F.C. v Cs Cartagines 1.45 loss
Set and forget profit/loss -£2.46 ROI -8.2% Strikerate 66.6%
10 min entry trades no bets so farI have run into my first issue with this strategy, i have too many selections over the weekend.
18 for Friday,62 for Saturday my plan is to tighten up the filters for friday onwards.From friday new filters will be.
Ov. H1 Over 0.5 Goals % > = 80 5% increase
Ov. Matches played > = 10 no change
Ov. Goal Attempts Per Match H1 Ave > = 10 +2 increase
Ov. Corners Per Match H1 Ave > = 5 +2 increase
these refined filters remove about 75% of selections, may have to add an odds range at some point but need some data before i consider adding that. -
East Bengal v Northeast United 1.35 Win
Municipal Grecia v Guadalupe F.C 1.42 WinSet and forget profit/loss to £10 stakes +£7.54 ROI=37.7%
10 min entry profit/loss to £10 stakes no bets so farNext selections
Puntarenas F.C. v Cs Cartagines 1.45
Estoril Praia v Boavista 1.55