The BTC Football Trading Thread
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3% Club - Monday, 21st February 2022 (Day 16)
Update will be done by Friday (sooner if I can find the time):
Lay Under 1.5 Goals (Expect a SHG):
18:00 - Randers v Viborg
18:00 - Cagliari v Napoli
18:30 - Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Tel Aviv -
@terry-cooke said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Im gonna start testing a first half goals market strategy that I have taken from another provider and put in to the stats machine.
Ill let you know if there is anything in it but its probably been done before
Goal Profits by any chance? I keep an eye on their free FHG Filter
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Im gonna start testing a first half goals market strategy that I have taken from another provider and put in to the stats machine.
Ill let you know if there is anything in it but its probably been done before
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@lee-woodman from looking at my own and other o1.5 80-85% seems about right. I've done mine based on laying at 4.0 which would be the same as backing 1.33. I usually gets matched around 10-15 minutes into the FH
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@martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Guys who do O1.5 from KO - what sort of odds ranges do you achieve?
The one where I don't filter odds currently averages 1.26
Be surprised if this average is achieved with 85% strike rate... What is your strike rate @martin ?
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Some nice looking games around today, will be that way now and through the summer leagues (arguably my fav leagues to trade!)
Why are they your favourite Ryan?
Just seem consistent and reliable with good SR or lots of games qualify?
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My full list for today
My Split Stake watchlist for today
Bologna v Spezia
Will manually trade what I have time for and happy with IPS.
Will also look to trade My SHG @ HT if score is 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1... Exception will be A-League games, will evaluate these at HT but will not trade SH if 0-0 @ HT
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Guys who do O1.5 from KO - what sort of odds ranges do you achieve?
The one where I don't filter odds currently averages 1.26
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@dan-mackinnon Thanks, so a filter SR of 85% should be a solid starting point
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@lee-woodman depends on the team but on average 1.25-1.35
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Guys who do O1.5 from KO - what sort of odds ranges do you achieve?
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@alan-steward overall data yes but the rest is a process. I learn something new on weekends like this.
Only way to minimise chances of it happening again are to go full pelt into the data as I'm doing now.
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@richard-latimer have you got enough data to help back up what you're looking for?
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Anderlecht 2-0
Do we put this down to bad weather across Europe?
Worst weekend in months!
The weather looked okay to me with that game as I checked it out at 1-0... I don't SHG trade 2-0 unless it's off my filter with 85% strike rate on any score line
All my scorelines are plus 90%
As I go through this I do notice potential issues with scorelines for various leagues. 1-0 in Czech seems to be a potential banana skin. 2-0 in Belgium better than that but in over a years data it's probably slightly worse than break even now.
I did this with France Ligue 1 getting rid of draws and it's worked a treat so far.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Anderlecht 2-0
Do we put this down to bad weather across Europe?
Worst weekend in months!
The weather looked okay to me with that game as I checked it out at 1-0... I don't SHG trade 2-0 unless it's off my filter with 85% strike rate on any score line
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All that discipline. I missed 4 winning trades and ended up with a s**t sandwich haha!
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Anderlecht 2-0
Do we put this down to bad weather across Europe?
Worst weekend in months!
