Set & Forget Football Strategies

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@martin I would often find that to be the case aswell, but i think the winter leagues are worse for it than the summer leagues. One reason could be that the saturday games for a lot of leagues are just run-of-the-mill games whereas sunday games tend to be televised so perhaps there's a little more motivation....just a theory obviously!

I havent checked the data to back this up, perhaps its something for me to check at some point

Martin

@lee-woodman I want more data on mine as they are still all less than a year old but I do feel that is the conclusion I will also come to! How have you found Sat vs Sun in general? I always seem to do well on a Sunday on average compared with Saturday

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@martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

When I’ve got the data for a few months it will be interesting to see how UK games hold up. I’m very weary of them as I think our leagues have always been a bit more wildly unpredictable. Especially for some reason the 3pm Saturday kick offs.

Ive checked loads of data on numerous strategies over several years and ive always found that to be the case with the UK leagues. I very rarely include them on any strategy as a result. And like you, the 3pm saturday games seem to be worse

Martin

When I’ve got the data for a few months it will be interesting to see how UK games hold up. I’m very weary of them as I think our leagues have always been a bit more wildly unpredictable. Especially for some reason the 3pm Saturday kick offs.

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@matt-ayles said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

U1.5 lays took a beating today

Yes they did probably inevitable there would be some regression at some point but pretty brutal

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U1.5 lays took a beating today

Steve Fletcher 0

7 goals might be justification for why the price never dropped under 3.5

Martin

@matt-ayles said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

@martin fair enough.

Todays selection went unmatched but there were 3 first half goals so that's a shame!

I'm avoiding China due to the season disruption due to covid, maybe it's ok now but will leave it for time being

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@martin fair enough.

Todays selection went unmatched but there were 3 first half goals so that's a shame!

Martin

@matt-ayles said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

I had those selections too and managed to get matched at 3.5 pre kick off, so suffered the same losers...

@Martin at what point pre match do you determine the odds are qualifying or not? I plugged them all in before work, and any that were higher than 3.5 i just asked for 3.5 knowing they'd lapse if unmatched, but all bar 1 got matched before their respective kick offs... given the lack of liquidity in the market early in the morning i assumed that was why the odds were so high?

when I look in the morning

Martin

@phillip-chapman yeah I don't remove old selection ones I have already recorded and the 3.5 limit came in a couple of months after the start

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I had those selections too and managed to get matched at 3.5 pre kick off, so suffered the same losers...

@Martin at what point pre match do you determine the odds are qualifying or not? I plugged them all in before work, and any that were higher than 3.5 i just asked for 3.5 knowing they'd lapse if unmatched, but all bar 1 got matched before their respective kick offs... given the lack of liquidity in the market early in the morning i assumed that was why the odds were so high?

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@phillip-chapman said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

@martin I missed the 3.5 rule, looking back at the list I can see that originally there were selections over 3.5 but more recently they are all below 3.5

Thanks Guys

Phil

Thanks @Martin knew there would be a logical explanation. I’d missed that also. Live and learn

Phillip Chapman

@martin I missed the 3.5 rule, looking back at the list I can see that originally there were selections over 3.5 but more recently they are all below 3.5

Thanks Guys

Phil

Phillip Chapman

@ryan Thanks

Martin

Do you guys stick to the 3.5 max odds rule?

If not the reasons will be one of these: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/new-martins-revised-7-key-rules-trading-football

Also I put the selections in the sheet before KO so you always have a chance to check them against your own

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@phillip-chapman so would my Betfair balance

Phillip Chapman

@chris-osborne

Hi Chris,

As it is based on previous games/stats then I would not have expected the selections to change. It would be helpful to know why the guys had fewer selections.

Thanks

Phil

Ryan

I'll tag @Martin here too, sure he will see it but this might get him here faster.

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@phillip-chapman said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:

Hi. I am just starting using the Tomaz u1.5 Lay strategy but think that i might be missing something in terms of the strategy rules.

My Saturday selections were given as:

Blackpool Preston
Spartak Cherno More
Bravo Celje
Sunderland Burnley
Burton Cheltenham
Gillingham FC Barrow
St. Mirren Dundee Utd
Grenoble Valenciennes
Bordeaux Annecy

But the only selections that are on your results spreadsheet are :

Blackpool Preston
St. Mirren Dundee Utd
Gillingham FC Barrow
Grenoble Valenciennes

Why was this ?

I had the same selections as you unfortunately as Burton and Bordeaux we’re losers I hadn’t checked the sheets. Maybe it’s a timing thing