BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Worth a read after the IPL auction.
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New Zealand v South Africa
Pleased to see a return of test cricket although the time frame on this one means some night shifts so i’ll be hoping for a result within 4 days.
There isn’t a great sample size of test matches here as the ground was only given international status in 2013, of the 9 matches that have been played here only 1 of these has been a draw, matching this with the pretty average batting the play here surely has to be laying the draw.
Weather wise we have a pretty clear 5 days with varying threats of rain on day 4 depending on which forecasts you look at these are either on the previous night or at the start of play but I can’t see us losing any more than 2 sessions of play which is plenty of time for a result.
Bets
Will be waiting to see who wins the toss, i’d like to see the draw price trading below 4 before entering, i’ll likely green this lay up at 10+ on day one.
I expect both teams to have high swings so if there are early wickets I will also lay the bowling team under 1.4 New Zealand or 1.8 South Africa.
Will keep a very close eye on the weather as we get towards day 4 and may back the draw if the weather is poor enough to wipe out a session of play, i’ll then look to lay the draw again should a result look likely.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@tom-david-1 Eat your heart out - im on Level 42 !!!!!
Hahaha! Must be “something about you”
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in the IND V WI T20 tomorrow, Kolkata has historically been a lower scoring venue. Might see if there is a wicket or 2 if IND bat, else if WI bat first i will lay them immediately
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace i was hoping for a big opening partnership by either team to shorten the draw odds as it's a bit high for my liking... but we will see.
Got the T20I tomorrow to enjoy first.
@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace i was hoping for a big opening partnership by either team to shorten the draw odds as it's a bit high for my liking... but we will see.
Got the T20I tomorrow to enjoy first.
for me anything below 5 is acceptable, given a good weather forecast, and a good history.
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@stuart-wallace i was hoping for a big opening partnership by either team to shorten the draw odds as it's a bit high for my liking... but we will see.
Got the T20I tomorrow to enjoy first.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles whats the game, Matt?
ah ok, NZ v SA.
Weather looks a bit dodg on day 4, but likely they will get 4.5 days in tbh - enough to make a result methinks.
NZ will have the edge - i just dont think SA batting has enough depth at the moment to cause a problem.Out of 10 Tests at Hagley Oval, 9 have been results. The only exception was England in 2017/18, where NZ hung on with 8 wickets down in a game dominated by the seamers.
Weather looks decent though not without some doubt on Day 4.
TBH , i'm likely to go all in before the start on LTD and then look to maybe cash out once a couple of likely early wickets (especially if SA bat) and then maybe just look to cream up circa day 3 once the result seems more obvious. -
@stuart-wallace Showing my age one of the first bands i ever saw live
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@tom-david-1 Eat your heart out - im on Level 42 !!!!!
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Wow got lucky with Quetta game, but what a debut by Will Smeed , 99 in a losing cause - will be a very good player.
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@stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@matt-ayles whats the game, Matt?
ah ok, NZ v SA.
Weather looks a bit dodg on day 4, but likely they will get 4.5 days in tbh - enough to make a result methinks.
NZ will have the edge - i just dont think SA batting has enough depth at the moment to cause a problem. -
@matt-ayles whats the game, Matt?
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Almost time for some test cricket...! Generally the weather looks good a few days out although a chance of rain overnight one day.
Draw price is very high though at 4.8 currently.
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@matt-ayles have some running took a lot back just pray time now haha
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flooding the chat but agar and finch at the crease 1.03 ???
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@nathan-bennett hopefully 0/1 helps you?!
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over 121.5 p**s off haha
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should be able to get my 1.02 back end of over
all good -
wtf
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@matt-ayles for me if i hadn't had any action I would be tempted for heavy LAY just to double the odds 1.02-1.04 styles as the focus for the batters (all be it poor) is to go for it now in final overs and just never know one over of 15 ish could do it
its a feel thing really
