Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

I won't clog up the football thread with my explanations anymore but one thing I have noticed that I'm looking into is while the H2H for Umraniyespor was 80% the last was in fact 2018. Looking back through data already collected for this to see if it's something easily excluded going forward.

Much as I hate missing a trick, it's better to find out early and have a reason for a poor patch.

This isn't the solution. There has been quite a few already where H2H doesn't start the last year. Just a bad day made worse by my playoff gamble! It has to go down as a gamble and a mistake!

[Richard Latimer]

I won't clog up the football thread with my explanations anymore but one thing I have noticed that I'm looking into is while the H2H for Umraniyespor was 80% the last was in fact 2018. Looking back through data already collected for this to see if it's something easily excluded going forward.

Much as I hate missing a trick, it's better to find out early and have a reason for a poor patch.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Looks like being 1/2 today and a small loss but Caracas odds small and I'm not ruling any leagues out at present considering the overall performance.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Win in Bolivia. Now to tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5

Win

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Win in Bolivia. Now to tomorrow:

Lay under 1.5

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Lay under 1.5 Sandnes

3/3 again. Good day after a disappointing Sunday.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5 Sandnes

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Lay under 1.5 San Carlos (Costa Rica)

That one ended 3-2 so back in business.

Lay under 1.5 Melbourne City this morning

[Richard Latimer]

I may regret it but I seem to be finding there are far more likely reasons for a loss than whether a team has anything to play for. I think my stuff over the last year has been sometimes about challenging the stereotypes.

Higher averages not always better for example. The removal of high percentage h2h makes sense in this respect as does trading a game based on the data rather than anything subjective.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5 San Carlos (Costa Rica)

[Richard Latimer]

@david-pickett said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

@richard-latimer I was lucky, because I was out for the day, I got on first thing this morning. Great odds on Antigua, and got on at 7 for Always Ready. Cheers for these selections, really appreciate it.

Just didn't find the liquidity on these games.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Still Nublense to go

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Still Nublense to go

Nublense win means still heading strong despite today's setback. Taking out the 90% h2h which is break even over 30+ trades is the way to go for now. This actually opens the door for away averages to be lowered slightly. Lose 30 trades for no money and add 5 or 6 back for another 5 or 6 points.

I don't want to start messing with leagues at the moment as so far all leagues doing well and losses coming from across the park rather than a specific direction.

[David Pickett]

@richard-latimer I was lucky, because I was out for the day, I got on first thing this morning. Great odds on Antigua, and got on at 7 for Always Ready. Cheers for these selections, really appreciate it.

[Richard Latimer]

Still Nublense to go

[Richard Latimer]

Today saw the inevitable bump in the road.

Not sure what Grasshoppers or Basel were doing but that wasn't a great start. Interestingly enough it's now pretty much break even for 90% h2h with only 80-89% proving pretty amazing so far. Could be a sweet spot. Also think I'll leave Guatemala from here. 2 selections, 1 with liquidity and one without. The one without naturally won at really good odds.

Not sure what happened to Bolivia and Always Ready but that certainly wasn't always ready as again no liquidity and no inplay.

[Richard Latimer]

Sundays Lay under 1.5's (SCAFFS - Guess the acronym)

Ecuador Liga Pro 08/05/2022 02:00 Emelec Mushuc Runa

Switzerland Super League 08/05/2022 13:15 Grasshoppers Sion

Germany Bundesliga 08/05/2022 14:30 Eintracht Frankfurt B. Monchengladbach

Switzerland Super League 08/05/2022 15:30 Lausanne Basel

Netherlands Eredivisie 08/05/2022 15:45 Feyenoord PSV

Croatia 1. Hnl 08/05/2022 16:00 Rijeka Hajduk Split

Norway Eliteserien 08/05/2022 17:00 Stromsgodset Rosenborg

Norway Eliteserien 08/05/2022 17:00 Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom

Guatemala Liga Nacional 08/05/2022 18:00 Santa Lucia Iztapa

Guatemala Liga Nacional 08/05/2022 18:00 Antigua Malacateco

Bolivia Division Profesional 08/05/2022 20:00 Always Ready Santa Cruz

Chile Primera Division 08/05/2022 22:30 Nublense U. Catolica

[David Pickett]

Brilliant work @Richard-Latimer , cheers.

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Under 1.5 Lays

Country League Date Home Away

Singapore Premier League 07/05/2022 10:30 Tanjong Pagar Albirex Niigata

Germany 2. Bundesliga 07/05/2022 12:30 Hamburger SV Hannover

Germany Regionalliga Bayern 07/05/2022 13:00 Heimstetten Illertissen

Turkey Super Lig 07/05/2022 14:00 Sivasspor Kasimpasa

England National League South 07/05/2022 15:00 Eastbourne Borough Dartford

Finland Veikkausliiga 07/05/2022 15:00 Honka Inter Turku

Croatia 1. Hnl 07/05/2022 16:00 Gorica Lok. Zagreb

Switzerland Super League 07/05/2022 17:00 Lugano Young Boys

Turkey Super Lig 07/05/2022 17:00 Adana Demirspor Alanyaspor

United Arab Emirates Uae League 07/05/2022 17:45 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ittihad Kalba