BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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not sure vision access here in AUS hopefully bet365 have a stream up
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Cheers for the write up
Love debutants for angles will need to suss if when can apply a trade -
Latest research on the test match (most of this already mentioned by myself or Stuart):
Morning - Cloudy, 41% chance of rain, humid
Afternoon - Cloudy, 71% chance of rain, humid.Monday, 40% chance of rain. Tuesday, 41% chance of rain. Wednesday, 25% chance of rain. Thursday, 40% chance of rain.
6 draws in 21 tests, last one in 2018 between these 2 sides. The last 2 matches have been losses for Bangladesh. Pakistan won by 8 wickets and the match lasted 344.3 overs (around 12 sessions or 4 days). Windies won by 3 wickets and the match lasted 441.1 overs (around 14 sessions or 1 session short of max time). Therefore any more than 3 sessions washed out could point towards a draw.
Teams released, Bangladesh short in the wicket taking front. Sri Lanka have a new coach, and are without some players at the IPL, they appear to be set to give several players debuts.
Motivation should be there as these matches do qualify for the world test championship and both teams need results.
Draw price around 3.00, given the forecast for the next 24 hours, I stand by back the draw with a view to lay after day 1...
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TMR TEST HOW GOOD
for now have had a lay
LAY FALCONS W 1.04
want 1.16 take most out
next couple batters go ok -
@matt-ayles And IPL being the IPL, that will be SL's 6 best players.
I wonder how much the civil unrest in SL will upset/galvanise them ! -
@stuart-wallace excellent research on teams. There's only 1 Bangladesh player in this years IPL as far as i can see and at least half a dozen Sri Lankans...
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@matt-ayles Hmmm, one of those games that makes me feel, after looking at the pre game stuff, such as ground history,weather etc, that this could well end up as a draw. Despite only 1 of last 7 being a draw, that was also BAN v SL where both teams batted forever ...500 plus against 700 plus !!
I'm gonna keep my money in the bank until toss time, and see what transpires.
My assumption is that all the relevant players are still playing in IPL, and if that is the case, then i would expect SL to come out with more depletion than BAN. -
Accuweather currently showing a 71% chance of rain and 45% chance of thunderstorms in the morning/afternoon on Sunday (Chattogram). However despite some sites suggesting blanketed rain throughout, they are suggesting overnight rain and potential for a reasonable 4 days of test cricket.
Thats as far as my research has gone so far, need to look into results at the ground and teams etc but early signs suggest a back to lay on draw might be the play.
More to follow.
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Thankfully we have some international cricket coming very soon, don’t get me wrong I love the IPL but always start to get a little bored of it by this stage.
Haven’t traded any of the games for 4/5 days to take a break and not feeling that enthused about todays game so may skip it again.
Watched the Nasser meets interview with Rob Key this morning, he came across well but didn’t really offer much insight.
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@chris-osborne said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace I saw that I'd have him as white ball coach like a shot but red ball?
Anybody rather than Gary Kirsten.
TBH, McCullum is a breath of fresh air, and would be highly regarded and respected by all. Key is a shrewd operator, so he clearly sees something in BM that others dont have.
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Getting closer to some test matches... although i have very much enjoyed having cricket on every day the last month or so.
Anyone live near Bangladesh for weather updates?!
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@stuart-wallace I saw that I'd have him as white ball coach like a shot but red ball?
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Looks like Brendan McCullum to become ENG red ball coach.
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Had a few days off from trading the IPL as pitch conditions have drastically deteriorated, would expect bias to be towards batting 1st from now on
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Laying
RCB 1.2
Want 1.5Behind market already
Couldn’t help self another lay 1.13 smaller
Want 1.3Super early in chase happy to be involved
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Laying team spirit woman @1.06
Risky depth may not be there
Wanting 1.2’s
Market can be random have queued some back bets -
@chris-osborne said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Does Kevin Peterson ever shut up lol
And stop talking about himself highly unlikely
At least he has a personality the Sky Cricket commentary box with Holding, Lloyd retired, Key now head honcho with England and Shane Warne's unfortunate passing is now completely devoid of a personality between them
imo, the loss of Key and Warne are the biggest loss to the commentary team, Lloyd also, but Holding was always a waste of time imo - couldnt see what people saw in him.
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@chris-osborne just need bill lawry tony Greg voice overs and we’re set
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Does Kevin Peterson ever shut up lol
And stop talking about himself highly unlikely
At least he has a personality the Sky Cricket commentary box with Holding, Lloyd retired, Key now head honcho with England and Shane Warne's unfortunate passing is now completely devoid of a personality between them
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Does Kevin Peterson ever shut up lol
