The BTC Football Trading Thread
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CAG 1 FIO 1
Another one for Keth -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning All, hopefully a better day on the laying of the underdog system today although depending on whether i am about to trade any of the following matches as meeting my daughter just after lunch. Here are my matches from my filter anyway
Laying away if takes lead
14.00pm German Div 3- Magdeburg (1st) vs Tsv Havelse ( 20/20)
14.00pm England Prem- Arsenal (7th) vs Burnley ( 20/20)
15.15pm Spain La Liga - Real Madrid ( 1st) vs Elche ( 15/20)
17.30pm Spain La Liga- Real Sociedad (5th) vs Gefafe ( 16/20)
19.45pm France L1- Psg (1st) vs Reims( 14/20)Lay Home side if takes lead
13.00pm Turkey Super- Altay (19/20) vs Konyaspor ( 2nd)
14.00pm France L1 Clemont ( 17/20) vs Rennes(5th)
15.15pm Greece Super- Atromitos (13/14) vs Aek Athens ( 3rd)https://twitter.com/GaryLineker/status/1485221542325854211?s=20
Just seen this on Magdeburg. Go careful haha!
Seems like that's not current. Still funny though
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Morning All, hopefully a better day on the laying of the underdog system today although depending on whether i am about to trade any of the following matches as meeting my daughter just after lunch. Here are my matches from my filter anyway
Laying away if takes lead
14.00pm German Div 3- Magdeburg (1st) vs Tsv Havelse ( 20/20)
14.00pm England Prem- Arsenal (7th) vs Burnley ( 20/20)
15.15pm Spain La Liga - Real Madrid ( 1st) vs Elche ( 15/20)
17.30pm Spain La Liga- Real Sociedad (5th) vs Gefafe ( 16/20)
19.45pm France L1- Psg (1st) vs Reims( 14/20)Lay Home side if takes lead
13.00pm Turkey Super- Altay (19/20) vs Konyaspor ( 2nd)
14.00pm France L1 Clemont ( 17/20) vs Rennes(5th)
15.15pm Greece Super- Atromitos (13/14) vs Aek Athens ( 3rd)https://twitter.com/GaryLineker/status/1485221542325854211?s=20
Just seen this on Magdeburg. Go careful haha!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Morning All, hopefully a better day on the laying of the underdog system today although depending on whether i am about to trade any of the following matches as meeting my daughter just after lunch. Here are my matches from my filter anyway
Laying away if takes lead
14.00pm German Div 3- Magdeburg (1st) vs Tsv Havelse ( 20/20)
14.00pm England Prem- Arsenal (7th) vs Burnley ( 20/20)
15.15pm Spain La Liga - Real Madrid ( 1st) vs Elche ( 15/20)
17.30pm Spain La Liga- Real Sociedad (5th) vs Gefafe ( 16/20)
19.45pm France L1- Psg (1st) vs Reims( 14/20)Lay Home side if takes lead
13.00pm Turkey Super- Altay (19/20) vs Konyaspor ( 2nd)
14.00pm France L1 Clemont ( 17/20) vs Rennes(5th)
15.15pm Greece Super- Atromitos (13/14) vs Aek Athens ( 3rd) -
I will be looking at the following games to trade with My Split Stake today and enter around the 12-15min mark with decent IPS;
I am out most of the day today and probably might only get time to trade the early Split Stakes, all Correct Score trades will be set up now as they should only require trading this evening (SH)
Todays Watchlist For My Split Stake
Kasımpaşa v Kayserispor
Altay v Konyaspor
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Leicester City v Brighton & Hove Albion
Bordeaux v Strasbourg
Spezia v Sampdoria
Hertha BSC v Bayern München
Empoli v Roma
Milan v JuventusI will also be looking for a SHG should the HT score be 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1
Todays Watchlist for Correct Score;
I will dutch 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 on the following games
I will dutch the above score lines for a total of 0.1pts and look to trade off as below
Hertha BSC v Bayern München
Will lay u2.5 goals to cover red (matched @ 3.35)Empoli v Roma
Will lay u2.5 goals to cover red (matched @ 2.78)Milan v Juventus
Will lay u1.5 goals to cover red (Matched @ 3.85) -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I will be looking at the following games to trade with My Split Stake today and enter around the 12-15min mark with decent IPS;
Todays Watchlist For My Split Stake
Sydney v Perth Glory
Wasn't happy with IPS so no Split Stake trade, I did trade the SH to see if I could generate green to cover red in Hoffenheim game (see below)
Yeni Malatyaspor v Beşiktaş
Scratch Split Stake here, unfortunately due to odds movement I needed the 4th stake matched to generate green, goal came just ticks before
Borussia M'gladbach v Union Berlin
Early goal meant all but scratch but 0.25pts green from SHG
Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
No Split Stake trade here as was trading Correct Score
Manchester United v West Ham United
No trade here, wasn't comfortable with IPS
Brest v Lille
Early goal so no Split Stake trade but 0.25pts green on SHG
Lazio v Atalanta
No Split Stake trade here as was trading Correct ScoreI will also be looking for a SHG should the HT score be 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1
Todays Watchlist for Correct Score;
I will dutch 3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 on the following games
I will dutch the above score lines for a total of 0.1pts and look to trade off as below
Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund
I would normally lay u2.5 goals with one of these trades but as of typing odds are quite high at 3.3 to lay, I will wait until in-play and trade acordingly, if the score runs away with itself I will look to cover red in another game today...Total 0.25pts green here, trading SHG in Sydney match to cover red (0.1pts green) & Took 0.15pts green from Correct Score
Lazio v Atalanta
Have queued lay u2.5 goals for 0.1pts green @ 2.5 (part matched as I type)Game ended 0-0 but layed u0.5 goals @ 1.98 so total 0.50pts red
Took a bit of green in another match (Bristol City) which left me 0.45pts green on the day (slightly up from where I thought last night), not brilliant but no disgrace.
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3% Club - Sunday, 23rd January 2022 (Day 18)
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@mark-maguire Morning Mark, I am sure you already mentioned it somewhere, I have been scrolling back but cannot find it. Do you cash out of your O2.5 trades after the first goal, regardless of when it comes?
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Sunday potentials
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Overall, not a brilliant day. I was up 2 points yesterday and gave 1.6 of them back today. Ho hum, we go again tomorrow.
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i did quite well today, about 15 pts increase, but mainly through the cricket u19 world cup. Took up Derby v Forst u1.5 simply on value, but exitted out of Newcastlr/Leeds game as nothing seemed to be happening in game as i did with the Brest game.' but picked up with other games, such as Fulham and Man City.
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@richard-latimer Exactly you're right of course.
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@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer I'm sure you are right. The trading God's just giving a little elbow in the ribs as a reminder not to take these greens for granted
Yeah, probably a good thing, over-confidence breeds complacency. Not only that statistically your losses have to come at some point haha!
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@richard-latimer I'm sure you are right. The trading God's just giving a little elbow in the ribs as a reminder not to take these greens for granted
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@mark-maguire ended poorly for me as well. I think you just have to play your edge and see where the cards fall. Majority of the time they fall for you. Very occasionally they fall the other way.
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Maybe todays lesson is quit while you are ahead, overall a green day but annoying finish with two reds especially as one felt like one of my strongest trading games – Alkmaar were never going to score unfortunately.
However:
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund – Small green with goal on 6 minutes
Rotherham vs Cheltenham – Green with goal on 24 minutes after second drip
Tondela vs Vizela – Green with goal on 11 minsSeveral marginal games were all green albeit I traded them conservatively but they lulled me into a false sense of having cracked it until the last two trades.
O1.5
Villareal - Green
Hoffenheim – Didn’t reach odds before goal so no trade
St Truiden - Green
Borussia Moenchengladbach - GreenFinished with two reds :
AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur – Out at sixty minutes
Lazio vs Atalanta – didn’t trade after second drip, out after sixty minutesOverall a profitable day but still annoyed by those two.. Atalanta defo on the naughty step now.
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3% Club - Saturday, 22nd January 2022 - (Day 17)
I made nothing today and to be honest I'm absolutely delighted. It wasn't a great day and I got extremely lucky. I would've made profit if I managed to get on the Villarreal v Mallorca match SHG, but got distracted and missed it.
Still, I still believe I was fortunate today
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laying Doncaster Rovers and Colchester utd
Shocking day!!! Last chance of the day Laying Goztepe in the Turkish Super League
Give up for the day
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Laying Doncaster Rovers and Colchester utd
Shocking day!!! Last chance of the day Laying Goztepe in the Turkish Super League
