Set & Forget Football Strategies
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Had the best single week's profit since joining here and following these was a key part of that.
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@tomasz-lunarzewski said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
It was a good weekend, nice profit from all the strategies.
Yep we are building something special together here aren't we?!
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It was a good weekend, nice profit from all the strategies.
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@matt-wood said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@tomasz-lunarzewski said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@matt-wood I love the title song and got it tattooed on my arm as well. Up The Irons!
Up the Irons!
Been to see them live about 22 times 
I had the chance to see them 3 times, I've also met Bruce on his book signing in Waterstones a few years ago and got a signed copy and a photo with him. Also bought a signed copy of Adrian's book.
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@tomasz-lunarzewski said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@matt-wood I love the title song and got it tattooed on my arm as well. Up The Irons!
Up the Irons!
Been to see them live about 22 times -
@martin-walker said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@richard-latimer probably would be lower as some were 1.3 ish
I don't doubt. I think my point is not to ignore the match odds. They tell a whole other story.
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@richard-latimer probably would be lower as some were 1.3 ish
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@gary-brown said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@richard-latimer So the home odds need to be between 1,61 and 1.9 or higher than 2.63?
is this different for different leagues?
I'm finding similarities in leagues but not all the same.
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@martin-walker when you say strong, do you mean 1.6 or under because of course that's what my data shows too?
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@richard-latimer anecdotal but strong home faves in serie A often let down my 1.5
Roma constantly did it
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@richard-latimer So the home odds need to be between 1,61 and 1.9 or higher than 2.63?
is this different for different leagues?
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And the dross that was ruled out 75% with over 1.5 odds around 1.20. You increease s/r and in this case also increase the average odds.
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@martin said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
@richard-latimer can you elaborate
Take ITA Serie A, my most profitable league.
The filter alone gives 84% s/r over 1.5 on all odds over 145 selections.
Omit home odds lower than 1.61 and between 1.9-2.63 and that becomes 92% s/r over 76 selections. Ave book price on these selections is 1.23 meaning that with betfair it's probably closer to 1.25+ (lay of 5)
Turns a pretty bog standard 84% not much better than break even into 38.6pts profit after commission.
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@matt-wood I love the title song and got it tattooed on my arm as well. Up The Irons!
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@martin well I've noticed that even for over 1.5 there are certain odds which are best left well alone and certain ones where they are far more likely. I'll post some numbers up later so you can see what I mean.
For SHG so much I have tracked has been predominantly based on match odds but I don't think it stops there.
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@richard-latimer can you elaborate
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@tomasz-lunarzewski Always good to get a nice weeks profit in
FotD the best album?
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The one thing I would add to any strategy I looked at now is pre match 1x2 odds. I can't stress enough just how this simple detail has helped me in my trading.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
My strategy brought a nice profit this weekend, I've also started betting on SHG in them games and it looks like a good profit as well.
