The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[A Former User]

Is the horse software offline? I cant get mine to load anything?
Ive just submitted a support ticket

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Today's

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

A couple of points on the Flat Pace backs and a one point loss on the trobs.

[John Folan]

Today's

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Bit crap on the Pace front yesterday and no match on the trob. Here are todays

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

I hate Saturday

[John Folan]

@martin have to say the flat pace and short odds lay are my favourite two so far. Flat pace can be a bit swingy(as most backing systems are) but a win or two at half decent odds puts it back on track.

Two lovely systems from the Horse Racing Software and either fully automated or just need the selections loading in. #thelazytrader

[Martin]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan how did you get on?

Two points trobbing and 4 points pace profit. So annoyed about the one I missed at 12’s the other day but I’ve sorted that now. Had another 3.5 points on the short odds lays as well. So cracking day all round

amazing!

[John Folan]

Also for anyone wondering why I like the 11 minutes out time to enter on the flat pace backs Yesterdays winner beat BSP by 2.01 . The other two horses in that race beat their BSP by 1.0 and 9.0 respectively. The other two had one level with BSP and one beating it's BSP by 0.02. So you can see what I am trying to do. Obviously they are utterly smashing the bookies SP.

Will be playing around with entry points on the other stuff I am doing as well.

[John Folan]

Only a bit of Flat Place action today. Got the short odds lays bot turned on as well. Out most of the day as going to see The Book of Mormon for the second time. Taking Joshua(17) and my daughters boyfriend (22). Both who love South Park. Can't wait to see their faces at some of the humour

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan how did you get on?

Two points trobbing and 4 points pace profit. So annoyed about the one I missed at 12’s the other day but I’ve sorted that now. Had another 3.5 points on the short odds lays as well. So cracking day all round

[Martin]

@john-folan how did you get on?

[A Former User]

@john-folan well done mate

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Bit crap on the Pace front yesterday and no match on the trob. Here are todays

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

Decent day today

[John Folan]

Bit crap on the Pace front yesterday and no match on the trob. Here are todays

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

[John Folan]

Classic Trobs: Dob, Trob or Win if odds are between 3.5-9

Flat Pace. Back to Win if between 2.0-25.0. 4-14 Runners only. Avoid Soft, Heavy and Firm Going

[Nick Terracciano]

@john-folan cheers

[John Folan]

@keith I make you right. Going to be a lot of tweaking going forward to get results matching. Good learning curve though. So Pace showed a loss yesterday even though it should have been a 5 point profit

[A Former User]

@john-folan makes sense to me mate. Yes better to let BFBM do it at the off time

[John Folan]

I have an interesting conundrum. On the Flat Pace Backs, it is more profitable to restrict runner numbers between 4-14 per race. It's obvious as you can see below. Now I ran the races off yesterday and it missed a horse called Invincibly in the 14:55 at Carlisle as it had 17 runners in that race so didn't show in the software. Obviously it then won at a price of 11.5(ffs). It also shows in the software today as there were three non runners so it hit 14 the maximum.

So I am thinking I do the upcoming Qualifiers without the odds restrictions. Load them into bfbotmanager which will then restrict them based on runner numbers 11 minutes before the off when bets are placed. All I will need to do is keep two versions of the strategy. One with runners restricted that I will use to compare results and one to get the selections without the restrictions so that this doesn't happen that often apart from very late non runners. Make sense?

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Flat Pace Backs. Back any between 2.0-25.0

Zero Paced Dobs. Dob any over 20

Poor day today on these. I’m ready for the LLR or 15 though so all good.

Short odds lay bits done ok tho

[John Folan]

@keith-driscoll said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Struggling a bit with this lay the favourite thing. I did revert back to the Roger Kemp book and looking at distances and runner numbers over 80% on the relevant courses it does seem to be profitable. But. You would need to set it up for every course as the distances that are profitable tend to vary as do the runner numbers. I then ask the question. Can I be arsed?

It's worth the effort for a number of tracks, as I showed in the past with Chester. For instance, find the AW track with the shortest run in, and the same system works over certain distances. You can also group similar tracks, Chepstow, York, Newbury, Haydock, Doncaster, etc, all have very long run-ins.

On a totally different variable, horses that travel a long way north, tend to be better class, than those travelling the same distance south when it comes to turf races.

Thank you to you and @Dan-MacKinnon . Won't give up yet and your tips are providing some progress. Was probably a bit fed up yesterday lol