BTC Cricket Trading Thread

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Tough wicket to get runs on? Anyone watching?

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Tried to lay 160.5 on the heat run line... 2seconds too late. Now 2 down and run line went to 139. Doh! Lol

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@stuart-wallace-0 said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

Any of you Oz guys got any word on MCG wicket? could it be another green top?
what have the wickets been like at the G?

Haven't heard or seen anything yet

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@stuart-wallace-0

Cheers bud. Just trying to get a feel for the odds people are willing to take. I know it's different depending on game situation etc

That windies game was close to an 'impossible' chase as you're gonna get so I would have been thinking to lay at those odds without concern too

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@stuart-wallace-0 congrats!

Didn't follow this one much. So did you keep laying windies as their price went out?

Just wondering what sort of prices you were laying by the end?

Nathan Bennett

@stuart-wallace-0 how good

these batters allowing themselves to get owned but dot balls just equals wickets
mental

Nathan Bennett

BACKED STRIKERS 2.2 expecting a fraction of a slow down
not normally like to enter early these types odds but aiming for quickish 25% ROI ..., if goes pear i would take a loss and re enter around my usuall range

bingo spin to win

Nathan Bennett

@stuart-wallace-0 runs lines over 160.5 .., weird not 16.5 ha

Nathan Bennett

Jaffna Kings dominating early in chase
Too soon to be 1.08
LAY 1.08

quick red ha
spew

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@luke-weston easy to be correct on here at odds of 40 - it's a very fair point!

Would be a big sting!

Feeling pretty confident in the ltd's I've done so far. Not quite found the confidence in swing trading but good reading it play out on here.

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I asked Santa for more 5 day tests. Thinking about a lay of England for early wickets, but I have been aiming for 1pt a day in the tests unless there’s a really clear opportunity, and have made 3pts in 3 days, so might leave it for now.

@gavin-rumsey as I said, you were probably correct (definitely now!). With high liability bets you only have to be wrong once to really ruin your day, though. Better IMO to start with lower liability positions.

Nathan Bennett

done for the day PAK ENG greened up for what i have its ok def not great
bloody sick 2seconds missed that PAK lay as Babar went out easy four figure green miss now

oh well mass cricket

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I’m currently visiting Santa with my 5 year old boy, so just keeping my eye on what’s happening.

Nathan Bennett

Also eye on PAK if keep trimming to lay

that is sick a LAY processing babar out

Nathan Bennett

FWIW draw back was 50@70 since lay back 50@36

see what happens with that equity if got stupid low lay entire value of that draw green

the robots are steaming this in

be a bit to do with time and current run rate of PAK and a perceived lead they may have
#obvious

LAYING some draw @14
1700 equity prior really helps this high
if no wickets from now till tea could be looking at single figures and will LAY the rest

if somehow heads into 5-4's well then the serious loading could happen

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@luke-weston agree with you for sure in regards to how it'll move with a good Pakistan session and the position you'd be in.

Eng will chase which makes it even more sure for me.

In terms of value I just think the market is so far out when it comes to the result. Only rain forecast should have it anywhere near 40s

I'm new though! So just putting my musings out there!

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@gavin-rumsey
You are probably correct. For me, I wouldn’t want to make that big a call with so much time left in the game. If PAK were to bat a full session with no wickets you could be looking at a big red screen in a few hours time, then it’s squeaky bum time. What price would the draw be if it’s 250/3 at the end of play?

I’m not averse to a low odds value bet (I backed India at 1.05 in the last test with Bang needing 250+ with 4 wickets in hand overnight), but I prefer not to put myself in that position too often.

Greened out on this morning’s trade, want to see what happens after lunch.

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In terms of long run of the game I can't believe market has the draw at 40's still. It's big liability but it's layable at pretty much any price and 40 is so so short

Nathan Bennett

some legs in the draw market me thinks
small back @70's
lay that back in the 30's

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Woke up late. Plan was to lay Pak for early wickets. Anything over 150 could be tricky to chase so will look to enter with a lay of eng if a partnership develops.

Edit: got in at 1.6 (fomo!). Looking for 2.0 to remove liability. Don’t want to stay in too long,