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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4501

    Just found an article stating that 50% of D/N ODIs are won batting first, 45% second with the other 5% washed out/tied etc.

    Both Australia and NZ however have more wins bowling first (all the other countries except England win more batting first). However as you rightly say @Stuart-Wallace every single country has a high percentage of choosing to bat first if winning the toss.

    If Oz bat first, do we expect Finch to suddenly find form or is an early wicket quite likely?

    Interestingly i think both sides have tremendous bowling attacks, but are maybe a touch light in batters? Off I go to investigate recent batter form...

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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #4502

    @matt-ayles yep, thats a high percentage of draws though.
    Oval tends to be a flatter track than other grounds, and thats my main concern, especially after the weather we have had this summer.
    Might execute my plan of laying SA , with expectations of SA batting first regardless of toss, and the cloud cover providing some swing for Jimmy. Then possibly back out after 30 overs when the Duke ball gets easier, as has been the situation all summer.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #4503

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    whats the views on ENG v SA.?
    LTD currently sitting at 3.75.
    Weather looking dodge on day 1 - but will be easily caught up with.

    37 draws in 103 tests at the Oval, potential rain on 3 of the days (albeit small percentages)... however only 1 draw in the last 12 matches gives hope. Plus Bazball suggests you'd get a result if 4 days got washed out lol.

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #4504

    @stuart-wallace very interesting.

    I am just writing up my trading plan for the game and it seems there's an awful lot of sitting on the fence... if that proves to be correct then Australia are too short a price. Can see the series being 2-1 either way so should be closer to 1.8 for Oz? (Currently 1.5).

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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4505

    @matt-ayles Hi Matt, yes me too - off all last week just chilling.
    Would have thought that win the toss and bat - tougher batting under lights and not much dew in Oz to make it tougher for bowling second.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4506

    Some excellent cricket to look forward to in the week ahead. Took last week off whilst on holiday with the family but welcomed back to a whole mixture including top international matches in all 3 formats.

    Currently researching tomorrow's early action in the form of the first ODI between Oz v NZ. Not a huge amount to go on regarding the pitch but plenty of recent rain, and the fact it's a day/night suggests to me you want to win the toss and bowl...

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #4507

    whats the views on ENG v SA.?
    LTD currently sitting at 3.75.
    Weather looking dodge on day 1 - but will be easily caught up with.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #4508

    this cpl been a real mess weather wise

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4509

    @sameer get something out of it ?

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #4510

    Hope some are on the aus lay dead rubber game … #theorys

    greened up ages ago will lay zim 1.10 ish surely aus get a couple wickets

    BOOM

    IM BACK

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4511

    CPL st lucia vs TKR 1.25 lay for me before a bowl even bowled

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #4512

    arrr the CPL is back
    more cricket bang

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4513

    @tom-david-1 oh well the old dead rubber game 3 to go . my take away from game is what pu$$y finch is ha

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #4514

    @nathan-bennett that one was a nightmare, I'd had a few drinks so didn't get involved but would have done similar. All wrapped up very quickly!

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4515

    @tom-david-1 agree 100%. Afghans have the ability to get a big score and are massively underrated too. Can't picture Bangladesh getting anything above average in T20.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #4516

    AUS ZIM
    ZIM Backed over 203.5 runs
    And
    Lay AUS 1.03 want 1.06 for stake out

    6 letters
    $&@“ me
    Ha

    Involved too soon oh well couldn’t resist
    And
    Finch is a knob for entertainment value bowl first

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #4517

    @andy Hi mate, yes would definitely have put Afghanistan at faves before the off, the only problem is that both teams have the capacity to be awful. They were an easy back in play at 3.5 on the chase though.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #4518

    AFG BANG
    Regardless of toss bias, anyone else have Afghanistan favs against Bangladesh? I don't understand these odds pre toss.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #4519

    ZIM AUS
    1.03 LOOKS RIDICULOUS
    have layed want 1.06 take stake out assess end inns green or not if matched

    joke finish i'd do it again and again

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #4520

    Always poles after breaks ha
    Hope now gone haha

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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