John’s Horse Trading Resources
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A lot of stuff seems to go missing in the HRT, especially now it has livened up. I will post anything useful here. Links/files etc.
I will post the links etc in the first comment(this one. They will then be referenced in the relevant comment if applicable. Feel free to question away.
GENERAL RESOURCES
This calculation will work out your drawdown.
=MIN((Y2-MAX($Y$2:Y2))/MAX($Y$2:Y2),0)
You need to apply it to your running total column as I have done in the example below. Make your first row your starting bank. This then needs to be applied to the whole column.
This calculation will then show you your highest bank drawdown. It needs to be applied to the relevant column.
=MIN(AH:AH).
It will then give you a largest drawdown figure like this.
Courtesy of Martin Futter
Odds Probability Table to calculate odds against strike rate
https://www.isfa.com/odds-probability-chart.html
Courtesy of Matt Wood
If anyone uses google sheets and you have your filter S/R, then in the cell next to it put this:
=1/(E16/100)/100 (e16 being the cell with the % S/R)
Should auto calculate the odds required (not counting for commission)
Courtesy of Richard Latimer
Useful Trading Links
www.bettingtools.co.uk
www.aceodds.comEstimate Losing Runs
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thebetinvestor.com/guide/how-to-estimate-your-longest-losing-sequence/amp/HORSE SPECIFIC RESOURCES
Horse Software Tips
Always run two versions of your strategy. One called results with all your filters and one called qualifiers with variables like number of runners removed. You can then filter these manually or on your bot as they change a lot.The Original Maria Staking Thread from 2005.
Essential Horse Trading Links.
https://www.cheltenhambettingoffers.com/articles/glossary/
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/horse-racing-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies
https://www.timeform.com/horse-racing (Information on the days racing and past results)
https://www.racingpost.com/non-runners/ (Going and non runners for the day)
Important Definitions for Inrunning trading
Dream maker 62’s LTB
My DOB/TROB/WIN rules
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No selections yesterday. Should have one hit today.
In other news my pace lays have massively recovered and are looking good after a disastrous March in which all my strategies failed. Will post at the end of the month so I have a full three months forward testing. Also have a strategy dobbing certain favorites that’s tested ok over three months will do the same there.
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan Sounds better than it is! I cover my arse a bit
It’s a not a true QOB. I have a bot set up to put a point on each, HDOB, DOB, TOB and QOB. If the horse HDOBs I lose 2.5 points, DOBs I lose .5 of a point. TOBs I gain 2.5 points and QOBs I gain 6.5 points
Not a bad move. I do dob/trob. So risking 2 points to win 3. I will be adding the win in on the trob range soon as they are pretty decent too. May as well rinse a horse for as much as possible for minimal risk. I am now going to be looking at your breakdown to see if that works for me on my picks.
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@John-Folan Sounds better than it is! I cover my arse a bit
Its not a true QOB. I have a bot set up to put a point on each, HDOB, DOB, TOB and QOB. If the horse HDOBs I lose 2.5 points, DOBs I lose .5 of a point. TOBs I gain 2.5 points and QOBs I gain 6.5 points
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan A rare day for me, 3 for 3 QOBs
Not tried doing those yet. I’ve been obsessed with dobs and more recently trobs ever since I started trading
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@John-Folan A rare day for me, 3 for 3 QOBs
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2/2 dobs and 0/1 trobs for one point profit.
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And a lovely evening of racing yesterday and I’ve made back any losses from Sunday. 2/2 dobs and 2/2 trobs.
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Scratch yesterday. Two potentials today
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@Martin said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Yesterday was not fun. Still it wasn’t my money I was giving back.
how do you find April in general I'm always very wary of the change of racing seasons!
Ok to be honest. I’m having a cracking month all round
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@John-Folan said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
Yesterday was not fun. Still it wasn’t my money I was giving back.
how do you find April in general I'm always very wary of the change of racing seasons!
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Yesterday was not fun. Still it wasn’t my money I was giving back.
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@Tony-Hastie said in John’s Horse Trading Resources:
@John-Folan The L2B has been a breath of fresh air. Much easier to pick a loser it seems
Cracking aren’t they? Easy money maker.
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@John-Folan The L2B has been a breath of fresh air. Much easier to pick a loser it seems
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Quite a few races tomorrow. The flat has begun. A fair few will fail on odds filters though
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2/2 dobbing and 1/1 trobbing. 4 points and on to tomorrow
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First losing day in a while. Only two points mind
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@John-Folan how do you find jumps? Had a couple of trobs earlier and made a profit but the other horse fell (same race) annoying as feel it had a good shot at trobbing.