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BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Cricket & Golf Trading
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #7321

    Whilst we shouldnt really be discussing these things now in the middle of a Test, watching Stokes bat with an obvious side strain leads to start thinking about the England line up for Hobart, and can see whoelsale changes. Apparently Pope has been practicing in nets last couple of days as a keeper so, i would expect several changes....
    Hameed,Stokes,Buttler and Leach out with Burns,Lawrence,Pope and Robinson back in

    So, a line-up of
    Burns
    Crawley
    Malan
    Root
    Baristow
    Lawrence
    Pope
    Robinson
    Wood
    Anderson
    Broad

    EDIT Carrying on from this, Billings has been called into squad, so will likely make his debut instead of Buttler.

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Sean Fitzgerald
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #7322

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    https://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weatherstation.cgi?station=11460&animate=6

    i suppose easiest thing is to keep an eye on the webcam

    https://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weatherstation.cgi?station=11460&animate=6

    I’m about 50kms from Sydney. It’s midnight at the moment and absolutely pouring with rain.

    Forecast for the day here looks poor. Looks most likely to be worst from about 1pm onward. Fingers crossed it’s horribly wrong!

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #7323

    @richard-futter have to think that price could be there abouts in final INNS ish
    Im expecting swings
    Definitely expecting NZ apply themselves better with bat and ball
    Spinner comes in the side surely

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7324

    NZ and Bangladesh a funny one for me as everything is telling me it would be a tidy lay but motivation from NZ will be huge and I guess a lot of it depends on who decides to bat first and the first hour of play.

    As NZ are so heavily favoured it can take a lot for the market to turn against them and can see total domination from Bangladesh again.

    I'll probably wait and see if draw odds can come into the equation on this one, especially with it being an overnight test as don't fancy too many more night shifts.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7325

    Initial research suggests it is definitely a bat first pitch

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #7326

    @richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Weather looks set fair for Christchurch and you have to think NZ are good value even at 1.25. Lightning doesn't strike twice. Does it?

    I was considering the lay of NZ given how much markets swing. However I need to look into the typical scores at the ground as perhaps Bangladesh were aided by an easy pitch?

    Think given the odds and my preferred method of lower liabilities I'll have to either lay NZ or wait for the draw price to come in should there be big partnerships in the first innings

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #7327

    Weather looks set fair for Christchurch and you have to think NZ are good value even at 1.25. Lightning doesn't strike twice. Does it?

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    ? Nathan BennettN 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7328

    Thanks for sharing that Stuart, i'll keep an eye on that as it gets closer to start time.

    Anyone managed to catch the man who bought cricket mini series on sky yet?

    Remember the whole situation well, i'm just about to watch the final episode, well worth a watch.

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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    wrote on last edited by
    #7329

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    https://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weatherstation.cgi?station=11460&animate=6

    i suppose easiest thing is to keep an eye on the webcam

    https://ozforecast.com.au/cgi-bin/weatherstation.cgi?station=11460&animate=6

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7330

    I've been trusting my usual weather radar which has been pretty good so far during play but seems to be way out 12-24 hours before so have dug around other weather reports and doesn't seem to be as bad.

    I've been tapping up people going to the ground in the morning on twitter for weather updates so I guess it's worth a decent lay now at 1.38 if we get 5 sessions there is no way it can stay odds on for full 5 sessions.

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #7331

    Currently looks like a good chance of play first thing. One quick wicket and I can't see Broad or Anderson lasting long. Even with the downward pressure on the draw, a bit of sunshine in the morning could see some upwards movement.

    That's what I'm hoping, anyway... I need to keep up my track record of turning early red back into green! Hopefully one day I will be turning early green into even more green.

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #7332

    @stuart-wallace good !!! saw couple tweets suggestion massive stuff but if so all happening now for a few hours
    Think every day we’ve seen draw ease before scheduled start times
    Could again

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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #7333

    @richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @tom-david-1 It'll move quite a bit if there's a wicket or two; the weather forecasts have been way off the mark so far, so I'm not setting too much store by them. I just think that sort of price is great value with two days to play.

    Accuweather saying there is only going to be 1 hour of rain in Sydney tomorrow

    https://www.accuweather.com/en/au/sydney/22889/daily-weather-forecast/22889?day=2

    Nathan BennettN 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by Stuart Wallace
    #7334

    @stuart-wallace said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    Draw is currently around 1.85, if weather is good, and Eng get off to bad start then i can see that heading off to 4s - anybody agree?

    even at 38-4 it only reached 3.5

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by
    #7335

    nervous this
    get 100 then a hatrick

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Futter on last edited by
    #7336

    @richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

    @tom-david-1 It'll move quite a bit if there's a wicket or two; the weather forecasts have been way off the mark so far, so I'm not setting too much store by them. I just think that sort of price is great value with two days to play.

    Thanks Richard, I was unsure if the market might be at the stage having missed the follow on that it wouldn’t move much with wickets at the moment.

    I don’t think Australia would have enforced it anyway but noticed previously it can hold the market up.

    What lead do we think Australia will want before declaring? 300ish?

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  • Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan BennettN Offline
    Nathan Bennett
    wrote on last edited by Nathan Bennett
    #7337

    annnnnnnnnd more more more

    hopefully ENG on the lay make up for slow over rate match fees

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  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    wrote on last edited by
    #7338

    Boom

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Nathan Bennett on last edited by
    #7339

    @nathan-bennett

    Same mate. Put a bit of green on England earlier at 95.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard FutterR Offline
    Richard Futter
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #7340

    @tom-david-1 It'll move quite a bit if there's a wicket or two; the weather forecasts have been way off the mark so far, so I'm not setting too much store by them. I just think that sort of price is great value with two days to play.

    Professional Betfair Trader since 2004 - The Master of Cricket Markets

    ? Stuart WallaceS 2 Replies Last reply
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