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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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6.4k Posts 173 Posters 681.1k Views
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1481

    Hello, guys!

    Does exist statistics about the percentage of the fav win a race?
    I mean in which percentage a fav win a race? per each country, race type etc?

    Is it a good strategy just to Lay the fav with a recovery strategy on BFbotmanager?

    K 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #1482

    I shall be laying the favourites in these races 10 seconds before the start time subject to the following conditions:

    Number of Runners 4-14.
    Odds Between 1.8-2.4.
    DSLR: 3-200.

    Full strategy available here in the pinned post.
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-shared-strategies-megathread-downloads
    0_1674212474888_SOL.JPG

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #1483

    Yep and the others having inspections Friday or Saturday morning

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #1484

    @john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @karl-pick snowing where I am!

    I reckon it won’t get back to normal till next week. Might get lucky with the weekend but there’s only All Weather tomorrow

    Ascot on Saturday already off

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1485

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @karl-pick snowing where I am!

    I reckon it won’t get back to normal till next week. Might get lucky with the weekend but there’s only All Weather tomorrow

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1486

    @karl-pick snowing where I am!

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1487

    Very Very Quiet day on the Racing Trading frontage!!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1488

    @martin
    Do I get a prize 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #1489

    @john-folan
    The strategy, which as you say seems to be a thing, came from Hubby who watches racing a lot. He made the throw away comment that horses seem to do a lot better in the 2nd race not the first. So I tested it on a free trial database I was using and it seems to be true
    I think it will work best on non faves, and longer races, and national hunt. It will probably have high variance. But its all about finding unusual angles to gain the edge

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Adam on last edited by
    #1490

    @adam said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @caroline I doubt it will exist, this definitely wins obscure stat request award!

    What do I win if I tell you that we do actually capture that data and can add it as a strategy rule? 🙂

    You never cease to amaze!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • AdamA Offline
    AdamA Offline
    Adam btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1491

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @caroline I doubt it will exist, this definitely wins obscure stat request award!

    What do I win if I tell you that we do actually capture that data and can add it as a strategy rule? 🙂

    BTC's Website and Software Man

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1492

    @martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @caroline I doubt it will exist, this definitely wins obscure stat request award!

    @Adam is this possible to add?

    This was a big thing on proform. I’d did seem to give a horse some extra oomph

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1493

    @caroline I doubt it will exist, this definitely wins obscure stat request award!

    @Adam is this possible to add?

    John FolanJ AdamA ? 3 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1494

    Good Morning All,

    I am a very new member of BTC and still working my way round all the info, so apologies if this is in the wrong place

    Is there any way on this site that you can build a strategy around wind ops, and more importantly back test it

    You would need to have info on the first 5 races that a horse runs after a wind op as it takes different horses different times to gain confidence that running hard is not going to hurt (apparently!)
    I have been able to test out the strategy only with the second race after a wind op and the results are encouraging to BSP
    Bearing in mind the table below are with no other filters whatsoever so results can easily be improved
    0_1674117179872_IMG_9650.JPG
    If this doesn't already exist can it be added in the future?
    Many thanks

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • AdamA Offline
    AdamA Offline
    Adam btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #1495

    Apologies for the downtime all. Something went a bit haywire (technical term!) when the latest load of race abandonments were announced.

    You can now access the software again and the displayed data is currently catching up. Only Wolverhampton and Kempton on today and Lingfield already abandoned tomorrow 😞

    BTC's Website and Software Man

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Neal Simmonds
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1496

    @michael-meier I still cant get it to load! Same as Joshua, I cant get past the ''Logging you in''

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Joshua Varley on last edited by
    #1497

    @joshua-varley Okay thanks!

    I'll try later then.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joshua Varley
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1498

    @michael-meier certainly am - can't get passed the 'logging you in' screen...

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1499

    Anyone else having trouble signing in to the Horse Racing software atm.?

    J N 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #1500

    @john-folan thanks John . 1 trade and 1 win today. Nice

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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