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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #6801

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-folan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Gonna be the shittiest World Cup ever! 😂

    At least England can’t be beaten in the final by Italy. Every cloud and all that.

    Best bit will be all the moaning from you football traders. (Mostly Keith and Richard🤣) Next season will be a write off stats wise because of this.

    Best you start learning which end of a horse is which 🤣🤣🤣

    Stats won’t matter to me, I’ll just guess like I always do 😂

    Still got the magic coin then?

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #6802

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals (Expect a SHG):

    08:45 - Newcastle Jets v Sydney FC
    19:45 - Larne v Ballymena United

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Akiva AndersonA 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #6803

    @john-folan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Gonna be the shittiest World Cup ever! 😂

    At least England can’t be beaten in the final by Italy. Every cloud and all that.

    Best bit will be all the moaning from you football traders. (Mostly Keith and Richard🤣) Next season will be a write off stats wise because of this.

    Best you start learning which end of a horse is which 🤣🤣🤣

    Stats won’t matter to me, I’ll just guess like I always do 😂

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #6804

    Hey guys,

    Nothing from me today

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #6805

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Gonna be the shittiest World Cup ever! 😂

    At least England can’t be beaten in the final by Italy. Every cloud and all that.

    Best bit will be all the moaning from you football traders. (Mostly Keith and Richard🤣) Next season will be a write off stats wise because of this.

    Best you start learning which end of a horse is which 🤣🤣🤣

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    Akiva AndersonA ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #6806

    Gonna be the shittiest World Cup ever! 😂

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Simji
    wrote on last edited by
    #6807

    Wow. Just wow Italy losing last minute

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #6808

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

    19:45 - Portugal v Turkey

    2-0. That’ll do nicely!

    Layla tov!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mark Maguire
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #6809

    @keith-anderson Nice one Keith 👌

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #6810

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals:

    19:45 - Portugal v Turkey

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    M Akiva AndersonA 2 Replies Last reply
    4
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #6811

    Hey guys,

    Nothing from me today

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #6812

    @martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace seems like a bit of a scattergun approach which may not be helping, what are your strategies?

    I agree, i have taken today as a bit of a learning curve, and need to stick with strategies . With Cricket, it tends to be more of a gut feel based of years of cricket experience - sometimes it doesnt go right!
    I have put today down as a bit of a lesson. I need to get 'tighter', and intend to try to do that going forward when i have a decent bank to play with - at the moment its minute (especially after today !).

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #6813

    @hayden-austin LTD can be nicely/very profitable as set and forgets from KO... Its all about your filter but also be prepared to lay at 5.0's or just over.

    If trading then maybe enter at HT or 60mins as @Richard-Latimer suggested?

    I don't currently do LTD but know of another member who does very well with it as a set & forget strategy 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by A Former User
    #6814

    @stuart-wallace the thing with A-League is results really can go anywhere from 0-0 to goal fest, even when not expected.

    Lay u1.5 is set & forget, simples.

    When lay u1.5 even though you need 2 events to land, 2 SHG's in that league can easily happen... Maybe lower your stakes, that might make you feel more comfortable when betting or even trading?

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Andrew MacdonaldA Offline
    Andrew MacdonaldA Offline
    Andrew Macdonald
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #6815

    @stuart-wallace hey mate I saw your post when you said there didn't look like there was much in the victory FH, I was watching the game and I felt as though it was pretty busy, victory should have scored in 46th minute before HT, that's why I stayed in, could just be lucky. Melbourne game is tough because Brisbane could easily have scored, seemed like SHG was the obvious trade and 3.5 may have been a stretch. Cricket I can't comment so much. Only advice I could pass is to sit down and see if you've changed anything and tighten your strategies. Seems the trade out on Western had a knock on effect on the rest and the day and now you have me talking sh*te. Above is Easy for me to write after the fact! Chin up mate 👍🏼

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #6816

    @hayden-austin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Hello can anyone help me out? Im currently using lay the draw as im new to this and just want a stable and easy method, however im struggling how its going to be profitable long term. Say i lay the draw with a stake of £5 and the favourite scores at around 30 mins say, if the cash out amount went to around £2 that looks like a nice profit. However my liability may be like £15 and on another occasion if it had got to half time with it still being a draw which is quite common then i could be in the red by around £7 for example. So my point is surely the losses heavily out weigh the small wins?

    Never trade out @ HT would be my advice. 2nd bit of advice, either get in @ HT or wait until around 55-60 mins.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #6817

    Hello can anyone help me out? Im currently using lay the draw as im new to this and just want a stable and easy method, however im struggling how its going to be profitable long term. Say i lay the draw with a stake of £5 and the favourite scores at around 30 mins say, if the cash out amount went to around £2 that looks like a nice profit. However my liability may be like £15 and on another occasion if it had got to half time with it still being a draw which is quite common then i could be in the red by around £7 for example. So my point is surely the losses heavily out weigh the small wins?

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #6818

    @stuart-wallace seems like a bit of a scattergun approach which may not be helping, what are your strategies?

    Stuart WallaceS 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #6819

    Infamy,infamy, they've all got it in for me ! To quote the famous Carry On line, i have had a horrific day, just to compound on the last 2 weekends (which,actually, luckily i didnt partake on the last weekend)

    So, I start with a LU1.5 on Melb Vic v Wetern United , and bailed out at HT, after what seemed (to me) to be a timid,lacklustre,lacking intent first half with the score at 0-0, oh, and also the commentator saying they were the best 2 defences in the A League. Ended up 1-1 with IPS of 35 shots and 17 on target !
    Then, decide to switch my trading to Brisbane Roar v Mel City around 20 mins as i see its 1-1 with lots of activity and attacking on both sides and get good value on LU3.5 - ended 1-2.
    Then,i thought, i know, i can get some back by backing Pakistan v AUS when they were 248-3.....all out for 268.
    Finally, ah, i thought, nice simple trade Backing SA v BAN when SA were 66-1 ....all out for 154, and BAN win by 9 wickets with 23 overs to spare.

    So, is this variance ? (if so, then i must be due a bloody good positive run) or just plain stupidity and naivety.?

    MartinM Andrew MacdonaldA ? 3 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #6820

    This is me for tonight:

    0_1648054060818_cb6b4b55-0802-4a48-a02a-49a50a0a34cd-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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