Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread
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Does anyone have a list of leagues they use? I'm just starting to test this and it woul dbe helpful to get a head start.
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hey been following this so has been fully tested now
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@Matt-Wood could you do me a favour and run your selection only between 1.75 and 2.25 odds and let me know how those results compare to your current ones?
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@martin yea no probs. I dont think I have as many leagues as you. I just messed about with the odds limits on mine and it improves things but not quite as much as yours did.
I have been messing about with the filter settings to see if the sr can climb whilst still keeping a fairly high average odds.
Have got it to 59.41% with ave odds of 1.94. 180 winners from 303 games. Should be 41pts profit on my tests from that.
If I then also plug in your odds min of 1.75:
58.59%, 150 winners from 256, ave odds 2.02.
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Min odds of 1.75 gives a profit to £10 stakes of £376.37 from 287 selections
Just run some numbers, if you increase min odds to 1.8.
£308.39 profit from 258 selections.
1.5 odds plus is £248.31 profit from 391 selections.
Not going to change anything in testing yet but may do after 500-1000 results.
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@lee-leadbetter brilliant! keep us updated
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@martin said in Matt's Under 2.5 Goals Strategy Thread:
@matt-wood I'll filter out more leagues when I get a lot more data but in theory there is no good reason to lessen selections just based on volume. If selections are yielding profit in terms of mathematics the more the merrier! As you will make more money over time with more selections, if all selections have the same expected value.
This is true, would need a large bankroll to play 64 selections on a saturday though haha, you can scale to suit your bank of course but alot of matches all the same.
I am running my own FHG S&F strategy, will share if it is producing, only 2 weeks in so will require alot more testing, probably until end of the european league season tbh. Currently its in profit £130 on £10 stakes anyway, around 100 games. Not bad.
was up to £170 and then saturday sunday have been poor and its taken a hit. -
@matt-wood I'll filter out more leagues when I get a lot more data but in theory there is no good reason to lessen selections just based on volume. If selections are yielding profit in terms of mathematics the more the merrier! As you will make more money over time with more selections, if all selections have the same expected value.
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