The BTC Football Trading Thread

[A Former User]

@dan-mackinnon yea spotted that yesterday and stuck a tenner on it.

[Dan MacKinnon]

I know it’s not trading but Sky Bet are doing evens on Ronaldo having 1+ shot on target today.

The whole Man Utd team combined to have a shot on target should be evens!

[A Former User]

My first half goals today:

[Martin]

@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Going to try and keep a continual list of leagues I am not trading rest of season as they are coming to an end. As a general rule of thumb if a league has 3 games or less left I tend to avoid them.
Leagues/Countries I have removed until next season:
Championship
League 1
League 2
Germany All
Netherlands
France
Poland
Liga Portugal
Scotland
Mexico
Thailand
El Salvador
Australia
Turkey
Guatemala
Italy
Austria
Czech Republic
Slovenia
Croatia
South Africa

[Ryan]

My HT LTD/HT LCS for today

[Akiva Anderson]

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

01:30 - Barracas Central v Godoy Cruz
06:00 - Shimizu S-Pulse v Kawasaki Frontale
14:00 - AFC Eskilstuna v Västerås SK
14:30 - Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen
15:00 - Mansfield Town v Forest Green Rovers
15:00 - Honka v Inter Turku

Again, the ones in bold are the ones I’ll focus on

[Akiva Anderson]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

17:45 - Inter v Empoli
19:45 - Derry City v Bohemians
20:00 - Levante v Real Sociedad

Will concentrate on the matches in bold. Both Levante & Real Sociedad have something to play for, but La Liga hasn't been great this season. Think there will be a SHG in that game though

The odds are too high for the Inter Milan v Empoli match. You can wait for better odds or back a FHG.

I’ve went for a SHG in the Derry City v Bohemians match

[A Former User]

Some 1st half Inter v Empoli

[Akiva Anderson]

@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

17:45 - Inter v Empoli
19:45 - Derry City v Bohemians
20:00 - Levante v Real Sociedad

Will concentrate on the matches in bold. Both Levante & Real Sociedad have something to play for, but La Liga hasn't been great this season. Think there will be a SHG in that game though

The odds are too high for the Inter Milan v Empoli match. You can wait for better odds or back a FHG.

[Akiva Anderson]

Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

17:45 - Inter v Empoli
19:45 - Derry City v Bohemians
20:00 - Levante v Real Sociedad

Will concentrate on the matches in bold. Both Levante & Real Sociedad have something to play for, but La Liga hasn't been great this season. Think there will be a SHG in that game though

[Akiva Anderson]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

I've realised my time is too precious to wait until HT and SHG entry now. Just want to do like Keith. Set, forget, reap!!

Great!! Welcome aboard!!

You're only here once! You'll not get the time back.

It really suits my lifestyle. I'm happier for it too

[Richard Latimer]

I've realised my time is too precious to wait until HT and SHG entry now. Just want to do like Keith. Set, forget, reap!!

[A Former User]

@ryan

The best preformer is backing/laying teams that are under a goal and backing a goal the last 15 - 10 min of a game. Over 2.5 goals in first half also preform great. The problem for me now is that all of these strategies needs a lot of screen time, that I no longer have.

The worst strategy is trading under 2.5 the first 15-30 min.

The set and forget strategies that have worked well is laying under 2.5 goals @ 1.5 and laying under 1.5 goals @ 3.

The 2.5 goals strat had a enourmus drawdown under covid, so I havent trusted to start it up again.

Since I am involved in other prosjects during the weekend (have 5 children) I need to go more towards strategies that I can manage in the morning or on the go (to a minimum). Since I also have been on and off the last year because of account restrictions I will make a slow come back. My time is precious, so my goal is to use as little time as possible on trading, and making as much I can on trading. So I will use the Daily trades even more than earlier, like the SHG strat I have been monitored for a while. Why should I do a hour of research when people I trust have allready done it? The only strat I will monitore my self is the FHG strat where I will stopp taking it @ 15 and 30, not because its not profiteble (it is indeed) but I will not invest the screen time. I will just lay it like Keith do with the under 1.5.

[A Former User]

@frode-lia @Stuart-Wallace @mick-mcmahon ... and avoid last game.

[A Former User]

@stuart-wallace mick mcmahon

Rules:
ATP
1 set only
Finding players with a good serve (odds range between 1.6-2.2)
Back the player if he is down 0/30 or 15/40
Stop loss if he loses the game
Take profit if 30/30 or 40/40 (I was very flexible here, but that is a starting point.

Must have software to use this strategy.

[mick mcmahon]

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@frode-lia said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tennis is a great sport to trade if you have screen time. Since Betfair is restricted in Norway now, I cant trade tennis anymore without software. 0-30/15/40 is the most profitble trading strat I have ever used.

Frode, i am putting my dumb hat on here, but how do you trade when it gets to this score?

Yes please... Tell us more

[A Former User]

@martin oK, Thanks.

[Stuart Wallace]

@frode-lia said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Tennis is a great sport to trade if you have screen time. Since Betfair is restricted in Norway now, I cant trade tennis anymore without software. 0-30/15/40 is the most profitble trading strat I have ever used.

Frode, i am putting my dumb hat on here, but how do you trade when it gets to this score?

[Ryan]

@frode-lia exactly, it'll never be dead til football isn't decided between goals lol

@carl-ritchie can attest to this as well

So over that period what were your best performing strategies?

How will you use that data going forward?

Want to expand on the strategy on the tennis thread buddy? I'd love to hear about it and sure others would.

[Martin]

@mull I only started a month ago so that sounds about right