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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.5k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1481

    It is worth noting that as poor as it has been for me the last couple of weeks the data on my sheet still holds out at 89% for Feb and 19pts profit. That it hasn't been that for me is down to not taking the outliers, one mistake by not actually getting it and an ill fated over 1.5 in Hungary.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1482

    Not quite as big as today but keeping the positive vibe going there is more than enough to make up for today and take a small green into March. Just need to actually get a day without hiccups for the first time in a little while:

    0_1645922618553_c7de48e0-6a83-4629-a1fa-795b8dbc0d62-image.png

    I'm going to try and set up a 2nd date tomorrow so I could really do with this going a bit better. Positive all round not the yin and f*****g yang of good news bad news haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1483

    Loads more potential to deestroy the bank tomorrow🤣 🤣 🤣

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1484

    Usually I have thrilling tales of all the trades not taken. Today not so much. Again this is good in the sense that things are solidifying. What's not so good is todays results!

    0_1645920967169_e3d9e2fe-c7ab-45e4-a55a-86126fe869f2-image.png

    5/7 and that was the actuality today. Loss of around £14.00. Not quite hit the ratchet reset but need things to improve sharpish!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1485

    If anyone has seen the football thread today they will know that this weekend is going pretty much the same way as the last one. 2 losses in Belgium today. I've dug down deep into the data and can't a single thing to put me off those trades, which is good I guess!

    But Belgium in general has fallen through a hole last couple of weeks!

    Gone from being almost 30pts up to half of that. It's still a profitable league but if it carries on like this it's getting dropped!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1486

    The data is sub par compared to most months but would still show a profit I assure you. It's just a question that I haven't felt confident on quite a few trades as I like to call them outliers.

    Also, occasionally things are thrown up as potential banana skins to watch out for in the future.

    I've not been able to put many losses down to anything and would trade them again 100% based on the overall data I have.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1487

    @richard-latimer Ok fair enough and apologies

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1488

    @chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @richard-latimer This is where I have a problem with your strategy 6 losses out of 64 trades and your making a loss most of us would be looking at significant profits at that strile rate.

    Noooooo......you misunderstand. I 'm a) not making a loss and b) have had more losses myself. I'm simply referring to my data.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1489

    @richard-latimer This is where I have a problem with your strategy 6 losses out of 64 trades and your making a loss most of us would be looking at significant profits at that strile rate.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1490

    Another reason to be cheerful as long as it doesn't signal a general decline is that February appears to be quite the worst month this system has ever suffered going on current data and yet there is still a good chance to make it a profitable month.

    From 64 potential trades there have been 6 losses.

    Only comparable months are Sept (a big loss for me personally so this is huge improvement) that had 7 losses from 120 trades
    November with 7 losses from 110 trades.

    So for Feb we are talking almost as many losses and only just over half as many trades.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #1491

    @dan-mackinnon said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @richard-latimer I’m with Bulb too and it’s basically doubled.

    I also wouldn’t listen to Martin Lewis. His money “advice” assumes you put no value to your own time. Does my head in with some of the nonsense he comes out with

    In fairness that website has helped me out on a few occasions and I think he's a decent bloke. Got away without paying a PCN from those robbing bastards just by following guidance.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1492

    @richard-latimer I’m with Bulb too and it’s basically doubled.

    I also wouldn’t listen to Martin Lewis. His money “advice” assumes you put no value to your own time. Does my head in with some of the nonsense he comes out with

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1493

    Bumper day tomorrow. 23 potential trades and I have to believe it would be highly unusual not get at least 6 or 7 of them qualify, maybe 8+

    A good day could set the tone of the weekend nicely and follow on to an important March.

    I can't yet command the profit I need longterm with these as too many things are chaing recently. That said I should be able to do better than this month has allowed:

    0_1645836738921_e2f5b7b8-4bb1-4be9-8d6c-d4e5d0b93610-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1494

    If anyone wonders how I can keep such unwavering (I'll admit it wavers from time to time, more on a time basis seeing as mine is short haha) confidence in what I'm doing it's because the list of trades I can't yet take continue to come in and to an extent the likeliness of taking such trades in the future grows.

    0_1645834778847_f7e2634e-e97d-4a11-9de4-5b930cbea4c7-image.png

    Poland - I had until recently put the league into the sin bin so to speak but a recent result taking 0-0's into a poor position and the rest in to a good one brought the league back to my recognition. Another win today means I'm ready for now to start trading it next time out.

    Regionalliga Bayern doesnn't have quit enough data yet but the data continues to collect in good ways.

    Schaffhausen - Home odds too close to a mid range I don't do. I go for 7 winning trades either side 2.59 as this was is only around halfway there.

    Liefering I just plain missed! My loss today £11.07.

    Slight red for Feb but a good day tomorrow can rectify that.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1495

    Another day another arse. I must stay positive, odds were low and with a good weekend I can still finish feb in around 9-10pts profit.

    First mistake in a long time today entirely avoidable and not a loss. Too busy clinging to the hope of a goal in Xamax and missed another winning trade.

    0/1 BOOOOOO!!!!!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1496

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @matt-wood I just got a text today and the increases are astronomical! Was all fixed term. Bulb being run by the gov at present may not help as the original company went under.

    Fingers crossed I don't get one of those then! Just read my policy and terms and from what I can make out I should be ok. Will wait for April though and see what happens.

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #1497

    @matt-wood I just got a text today and the increases are astronomical! Was all fixed term. Bulb being run by the gov at present may not help as the original company went under.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM D 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1498

    @richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @richard-latimer better sodding not be I changed provider last summer under a fixed tariff. Massive increase when fixed term ends with NI increases from April and fuel increasing by the day bit bleak at the minute

    I remember when all this kicked off moneysaving Martin Lewis basically said don't do anything now as changing won't do any good. We were on a fixed tarif but they reserve the right to increase it.

    Will have to check my small print then as I thought I was on a fixed no price increase promise until the end of the agreement. Although even if that is true they will certainly smash it up as high as poss once that ends no doubt.

    Catch that Green!

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #1499

    Only way for us all to beat the system right now is to become rich sports traders haha

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1500

    @chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

    @richard-latimer better sodding not be I changed provider last summer under a fixed tariff. Massive increase when fixed term ends with NI increases from April and fuel increasing by the day bit bleak at the minute

    I remember when all this kicked off moneysaving Martin Lewis basically said don't do anything now as changing won't do any good. We were on a fixed tarif but they reserve the right to increase it.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
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