Mickes last try
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@mikael-nordstrom ...Small steps, build the bank...Green Good however small!!!
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Sometimes you need a reminder...
I was watching some trading videos yesterday and after I watched one of them I got one of the moments when you think... Yes I know that, but why have I lost that thought?!So now I have created two more filters that I will test... I have so hard for papertrading so I will put money in but just minimum stakes. I will also test a fourth strategy, but for that one I dont have...need a filter... I think.
And this time I will let theese four strategies run for 1,5 months and then we will see...
The video? It was @Martin "Advanced Strategy Theory"
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A green day...
I could only trade two matches yesterday, but both were green. Small profits because I just got my first stake matched and then came the goal... but it was green so. The third match got a goal before min 15 and the forth, well life come in the way, had to pick up my son from practice... Well life are more important then trading, but the forth match had been a perfect match (Benfica-Sporting) the goal came in min 27 so that had been a nice profit.No matches on the shortlist today... I struggle forward and back how I should do with the set and forget strategy... We will see what I came to a decission. What I know is that I really need more strategies, with only one I will be dead before I can do something with the money... Im not even close, but a first small dream is to get this going in a way so I could work parttime...
When I begun this journey I stopped gambling on the swedish trotting, I was a little bit tired to follow the horses every day. A plan would to pick a few days every week and concentrate me on the horses just theese days... But I need to decide what strategy I will put in my trading portfolio as well. My own strategy is one I can, the filter is decent, but its not matches every day that fits the criteria...
Well...went home from work today...with a "mancold" so if I survive maybe I can take some decissions...
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@martin Yes you have right! When I started again I looked for a shorttrack, to follow the profitable members strategies... and Im sure, in the long run they will be profitable. And when you start with a small bankroll its an easy way to do, even if you dont expect the big money, you think that its an easy way to at least be profitable in that way that you can pay the membership...
Well... I know you have to go your own way, do your own misstake, listen to the right person... so I really enjoy your feedback! But theese two weeks have made me realize one of the most important things, that you have to find and follow your own way... So I will continue to more and more the things I belive in and follow others less... Hm... hard to express my self with my bad english!
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Another bad day...
Yesterday was a bad day. My "own" strategy gave a small profit (2/3) but the set and forget strategy got a loss (2/5) I picked that strategy for the earlier result and I know that all strategies have ups and downs, but I have hard for all the strategies that need a very high strikerate to become profitable. Yesterday erased all the profit the strategy built up and are now on the loosing side.Today I have placed the 3 set and forget matches that match the criteria.
The shortlist for my own strategy are:
Lille-Troyes Ligue 1 13:00
Heracles-Zwolle 14:30
Udinese-Bologna 15:00
Groningen-Feyenoord 16:45
Benfica-Sporting 19:00
(swedish time)Goog luck with your trades
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Todays tries
I will not give up this, what I meant was that I hadnt written anything here for a couples of days and the reason was that I needed time to think and that it wasnt any matches that matched my criteria...Yesterday I could trade two matches. The U3,5 were a winner. My "own" O2,5 goals had two mathes that matched my criteria, the first one were a winner, the goal came in min 23 so only half stake were matched, so small profit... around 0,5% of my bankroll. The second one should be a winner as well, but something come in the way so I didnt trade that one... But 2/2 is always good.
Today there are a few matches on the U2,5 goal strategy. I have set my bet a tick higer than the price is right now, we will see what gets matched and the result tonight.
In my own strategy there are 7-8 matches that match my criteria but I have allready narrowed down some of them... If there is leagues that are to low they will go. I will get my filter better so I only get the leagues and countries that I want, but its on my to do list.
The shortlist right now:
Hull-Huddersfield, Campionship 16:00
PAOK-OFI Crete, Greece Super League 19:00
Lyon Strasbourg, Ligue 1 21:00Good luck all with your trades
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@mikael-nordstrom said in Mickes last try:
Not givning up…
There have not been any matches that have filled the criteria so no trades. Today its two matches, but I dont know If I can follow them so we will see…I mean I hope you aren't giving up it's only been 12 days since you started this thread, take it easy there is no rush
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Not givning up…
There have not been any matches that have filled the criteria so no trades. Today its two matches, but I dont know If I can follow them so we will see… -
A small lost
Yesterday was good and bad... The bad thing is that I did a small loss on the trades I did. De good thing is that the U3,5 goal strategy keeps winning and that I came to a desission on how I will go furter with my journey.I will lower my stake or they will still be 2% of my bankroll, but I will count the 2% from my 4630 SEK that is my bankroll today. And I will just go for two strategies... My own 2,5 goal and U 3,5 goals.
There is no matches for U3,5 goals today.
My shortlist for my own strategy is:
Spain Laliga 08/01/2023 14:00:00 Almeria - Real Sociedad
Italy Serie A 08/01/2023 15:00:00 Spezia - Lecce
Italy Serie A 08/01/2023 20:45:00 AC Milan - AS Roma
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 08/01/2023 21:00:00 Leuven - Kortrijk
Portugal Liga Portugal 08/01/2023 21:30:00 Boavista - Gil Vicente -
A really bad evening...
Everything went against me last night. I got a flashback of why I personally dont like LTD, the underdog took the lead in all 3 matches, one I could take a small profit in, one a scratch and the last a "big" loss. Ryans split stake were 0-0 after 70 min so a rather big loss even there... And my own strategy ha a win and two losses... So now Im down 4%I will continue with the U3,5 goals strategy, but I will do a fresh start with the rest of my strategies and let them all rest... and go furture with only one strategy...
Yes I know that you have to be patient, but I also know that you have to trust in what you doing and this is what I feel is the best for now...
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@mikael-nordstrom I go through this in the videos
I basically document why I picked that game and then I go back and I check whether I was right - sometimes it fits 2 filters and I will trade both but mainly I document my process and then look back over it and see if I have done it right or not.
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How to do?
Here is todays shortlists
Ryans split stake
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Jong AZ - Heracles
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Den Bosch - Jong UtrechtLay the draw from start
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Zwolle - Almere City
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Maastricht - Graafschap
Scotland Championship 06/01/2023 20:45:00 Raith - Dundee FCO2,5 goals (my own)
Australia A-league 06/01/2023 09:45:00 Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Dordrecht - Den Haag
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Jong AZ - Heracles
Portugal Liga Portugal 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Benfica - Portimonense
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Zwolle - Almere City
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 06/01/2023 20:00:00 Maastricht - Graafschap
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 06/01/2023 20:45:00 St. Liege - St. Truiden
Will reduce the matches om my own strategy more...But what I would like to know is how you guys think... When a match comes up in more than one filter. Do you choose the one that you think fits the criteria best? Or do you go for all the strategies that just that match is qualified? My thought is to use only one match in one strategy...
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Something I really have to be better on...
Have done two trades today, the under 3,5 goals gave a small profit today as well.
I did some changes on my own strategy/filter and got a match with a to low startingprice, but I took that anaway and the goal came before my second bet så the profit got very tiny. But a profit is a profit.I have a clear picture of how I will handle my bank, and the strategies I will start with. But today I realized that I must improve my skills in the filterwizard. I can a lot of strategies and other important stuff from all years with betting in many shapes. But if I will suceed in trading I must get as good filter as possible so I can reduce the time to find the trades with so much that I can... and yes I have started to look at the videos
Next step will be a U3,5 goals strategi and one strategi for second half...but havnt decide wich one yet... -
The under 3,5 goal gave a small profit.
Lecce-Lazio: The goal came 30 sec to early... so no trade there.
Fiorentina-Monza: The goal in min 19 so "only" half stake matched, but a small profit
Crystal Palace-Totenham: No goal in the first half so a lost with 48 SEKFollowed my plan, so thats good, but no profit today...
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Todays efforts…
Today I have started to follow the under 3,5 goal strategy, Torino-Verona are playing and I got the odds 1,33 so let see what happends.I have 3 other matches to keep an eye of, all in my own filter O2,5 goals.
Lecce-Lazio
Fiorentina-Monza
Crystal Palace-Tottenham -
No selection today...
Theese days are the "hardest" for me... None of my filter gave green light for a trade and when I look at todays matches I think there are som good chanses... BUT the new me will let go of my own thoughts and trust the filters. Well one match came up, but from the Egypt premier league and thats not my cup of tea.So todays project is to look at my bankroll. Yes its so little, but I think like this... If I gonna do it right this time I must give everything a chanse.
So I will split my bankroll like this
Betfair account: 2030 SEK
Savings account: 2000 SEK (interest 1,35%)
Fund account: 1000 SEKI think this will help me to not blow the bank and put some stupid bets, chase losses. The goal is that I never have to use non of the money on the accounts, especially the fund account.
I will also use the day to look on a new filter... have a little idea but we will see if I can get it to work...
