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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #5801

    @richard-futter good point !! Would prob take a 20-0 start by BANG to lower draw significantly

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #5802

    @richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Not sure exactly how low the draw price can go. I'll be surprised if it dips as low as 2.5 because punters will be factoring in a comfortable SA win with a big first innings score. But who knows? People often back the draw at much lower odds than I think are at all reasonable! For me, anything around 3 or below is huge value.

    Thats why i was really surprised at end of day 3 of previous test between these two, with SA circa 100 ahead with 2 days to go the LTD price was about 2.4 ! OK, weather was around, but there was hardly any expected during playing hours.

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #5803

    Not sure exactly how low the draw price can go. I'll be surprised if it dips as low as 2.5 because punters will be factoring in a comfortable SA win with a big first innings score. But who knows? People often back the draw at much lower odds than I think are at all reasonable! For me, anything around 3 or below is huge value.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    Stuart WallaceS Nathan BennettN 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #5804

    ive just entered with a small lay, with some more queued below 3

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #5805

    Hard to see this SA price ballooning much even if a wicket every 30-40 runs ish on average
    Draw lay forsure
    I’ve also layed some now and think my biggest lay will be close change of INNS like say when SA are 7,8 down

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    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #5806

    I notice via the graphics that Bangla started around 7's, and now running at 18's - that quite some movement on first day, which considering they are bowling is surprising.

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    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5807

    @matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    With SA batting first, I'm hoping for a decent amount of runs today, and very few wickets, maybe 3 tops... that should bring the draw price in. I hope... looking to lay under 2.5

    yes, expecting it to come in.
    Gqeberha (is the Xhosa renamed Port Elizabeth) has had only 1 draw in past 11 tests, and most of the wins have been by big margins, so expecting much of the same.
    Weather wise , looks reasonable except for maybe a little on day 3, but PE is easily changeable.

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5808

    Only one draw in the last 11 Tests at Port Elizabeth (Gqeberha) and with Bangla quite capable of collapsing in double-quick fashion, drip laying the draw looks a surefire winner here.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5809

    With SA batting first, I'm hoping for a decent amount of runs today, and very few wickets, maybe 3 tops... that should bring the draw price in. I hope... looking to lay under 2.5

    Richard FutterR Stuart WallaceS 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #5810

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Surrey 117-1 and its raining.
    LTD odds gone out to 10 - So, if you had got in this morning before play (4.7) you would have a big green.

    168'3 at COP.
    LTD is now at 2.7.
    I agree with liquidity - very little.

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5811

    There isn’t much liquidity, though. I don’t think that there is enough money in the market in the county game.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #5812

    Surrey 117-1 and its raining.
    LTD odds gone out to 10 - So, if you had got in this morning before play (4.7) you would have a big green.

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #5813

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    county cricket season starts today...one game is Leicester v Worcester.....predicted low temp today in Leicester?.....1 degree.

    I notice there are markets on Betfair for these games.

    In view of the fact thatthere are markets for the county champs, i had a look at the games and the associated weather.
    It seems, despite the low temps that there is likely little chance of rain across the the 8 locations being played. Virtually all games have LTD prices between 5-6 , all except for Hove which has zero liquidity at the moment.
    One game that i will be keeping an eye on is Warwick v Surrey, both sides should have all their England players on duty, so the likes of Burns,Woakes,Foakes,Pope,Sibley,Overton,Roy,Jordan,Topley,Curran(s) plus the likes of Amla and Roach, although not sure what formats they will all play might all feature, plus existing injuries.
    Edgbaston normally gives a good wicket (cue 16 wickets in a day!), so may be a high scoring game with the potential for a draw.

    Been trying to snow in Leicester most of the morning. Standard start to the domestic cricket season cold and windy, no rain yet

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5814

    @andy said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace are these 4 day games?

    yes

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #5815

    @stuart-wallace are these 4 day games?

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #5816

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    county cricket season starts today...one game is Leicester v Worcester.....predicted low temp today in Leicester?.....1 degree.

    I notice there are markets on Betfair for these games.

    In view of the fact thatthere are markets for the county champs, i had a look at the games and the associated weather.
    It seems, despite the low temps that there is likely little chance of rain across the the 8 locations being played. Virtually all games have LTD prices between 5-6 , all except for Hove which has zero liquidity at the moment.
    One game that i will be keeping an eye on is Warwick v Surrey, both sides should have all their England players on duty, so the likes of Burns,Woakes,Foakes,Pope,Sibley,Overton,Roy,Jordan,Topley,Curran(s) plus the likes of Amla and Roach, although not sure what formats they will all play might all feature, plus existing injuries.
    Edgbaston normally gives a good wicket (cue 16 wickets in a day!), so may be a high scoring game with the potential for a draw.

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #5817

    county cricket season starts today...one game is Leicester v Worcester.....predicted low temp today in Leicester?.....1 degree.

    I notice there are markets on Betfair for these games.

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5818

    @matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Pat Cummins, 56 of 15 balls! Wow...

    50 off 14 - equal fastest ever IPL 50.
    Incredible. last over went for 35 !

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5819

    Pat Cummins, 56 of 15 balls! Wow...

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #5820

    PAK to bat

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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