EUREKA MOKMENT

[A Former User]

As i have started posting i have started questioning everything that is right and everything that is wrong.What seems to work and what doesnt then my deep mathamatical brain came up with the Eureka moment.
As i have been posting btts , under 2.5 , over 2.5 etc the results just seem to erratic apart from the Market movers which seem to be working well although limited selections.
Then while pondering things i found that the main bet that the bookies like is the over/under 2.5 market.The reason is they offer undervalued odds at a match that will always end up against you which ever way you go.
one market that seems very vunerable and if you do the maths and gain any edge possible then you can in fact win more than you lose this to me is the art .
So i drew up a plan of action and calculated each league games played finishing under 3.5 and over 3.5
Lets take for example the israel Leumit league according to the stats there has been 379 games played 328 finished under 3.5 and 51 over 3.5 which gives you a chance probability of backing under 3.5 at odds of 1.17
Roughly 1 in 5 games will go against you and backing around the 1.2 mark will be just a break even given probability so we look for games in that league with an under 3.5 with a minimum of 1.4 odds which gives you a massive edge over the long term.
Depending on how the 1.4 to 1.5 markets go i may tweak it at a later date to increase the win rate who knows

so with that in mind i will trial this edge on todays fixtures and have come up with the following

I will continue with the market movers however there is nothing today

all the best dean

[A Former User]

@ryan
That was the theory but like all the eureka moments its a bit up and down and i need something that is more stable.
Teams that were being selected that hardly score were ending up in a 3-2 situation etc
So i took a sabbatical yesterday and re looked my approach and i got inspired by the latest video re-over 1.5 over 2,5 over 3.5 btts etc and have adjusted and adapted my own theory with a similar plan using the data base and filters however i am using my own filters and stake plans using an 11 point filter with teams having to qualify 5 times on the filter to warrant a bet.and then they progress so 5 duplicates warrants over 1.5 6 duplicates warrant ov 1.5 and over 2.5 etc

i will see how these go and will post up the results in a weeks time if they are profitable but yesterday made +123 to 10 stakes
its looking promising but dont want to jump the gun with anything

ps great video and has certainly given me an angle to adjust my thoughts

all the best dean

[Ryan]

You backing the draw on the money talks draws? Whats the process for selections? Sorry if I missed it, bit hazy this morning!

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

UNDER 3.5

TODAY -27.20
B/F +175.80
ACCUM +148.60

MARKET MOVERS

TODAY -9.90
B/F +52.10
ACCUM +42.20

MONEY TALKS

MONEY TALKS
TODAY -43.60
B/F +22.90
ACCUM -20.70

MONEY TALKS DRAWS
TODAY +127.50
B/F 3.10
ACCUM +130.60

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

SUNDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVES

MONEY TALKS

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

SATURDAYS RESULTS

TODAY +2.40
B/F +173.40
ACCUM +175.80

ACCUM +51.00

MARKET MOVERS

TODAY +3.50
B/F +48.60
ACCUM +52.10

MONEY TALKS

MONEY TALKS
TODAY +88.90
B/F -66
ACCUM +22.90

MONEY TALKS DRAWS
TODAY -81.00
B/F +84.10
ACCUM +3.10

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

SATURDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS

MONEY TALKS AND DRAWS

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

RESULTS FROM FRIDAY

UNDER 3.5

TODAY +7.90
B/F 165.50
ACCUM +173.40

MARKET MOVERS

TODAY -15.40
B/F +64.00
ACCUM +48.60

MONEY TALKS

TODAY -20
B/F -46
ACCUM -66

MONEY TALK DRAWS

TODAY -23.60
B/F +107.70
ACCUM +84.10

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

FRIDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS

MONEY TALKS WITH DRAW OPTION(TRIAL ONLY)

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

UNDER 3.5

TODAY -4.80
B/F +170.30
ACCUM 165.50

MARKET MOVERS

TODAY +29.30
B/F 34.70
ACCUM 64.00

MONEY TALKS

TODAY -17.20
B/F -28.80
ACCUM -46.00

It is interesting that the moneu talks is throwing up a lot of draws these are the last 2 days if you had played the draws with MONEY TALKS.
i Am only playing for real with the UNDER 3.5 and MARKET MOVERS at present i am only trialling the MONEY TALKS and will post the results up along with the draw results to see if there is a pattern
WEDNESDAYS RESULTS BACKING THE DRAW ONLY ON THE MONEY TALKS

THURSDAYS RESULTS BACKING THE DRAW ONLY ON MONEY TALKS

Interesting the draws are showing a whopping profit of 107.70 after 2 days lets monitor these

all the best dean

[A Former User]

THURSDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS

NO SELECTIONS

MONEY TALKS

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

UNDER 3.5

TODAY +5.30
B/F +165
ACCUM +170.30

MARKET MOVERS

TODAY +29.30
B/F +5.40
ACCUM +34.70

MONEY TALKS
Not the best of starts but will run it for 7 days to see if profit is made if not it will be dropped

today -28.80

all the best dean

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe I like these ideas Dean thanks for sharing them

[A Former User]

WEDNESDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS

NEW IDEA
I am always looking for angles that give us an edge over the tight arse bookies and one that sprung to mind is that MONEY ALWAYS TALKS its pretty straight forward as i am an early bird i like to track where the money is being played and traded with the hindsight is that my belief is that when you enter a trade ie back high trade low then i would state that most traders have a theory that if they back a certain team to try and lay it in the back of their minds they always want to trade a team that "should" in theory go on to win the match thus giving you a guarenteed win win in most outcomes so what i have done is taken the amount traded on a certain team is 2 x greater than the draw and opposite result then that will become a selection.
i.e 12:30Ulsan Hyundai - Suwon Bluewings
Home traded 784
away traded 117
draw 52
therefore it looks like a home win so with that in mind here are todays lets see how they go(THERE WILL ALSO BE DUPLICATES WITH THE MARKET MOVERS)

MONEY TALKS

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

BIT OF A LEVEL DAY

TODAY +2.10
B/F +162.90
ACCUM +165

gradually getting there i am aiming to get to +250 by the end of september hopefully more

all the best dean

[Martin]

@dean-thorpe smashing it!

[A Former User]

TUESDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS

NONE TODAY

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

@dean-thorpe

UNDER 3.5

today +17.40
b/f 145.50
accum 162.90

MARKET MOVERS

TOTAL +.40
B/F +5.00
ACCUM +5.40

ALL THE BEST DEAN

[A Former User]

MONDAYS FAYRE AGAIN

MARKET MOVER

iTS AN AWAY DAY TODAY

[A Former User]

MONDAYS FAYRE

UNDER 3.5

MARKET MOVERS WILL FOLLOW