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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #5461

    @martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    New ball due?
    NZ totally bossing it
    Thinking 1.5's too short at mo batters req to re settle
    have had a lay would love 2's

    from a longer term perspective I will be keeping an eye on the total England have to chase, if they chase 300+ and odds are not massive I will lay them, this is one of those spots I have done really well from historically.

    More from a fans perspective than trading, but I’d be interested to see what England do if they have a 300+ target. Our batting is still fragile but if England can come back to win or at least get close it’ll show intent, rather than all out for less than 200

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    ? Nathan BennettN 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #5462

    @martin i hear that .. very good long term strat

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #5463

    @nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    New ball due?
    NZ totally bossing it
    Thinking 1.5's too short at mo batters req to re settle
    have had a lay would love 2's

    from a longer term perspective I will be keeping an eye on the total England have to chase, if they chase 300+ and odds are not massive I will lay them, this is one of those spots I have done really well from historically.

    Nathan BennettN D 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5464

    @kaspars-eksteins have it and the WI NED games loaded to see if like angles .., did just notice ZIM win toss and bowl and AFG already 1.38-1.55 but missed all that

    I'll post trades if do any
    hopefully winning ones

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5465

    Anyone on zim vs afg game?

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #5466

    Reading the cricket book I mentioned before, it said 61% of dismissals in Test are catches and 60% in T20.

    I saw on Ladbrokes they had next dismal at 1.6. So far this test there’s been 18/24 catches.

    18 x 1.6 = 28.8
    6 x -1 = -6
    Profit = 22.8

    A typical innings with 6 catches

    6 x 1.6 = 9.6
    4 x -1 = -4
    Profit = 5.6

    Unfortunately I don’t see a market on Betfair so it’s not really a long term strategy. Just something I found interesting whilst reading the book

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #5467

    @nathan-bennett it’s their best chance to get wickets with the bowlers they have. A couple early in the morning and it’s game on again

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5468

    New ball due?
    NZ totally bossing it
    Thinking 1.5's too short at mo batters req to re settle
    have had a lay would love 2's

    D MartinM Stephen HancoxS 3 Replies Last reply
    2
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #5469

    The draw price cannot make up its mind. Down from 90 to 9. It’s still only Day 2

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5470

    Greening up england lays at 2.7 and I’m done, well played all

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #5471

    personally my books showing 80% of maximum green possible
    very happy with and squaring it up

    no doubt hook in again somewhere

    gees draw markets steaming in on back of this partnership too

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #5472

    @richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Fancy a back of England around 2.2. Got to think Anderson & Co will make early inroads once they bowl.

    great shout thanks for this!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #5473

    @nathan-bennett this is where I need more experience to come with those sort of thoughts

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5474

    would love to be able to slowly drip lay nz odds on for swings
    another 20 ish by these two and may get close to it

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5475

    Backed NZ for small stakes, hoping a partnership sticks

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5476

    hopefully get 200+ lead and can watch cricket at dinner ha

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5477

    making dinner reservations with the lesser half for tmr night with this green .., should be paid by then

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #5478

    What are the odds of the match lasting until lunch tomorrow?

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5479

    Is this a test match or an ODI?! Wickets galore.

    Was wondering what a good target for England to chase would be but 150ish is the average 4th innings at Lords but that's normally on days 4/5 not 2!

    Average second innings is around 280 i think?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5480

    what a test
    love em

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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